NFL MNF Player Props, Same Game Parlay Promos: Raiders At Lions
With Week 8 of NFL betting ending via Monday Night Football odds, the Las Vegas Raiders find themselves heading to Detroit to play the Lions. As both lost in Week 7, they need to get back in the winner’s circle. Detroit is trying to keep themselves above the morass in the NFC North, while the Raiders need to get a win to keep any playoff hopes alive. With that in mind, let’s look at some MNF player props, including potential Same Game Parlay options.
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MnF Player Props: Raiders at Lions
Raiders At Lions MNF Player Props & Same Game Parlay Strategy
With Ian Rapoport saying that Jimmy Garoppolo “should be fine” to play on Monday Night Football, the Raiders should be able to more efficiently move the ball than they did against Chicago last week. That, combined with the shellacking the Lions received in Week 7 from Baltimore, does give fans of offense some reason for optimism.
The Lions should be able to score in this game – their offense is 9th in the league by EPA, and the Raiders’ defense is 27th. If the Lions can’t score in bunches against the defense that gave up 30 points to an undrafted free-agent rookie QB, they have bigger problems.
The questions about this game are more about whether the Raiders can score on Detroit. The Raiders are 23rd in offensive EPA, but it’s possible that the return of Jimmy G can make them more efficient. The good thing for the Raiders is that the Lions’ defense is 25th in the league the last three weeks by EPA, compared to 15th overall. If the Lions’ defensive woes continue, this game could be a high-scoring game.
|Offense Ranking OFF RNK||T28th||2nd|
|Defense Ranking DEF RNK||21st||10th|
|Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG||284||405.5|
|Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG||343.8||318.8|
|Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG||201.3||268.5|
|Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG||1.8||1.5|
MNF Player Props & SGP Legs To Consider
Lions To Cover The Spread ()
The Lions have been a covering machine this year, covering the spread in all five of their wins. They’re being treated like a great team coming off a bad loss, even though it’s unclear if they have more than one impressive win. Kansas City in the opener was great, but it took the Chiefs forgetting how to catch the ball and a defensive touchdown to win.
Since? Three wins against the NFC South, a division full of bad teams, and they beat the Packers, who increasingly look like they suck. The two times they’ve played likely playoff teams, Seattle and Baltimore, they’ve lost and given up 30+ points in regulation.
The problem with this is if you’re looking to fade the Lions. The Raiders also suck, as much as it pains me to type this. Last week exposed some genuine issues with the Lions, and they’ll exist down the stretch. But a Raiders team that is bottom 10 on both sides of the ball by EPA isn’t going to pose the threat that can take down the Lions’ ATS success.
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards (
In 6 starts this season, St. Brown’s worst game was a 5 for 56-yard game against the Packers. That was the game where the Lions’ 24-point halftime lead limited how much they needed to throw, of course. Besides, he has more than 71 yards in every game this season and has broken 100 yards four times, including the last two weeks.
The Raiders have given up 75+ yard games to receivers in 5 of their last six games, and even last week, DJ Moore managed 54 yards with an undrafted QB and a run-heavy game script. For the more pass-happy Lions, they should see Amon-Ra join the list of wideouts to torch the Raiders.
Jimmy Garoppolo Over Passing Attempts ()
Given the confidence that the Lions are going to be successful moving the ball, the Raiders are going to have to throw and throw a lot. Josh Jacobs and his 2.9 yards/carry aren’t helping the Raiders do so. If the Raiders want to keep this game even remotely close, they’ll have to throw a lot.
Jimmy G threw 44 times against Pittsburgh earlier this season, a similar game where they trailed for most of it but weren’t disastrously out of it. If they realize early enough that Jacobs’ 2 yards and a cloud of dust isn’t enough, they should cruise to this over.
Jakobi Meyers Over Receiving Yards ()
Averaging over six receptions a game this season, Meyers has become a favorite of Jimmy G. With opposing defenses prioritizing taking out Davonte Adams, Meyers has been able to pick apart weaker secondary options. With the Raiders likely trailing and Meyers having hauled in 5 TDs in 6 games, there’s value across all his props.
The reason his receptions prop makes sense is that it correlates exceptionally well with the Jimmy G attempts bet. If the Raiders have to throw a ton, Meyers will be peppered with targets. Whether he can break them for the necessary yards or not is less clear, but he should see a high volume of short to intermediate throws all game long.
Same Game Parlay PROMOS
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