2025 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post-Free Agency Projections

NFL free agency is almost in the rearview mirror, with just a few notable names left on the market. Given all the moves throughout the last few weeks, let’s revisit our NFL mock draft for 2025. Prospect projections are also on the move with the NFL Combine, pro days, and more movement written in the books. Specifically, we’re looking at some serious risers like Armand Membou, fallers like Luther Burden, and one more high-profile player.

Follow along with TheLines for NFL draft betting content all spring long. NFL draft odds release slowly, starting with No.1 overall pick markets and moving into more specific markets by mid-April. We’ll update you with the latest NFL draft betting news and odds as those markets drop.

The 2025 NFL draft begins Thursday, April 24, in Green Bay. The first round will air on ABC, ESPN, and NFL Network at 8 p.m. ET/7 p.m. CT. Let’s take a look at TheLines NFL mock draft, version 2.0.

NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds

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NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Picks 1-10

1. Tennessee Titans: Cam Ward, QB, Miami (FL)

There are fewer QB-needy teams than the first time we mocked up a draft. Teams I previously projected to trade up for one of the top prospects now have answers for 2025, likely bridging to a much more exciting QB class in 2026. Specifically, the Giants are likely out of the trade-up QB1 market after signing Russell Wilson. The Raiders traded for Geno Smith, which almost entirely took them out of the early QB market.

With options dwindling, a glut of options at both EDGE and offensive tackle, and a rise in the draft stock of Cam Ward, the Titans are out of moving options. Therefore, I see Tennessee taking a swing on its next franchise QB in Ward. After all, if Ward fails spectacularly, they’ll be in contention for another prospect this time next year.

2. Cleveland Browns: Abdul Carter, EDGE, Penn State

The Browns made EDGE Myles Garrett the highest-paid non-QB in NFL history not long ago, but that doesn’t mean they don’t want to take the best player available and potentially make their pass rush downright scary. The offense is so many pieces away from being comprehensive with Deshaun Watson that there’s no reason to take a shot on a QB here. Cleveland is years away, so may as well start building the scaffolding for that 2037 AFC Wild Card exit.

As a Browns fan, I believe Cleveland should trade out of this spot. But is anyone willing to pay a premium for Carter when they could stay put and grab any other pass rushers? At this point, I don’t see any suitors or targets that make sense.

3. New York Giants: Armand Membou, OT, Missouri

Nobody saw their draft stock improve this spring like Armand Membou. Once a fringe Round 1 prospect, he ended up at No. 17 in my mock draft 1.0. Now, he’s a surefire top-10 pick. We see this momentum almost yearly, and those players on the rise almost always go far above the final projection (see Darnell Wright in 2023).

Wilson provides a bridge QB for 2025. If the Giants want to swing for the fences on their next franchise QB, that’ll probably come in a much better draft class next year. At this point, New York likely looks to add an anchor piece with the next best overall player available, Membou.

4. New England Patriots: Travis Hunter, DB/WR, Colorado

Nothing’s changed since mock draft 1.0 here. Other experts in the industry have Hunter going third or fourth, and he and the first offensive tackle are interchangeable (be it Membou or Will Campbell). Hunter still provides a two-for-one for New England, a handful of pieces away from being a playoff contender.

5. Jacksonville Jaguars: Will Campbell, OT, LSU

Jacksonville lost a handful of offensive linemen to free agency, including Brandon Scherff and Mitch Morse. They signed one starter, Eagles guard Fred Johnson (who suffered a midseason knee injury after six starts), but given the beating Trevor Lawrence took last year, Jacksonville needs to fix its offensive line first and foremost.

Campbell and Membou compete for OT1. However, Membou’s meteoric rise cannot be ignored. Campbell is a strong prospect who likely still goes inside the top five. According to Grinding the Mocks, Campbell is trending more toward a top-eight pick than a top-five.

6. Las Vegas Raiders: Ashton Jeanty, RB, Boise State

Smith takes care of Las Vegas‘ QB problem for the next few years. The Raiders need several positions, especially on offense. While Raheem Mostert adds a bit of pop in the backfield, he has an extensive injury history. The offensive line needs to be addressed, but with the top two options off the board, reaching OT3 would be a reach. Maxx Crosby is locked up for a ton of money, so taking an edge rusher doesn’t make much sense.

So, the Raiders go with the best offensive weapon available, Heisman runner-up Ashton Jeanty. Chip Kelly would get plenty of miles out of a player like Jeanty, and Kelly’s calling the offense this coming season.

7. New York Jets: Mason Graham, DT, Michigan

The Jets patched over at quarterback with Justin Fields for this season, with Tyrod Taylor as a fallback. With a new defensive-minded coach in charge, look for the Jets to take another nasty player up front. Mason Graham projects as a top-10 player, per industry mocks at Grinding the Mocks. The Jets lost Javon Kinlaw and Solomon Thomas from the interior defensive line in free agency, setting up a spot for Graham on Day 1.

Should Graham play out to his projection, paired with Quinnen Williams, few teams have a more sturdy interior than the Jets.

8. Carolina Panthers: Jalon Walker, EDGE, Georgia

Nothing’s changed here from mock draft 1.0.

Further following the Eagles’ blueprint, taking stud defensive players from Georgia seems to be a successful strategy. Walker ranks just a few spots lower in the consensus and falls a few picks further in respected industry mocks. The Panthers need help, well, everywhere. But building the defense takes top priority after a dismal year. Carolina finished dead last in EPA per play allowed and competed with Dallas for the worst run defense in the league.

9. New Orleans Saints: Tyler Warren, TE, Penn State

Full transparency: I had Warren way too low in mock draft 1.0, and I knew it when I wrote it. After free agency, it’s more apparent which teams, including the Saints, can take a shot on Warren. The quarterback seems to be settled (satisfactorily or not) for this season under Derek Carr. Adding a weapon to an offense that fizzled out spectacularly is a priority, and Kellen Moore knows something about involving offensive weapons.

Warren, like his predecessor Taysom Hill, can indeed do it all. However, whether Moore calls on him to play multiple positions is yet to be seen. The option does exist.

10. Chicago Bears: Shemar Stewart, EDGE, Texas A&M

The Bears spent nearly $50M revamping this offensive line in free agency (plus acquiring Jonah Jackson via trade). Ben Johnson understood that the offensive line was problematic enough to need immediate attention and the offense’s biggest hurdle from last season. So, with ample offensive weapons and a rebuilt offensive line, Chicago can turn its attention to defense.

Shermar Stewart saw his draft stock dip during the season and rise again. He’s nearly a consensus top-12 selection in industry mocks and settles in at around 10th, on average. This landing spot makes a lot of sense.

NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Picks 11-20

11. San Francisco 49ers: Jahdae Barron, CB, Texas

One of the fastest-rising players in the pool, Barron’s going much higher than expected should not be a surprise.

12. Dallas Cowboys: Omarion Hampton, RB, North Carolina

Speaking of fast risers … Omarion Hampton is almost a universal Round 1 draft pick. With Jeanty off the board, watch for Dallas to go bold and still fill a serious position of need. Hampton is versatile as both a powerful runner and pass catcher. I liked this selection compared to Michael Penix Jr.’s last year.

13. Miami Dolphins: Nick Emmanwori, SAF, South Carolina

The Dolphins signed Ashton Davis but lost both of last year’s starters to free agency. Safety is a position of need, and there’s a new rising No. 1 SAF in this class: Nick Emmanwori.

14. Indianapolis Colts: Tyler Booker, OG, Alabama

Indianapolis addressed its secondary need in free agency, signing Chavarius Ward for $18M annually. The Colts could use a bump on the offensive line, and Booker provides it.

15. Atlanta Falcons: Mykel Williams, EDGE, Georgia

The receivers in this year’s class are falling projected odds boards, much like 2020. Williams is a strong prospect at a position of need in Atlanta.

16. Arizona Cardinals: Tetairoa McMillan, WR, Arizona

Well, McMillan wouldn’t have to go far from college, would he? Arizona could use another pass catcher to relieve Marvin Harrison Jr. of his constant double teams, and T-Mac provides as good relief as any, especially downfield.

17. Cincinnati Bengals: Jihaad Campbell, LB, Alabama

There’s no solid offensive line choice in the mid-first round, barring Booker falling. The Bengals need defensive help, as people need air to breathe, so they go with a freakishly athletic linebacker. Campbell’s stock is on a steep incline.

18. Seattle Seahawks: Malaki Starks, SAF, Georgia

The Seahawks roster is one of the NFL’s best secondaries, just one more piece away from being truly elite. Watch for them to take on a falling asset in Starks, who used to project as a top-10 pick.

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mike Green, EDGE, Marshall

Tampa did address some need for EDGE in free agency, but that piece comes as a question mark. Haason Reddick sat out most of last season to avoid playing for the Jets. He’s clearly not the future of this defense, as a pass rusher is certainly a need. Green has risen to not just a Round 1 lock but, more likely than not, a top-20 pick.

20. Cleveland Browns (via DEN): Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado

And finally, the elephant in the room finds a home. More and more mock drafts have Sanders falling quite a bit, akin to the Malik Willis–Kenny Pickett–Will Levis draft class. Sanders has flirted with Cleveland all offseason long. The Browns have a track record of trading back up into the first round to draft falling QBs, and Sanders constitutes that.

The Browns have enough draft capital to make it worth Denver’s while. Is this a great move? Who knows.

Possible? Absolutely.

NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Picks 21-32

21. Pittsburgh Steelers: Derrick Harmon, DT, Oregon

The Steelers lost far more than they gained in free agency, notably Larry Ogunjobi along the defensive line. Harmon is a rising commodity who posted his best tape against top-tier Big Ten competition this season.

22. Los Angeles Chargers: Colston Loveland, TE, Michigan

Nothing’s changed here since mock draft 1.0.

Just a year into Jim Harbaugh’s era, his influence on the Chargers is undeniable. With a relatively weak tight end room, one weakened by Hayden Hurst’s UFA designation this spring, Harbaugh went and grabbed one of his premier talents from Ann Arbor.

23. Kansas City Chiefs (via GB): Kevin Banks, OT, Texas

A former top-10 prospect, Banks continues to watch his draft stock fall. With many defense-needy teams in the middle of Round 1, the Chiefs have enough capital to move up to take a tackle. As we saw in the Super Bowl, there’s one position of need: offensive line.

24. Minnesota Vikings: Will Johnson, CB, Michigan

Minnesota went defensive line-heavy in free agency, signing Javon Hargrave and Jonathan Allen. The Vikings also signed a center (Ryan Kelly) and some rotators in the secondary. However, that secondary still needs some assurance, and Will Johnson is a high-level draft prospect who fell due to an ACL injury in 2024.

25. Houston Texans: Matthew Golden, WR, Texas

Houston’s offensive line is a disaster, a measure not fully taken to fix in free agency (actually made worse by trading Leremy Tunsil). The Texans may be leaning into a deep offensive line class. But they also have a massive need for more talented pass catchers than just Nico Collins. Matthew Golden bumped his stock at the combine and is a fast-rising name.

26. Los Angeles Rams: Maxwell Hairston, CB, Kentucky

Just 183 pounds, Hairston ran one of the fastest 40 times at the NFL Combine (4.28). The Rams have a history of taking undersized speedsters in the draft. Hairston might be a surprising first-round name if recent expert mocks are any indicator.

27. Baltimore Ravens: Josh Simmons, OT, Ohio State

At the time of publication, the Ravens’ roster had two true tackles and no clear-cut backups. Though he sustained an injury in 2024, Josh Simmons was one of the best-performing tackles in this class. Simmons could be a top-16 pick if he had played the entire season. The Ravens have a knack for drafting outstanding players deep in the first round.

28. Detroit Lions: Donovan Ezeiruaku, EDGE, Boston College

Ezeiruaku’s name appears almost uniformly across industry mock drafts. The ACC Defensive Player of the Year would be a great fit on a Detroit defense that needs more depth (as we saw after several injuries last year).

29. Washington Commanders: Josh Conerly Jr., OT, Oregon

Despite landing Leremy Tunsil, the Commanders could use more help on their offensive line. Conerly is one of the last remaining Round 1 players this far.

30. Buffalo Bills: Walter Nolen, DT, Ole Miss

After signing Larry Ogunjobi and Joey Bosa this offseason, look for Buffalo to revamp its defensive line for 2025 completely. The Bills must also get creative building their units after inking Josh Allen for $250M guaranteed. Walter Nolen is a strong Round 1 prospect who could impact the Bills on Day 1.

31. Green Bay Packers (from KC): Emeka Egbuka, WR, Ohio State

Receivers are falling down the board this year as interior linemen on both sides continue to rise. Egbuka is a star but could land on a good team late on Day 1. The Packers have a strong quartet of pass catchers, but adding another talent doesn’t hurt.

32. Philadelphia Eagles: Kenneth Grant, DT, Michigan

The defending Super Bowl champions have the luxury of drafting any piece they want as most of the team returns in 2025. The offensive line could be bolstered, but Kenneth Grant is the best available player. Add another big nasty to the Eagles’ front line.

Betting The 2025 NFL Draft

Sportsbooks will slowly release markets, beginning with the No. 1 overall pick and player-specific markets. Depending on your state, these markets may be limited (like in Ohio) or unavailable. Always bet on NFL draft odds at legal US sportsbooks! Once legal US sportsbooks release NFL draft odds, you can find them here at TheLines.

NFL mock draft drops from top names like Dane Brugler, Daniel Jeremiah, Matt Miller, and Mel Kiper will influence these markets. Find credible information and place your bets before these top names release their drafts. We’ll keep you updated here at TheLines with the latest nuggets, so check back this spring for new versions after free agency and closer to the draft itself.

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