NFL MVP ODDS: WHICH QBS HAVE PRIMETIME GAMES AT THE END OF THE SEASON?

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Written By Derek Wagner | Published at May 16, 2024

With the NFL schedule fully released, we know when the NFL's best quarterbacks will be playing. As such, NFL MVP odds are worth examining. Last year, we saw Brock Purdy and Lamar Jackson battle in Week 16, with Jackson's Ravens winning by a final score of 33-19, and Jackson eventually won MVP.

Let's dive into MVP odds and see if a bet is worth placing now that we have the full 2024 NFL schedule. Make sure to check the best sports betting sites to get the best odds.

2024 NFL MVP odds

MVP ODDS AND PRIMETIME/STANDALONE GAMES CORRELATED

When it comes to awards, including NFL MVP, primetime and standalone games carry more weight than others. Voters of these awards watch these games without any distractions, and recency bias is alive and well. Four of the last six MVP winners have had two primetime or standalone games in the final four weeks of the regular season.

Below is the list of the last four MVP winners along with their standalone games over the final four weeks.

YearPlayerPrimetime/Standalone Game 1Primetime/Standalone Game 2
2023Lamar JacksonWeek 15 SNF @ Jacksonville (23-7)Week 16 MNF @ San Francisco (33-19)
2022Patrick MahomesSaturday Week 16 standalone vs. Seattle (24-10)Saturday Week 18 standalone vs. LV (31-13)
2021Aaron RodgersSaturday Week 15 standalone vs Cleveland (24-22)Week 17 SNF vs Minnesota (37-10)
2020Aaron RodgersSaturday Week 15 standalone vs. Carolina (24-16)Week 16 SNF vs. Tennessee (40-14)

NFL QBS WITH THREE PRIMETIME or standalone GAMES WEEKS 15-18

While there are no QBs with three primetime or standalone games in the last four weeks, Jordan Love may find himself playing Chicago in a standalone game in Week 18.

NFL QBS WITH TWO PRIMETIME or standalone GAMES WEEKS 15-18

The Green Bay quarterback presents an intriguing candidate to win MVP. He plays two primetime games in the final four weeks, Thanksgiving in Week 13, and Thursday Night Football in Week 14. From Week 9-18 last season, Love was second in EPA, trailing only Dak Prescott of the Cowboys. Love also finished second in touchdown passes (32) last year behind Prescott (36).

NFL QBS WITH ONE PRIMETIME or standalone GAMES WEEK 15-18

Jared Goff presents an intriguing longshot candidate to win MVP. Perhaps their Week 17 game at San Fran will decide the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Goff also plays only two games outdoors in November and December, where he has notably struggled throughout his career. If the Lions are sitting atop the NFC at season's end, it's possible that the AFC's No. 1 seed will get more recognition in this market.

The schedule breaks nicely to open the gate for Joe Burrow and the Bengals. They play the Patriots, Chiefs, Commanders, and Panthers to open the season. He only has one primetime game in the final four weeks; however, their Week 17 and 18 games have start times to be determined.

NFL QBS WITH ZERO PRIMETIME or standalone GAMES WEEK 15-18

2024 NFL FLEX SCHEDULING PROCEDURES

The below list is the flexible scheduling procedure for the 2024 NFL season.

The scheduling for Week 18's Saturday, Sunday afternoon, and Sunday night games has not been assigned. It will be announced at the conclusion of Week 17.

FINAL THOUGHTS ON NFL MVP ODDS

In the last six years, only one MVP winner has lost primetime games in the final four weeks of the regular season: Mahomes in 2018. The Chiefs still secured the No. 1 seed in the AFC, which is a staple of winning the award. Rather than playing a quarterback to win MVP from the AFC, playing a quarterback who can topple the 49ers and secure the No. 1 seed in the NFC makes a lot of sense. Jalen Hurts lacks the standalone games at season's end, but the primetime games for Love and the Packers are plentiful.

Best of luck betting on NFL MVP Odds!

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