NFL Net Yards Per Play: Rams Coming Together

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
nfl net yards per play

When the season started, you’d have had to look hard to find someone bullish on the Los Angeles Rams. But, a few months after kicking off with a win total of 6.5, the Rams appear to be peaking. NFL net yards per play data certainly supports the idea that they’re coalescing into a possible NFC threat. We’ll take a look at how they got there, as well as examine an AFC South team that could find itself in trouble.

While you’re handicapping NFL Week 14 odds, you may be searching for a new tool to apply to your step-by-step process. If so, yards per play (YPP) should be near the top of your checklist. NFL net yards per play — the difference between offensive and defensive performance on a per-play basis — gives a solid look at a team’s overall strength.

This report will be updated following each week of action and contains each team’s yards per play results on offense and defense, respectively. The “last three weeks” column captures the teams’ current form. If you see fit, one could be worth investing in for futures. You’ll want to look for undervalued teams whose per-play strength isn’t reflected in their final scores due to luck or other factors.

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NFL NET yards per play Explained

Yards per play — or YPP — is a handy metric for NFL bettors since it eliminates unpredictable variables, including turnovers, botched kicks, and scores via special teams. Ignoring randomness is a critical part of handicapping any sport. Therefore, yards per play on both sides of the ball helps indicate where a team is in the short term. Generally speaking, you will rarely find a below .500 team in the upper echelon of these rankings.

But like EPA, teams may be overvalued in the betting market if their YPP surges positively over a small sample size. You will see that various units — offensively, defensively, or both — benefit from playing weak competition over arbitrary samples. In turn, their output could be mis-contextualized.

Conversely, a team outperforming expectations against a presumably elite opponent is likely a sign of a positive trajectory.

NFL Yards Per Play: Offense, Defense And Net

Here are the current yards per play numbers before Week 14 action. Conventional wisdom says dividing the net yards per play difference by 0.15 gives an approximate spread between two teams.

Furthermore, keep in mind that the more or fewer plays a team runs/defends, these numbers could wind up skewed in either direction. This table can be sorted by clicking on the headers.

TeamYards Per PlayOpponent YPPNet YPPLast 3 Weeks NYPP

Rams Offense CLicking

Coming out of their bye, the Rams were sitting at 3-6 and basically looking at a lost season.

They managed to squeak by the Seahawks at home after being the beneficiaries of some good fortune. Backup QB Drew Lock played a decent portion of the second half, costing the team several EPA. That matters in a game that ends 17-16.

There wasn’t much reason to expect good things in the future from L.A. But a funny thing happened: the return of RB Kyren Williams seems to have jump-started this offense. Trucking the pathetic Cardinals’ defense is one thing. They rank 31st in EPA/play allowed.

Running through the Browns, injuries and all is quite another. But that’s exactly what happened in Week 13. L.A. posted a very solid 6.7 YPP, and did so with efficient play both on the ground and in the passing game. Despite a hobbled receiving corps, Matt Stafford tallied 7.5 YPA.

The Rams’ +1.4 net yards per play ranks among the league’s best. Between Williams’ emergence and the offensive line doing a better job protecting Stafford, this unit has begun to click. They’re getting just enough defense for the moment, although the Ravens will certainly present a much sterner test than the teams they’ve recently faced.

The Rams have begun creeping up in odds to make the NFL playoffs. With a proven playoff performer at QB and a coach who also knows how to navigate the postseason, they may present an intriguing longshot in NFC markets. Aside from the 49ers, everyone looks vulnerable, and we’ve already seen that they’re an injury or two away from falling right back into the pack.

Rams Upcoming Schedule

Detroit Lions 12 – 5 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Arizona Cardinals 4 – 13 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
San Francisco 49ers 12 – 5 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Rams Week 14 Odds

L.A. Rams Futures & Week 14 Props

L.A. Rams Player Statistics

Player GP Games Played CMP% Completion Percentage YDS Passing Yards YDS/G Yards Per Game YDS/C Yards Per Completion TDS Passing Touchdowns INT Interceptions thrown RTG Passer Rating
Player GP Games Played INT Interceptions PD Passes Defended FF Fumbles Forced FR Fumbles Recovered SACK QB Sacks TOT Total Tackles SOLO Solo Tackles AST Assisted Tackles

Jaguars Vulnerable In AFC South

The Jaguars have spent basically the entire season in the lower echelons of the NFL yards-per-play metrics. They began the season with losses to the Chiefs and Texans, in which they were dominated, and the numbers haven’t looked good ever since.

Defense has been the primary issue. A horrendous showing against the Bengals may indicate the regression monster has come for a unit that was rating surprisingly well and still has solid EPA numbers. However, allowing backup QB Jake Browning to shred for 354 yards on 9.6 YPA was rough. The Jags weren’t exactly stout on the ground either, allowing another 156 yards. Joe Mixon, plodding his way to poor numbers all year, suddenly looked spry.

Now, the offense looks like it’s in danger. Trevor Lawrence and Christian Kirk will be out, or at the very least severely limited, for the time being. The market is not high on their chances this week in Cleveland (see below).

The Texans have been breathing down the Jags’ necks all season. With their recent winning streak, unimpressive as it’s been at times, the Colts have joined them. Suddenly, the AFC South looks wide open.

Two saving graces may help the Jags. They have the easiest remaining schedule in the division, per Tankathon. And their 4-1 division record has them in lovely shape for any tiebreaker, which includes a sweep of the Colts. Houston certainly needs to get to work, sitting at 1-2.

Jaguars Upcoming Schedule

Miami Dolphins 11 – 6 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Cleveland Browns 11 – 6 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Buffalo Bills 11 – 6 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 23, 2024

Jaguars Week 14 Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars Futures & Week 14 Props

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Statistics

Player GP Games Played CMP% Completion Percentage YDS Passing Yards YDS/G Yards Per Game YDS/C Yards Per Completion TDS Passing Touchdowns INT Interceptions thrown RTG Passer Rating
Player GP Games Played INT Interceptions PD Passes Defended FF Fumbles Forced FR Fumbles Recovered SACK QB Sacks TOT Total Tackles SOLO Solo Tackles AST Assisted Tackles

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