NFL Most Rushing Yards Odds: Three Players Worth Considering In 2023

Training camps have officially begun, and thus the countdown to betting NFL Week 1 odds also begins. The financial state of the running back position has left some holdouts in camp. Does that mean the door is wider for a longshot in NFL most rushing yards odds to emerge, with a few names that want more money near the top of the board, like Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs and Jonathan Taylor? Let’s dig into some candidates.

NFL Most Rushing Yards Odds

Click on any of the NFL odds from the best sports betting sites to place a wager. Displayed in this table are the best available odds at sportsbooks in your state for each player.

Favorite To Consider: Titans RB Derrick Henry ()

Although last season disappointed Titans fans, Henry was sensational once again. The 29-year-old finished with 1,538 rushing yards with 13 rushing touchdowns and a career-high 33 catches with 398 receiving yards. He finished only second in rushing yards last season to Josh Jacobs, with one less game played.

So, can we expect Henry to dominate one more time before he turns 30? Odds suggest he can, as he’s to have the most rushing yards by a player in 2023. His season-long rushing prop sits at Over/Under /, which is the second highest number behind only Nick Chubb at O/U / yards.

According to NFL Next Gen Stats, Henry saw the second-most boxes with 8+ defenders in the NFL on run plays, behind only Tyler Allgeier. The passing attack was a minimal threat with quarterback Ryan Tannehill sidelined with an ankle injury, and offensive line issues throughout the season. Tennessee’s offensive line was awful, allowing the highest-pressure rate in the league at 27.5%, and only notching Henry an average of 2.1 yards before contact (tied for third lowest in the league).

Although the offensive line lost pieces over the summer, the Titans added WR DeAndre Hopkins via free agency. The addition should help Henry avoid the stacked boxes. Coupled with the change to Tim Kelly as offensive coordinator, there are reasons to be optimistic about the Titans offense this season.

Contender To Consider: Bijan Robinson ()

Arthur Smith hasn’t had a running back this talented since Henry in Tennessee. Under Smith, Henry led the league in rushing in both 2019 and 2020. The 2020 campaign was when Henry became just the eighth running back in NFL history to crack 2,000 rushing yards in a single season. The Alabama product won Offensive Player of the Year. The offense has mostly stayed the same since Smith’s days in Tennessee.

In 2020, the Titans offense was a juggernaut that averaged 29.6 points per contest, relying heavily on the ground attack with nearly 32 rush attempts per game (2nd most in the NFL). Last season with Ridder and Mariota piloting the Falcons offense, Smith’s squad got back to the running game, amassing 32.9 rushing attempts per game, resulting in just under 160 yards on the ground per contest. A lot of that volume was split between Allgeier and Cordarrelle Patterson, but given the draft capital spent on Robinson, the majority of touches will fall to him now.

Does a rookie have what it takes to be the rushing yards leader? If it happened this year, it wouldn’t be the first time. As a rookie in 2016, Ezekiel Elliott eclipsed 1,600 yards on the ground and led the league in rushing. Elliott’s efforts on the ground were aided by the team’s willingness to run the ball, notching over 30 rushing attempts per game that year. Fellow rookie Jordan Howard for the Bears finished second that year in rushing with 1,313 yards.

At , Bijan might be a longshot worth taking a flier on given how run-heavy Smith’s offenses have been in the past.

Longshot to Consider: Javonte Williams

The theory behind adding the Broncos back here is that Sean Payton has a history of leaning heavily on the running game.

His last two years in New Orleans, the Saints finished top five in rushing attempts per game. That said, Payton has never had a running back lead the league in rushing yards. The closest a running back did come to that feat under him was Mark Ingram in 2017 when he finished with 1,124 yards (fifth in the league).

Williams, however, is coming off an ACL tear suffered in Week 4 last year against the Raiders. It’s a risk taking a running back coming off an ACL, but the third year running back out of North Carolina avoided the PUP list heading into training camp. Unless a setback occurs, he’ll break camp as the team’s number-one running back ahead of newly acquired Samaje Perine.

FINAL THOUGHTS

With Kelly inserted as the Titans new offensive coordinator and Tannehill healthy, I like the Titans offense to bound back in a back way. I’ve added one unit on Henry to lead the league in rushing yards at +900. I’ve also sprinkled a half unit on Bijan +1200 and .25 units on Williams at +6000.

All the running backs mentioned above have one thing in common: their offenses rely heavily on the ground attack. Best of luck betting rushing yards leader odds ahead of the start of the season. Best of luck betting on NFL most rushing yards odds.

• Join TheLines.com free sports betting Discord channel, with nearly 4,200 members, talking NFL odds and more.

MORE NFL BETTING PROMOS

Check out the best sportsbook promo codes to bet the NFL below.