Best Bears at Vikings MNF Prop Bets, SGP Promos: Will Josh Dobbs Score A Touchdown?

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Written By Evan Scrimshaw | Last Updated

Monday Night Football odds for Week 12 feature an NFC North battle between the scrappy Chicago Bears and the surprisingly frisky Minnesota Vikings. With the Vikings somehow still above .500 with quarterback Josh Dobbs now at the helm, this game takes on an elevated importance in the NFC Playoff picture. The Bears are trying to figure out if Justin Fields is their QB of the future, and showed fight in Week 11 against the Lions.  In this post, we’ll look at MNF player props and potential same game parlay legs.

Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting in those MNF player props and share available SGP odds boosts. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on TheLines.com to shop player prop prices from the best betting sites. Click on the sportsbook odds below to bet now.

MnF Player Props: Bears At Vikings

Bears At Vikings MNF Player Props & Same Game Parlay Strategy

With an NFC North battle on tap, these two teams will have more familiarity than most opponents. The problem with handicapping this game is that neither team has been able to figure out who they are recently. With Justin Fields just returning from injury last week and Josh Dobbs a mid-season acquisition, figuring out what’s signal and what’s noise is rough.

Getting that right matters for MNF player props. Correlating those props is an essential part of betting SGPs. If you succeed in getting the overall narrative of the game correct, it is much easier to hit props if they align with that game script.

In this case, despite the uncertainty, we’re going to fade the feel-good story of Josh Dobbs, and go for a team that’s shown more fight than they get credit for.

Bears At Vikings MNF Player Props TO COnsider

Josh Dobbs Anytime Touchdown ()

One of the few things that has been consistent about Dobbs in Arizona and Minnesota is his running. Rushing for touchdowns in all three of his Minnesota starts and five straight overall, Dobbs has been a lethal red zone threat for the Vikings.

Additionally, the Bears defense has been stiff against running backs. They concede the lowest yards per rush in the league, which should neuter Alexander Mattison and his measly 3.7 yards per carry. That means that Dobbs must continue his streak of rushing in critical spots.

It’s a good spot, with the Vikings’ offense being deprived of substantially better options. Given the already sizable price cut from last week to this one, this might also be the last week we get this at plus money.

Vikings K Greg Joseph Over FGs

In the Josh Dobbs era, the Vikings have kicked 8 FGs, and he’s made 7 of those 8. His only miss was from north of 50, which is understandable. The Vikings offense is fine, but against a defense that’s playing okay and with a mediocre QB a lot of drives will end in FGs.

This also correlates well with an under because Minnesota having to settle for Field Goals helps reduce the overall scoring in this game.

Potential MNF Same Game Parlay LEGS

Bears

The Vikings have once again lucksacked their way to a positive record, riding a three-game winning streak before losing on Sunday to the Broncos. Yes, a winning record and a 2-1 record since Kirk Cousins went down is laudable, but the Vikings’ two wins with Josh Dobbs came against the NFC South.

In total, the six Vikings wins are mostly unimpressive – three wins against the NFC South, the Bears without Fields, Green Bay (who Packers fans like myself willingly admit suck), and then San Fran. Oh, and it took Brock Purdy getting concussed midway through the game and playing through it to beat the Niners.

Are the Bears good? I have no idea. They’re up to the top half of the league in Defensive EPA the last month, and Fields was 7th in Dropback EPA for Week 11. But more importantly, as fun as the Josh Dobbs story is, he should not be laying a field goal and a hook against basically anyone in the league right now.

Under

The logical case for this game going under isn’t hard to make, but this isn’t about logic. It’s about the fact that primetime unders are 28-7 this year, and MNF under are 12-1, and frankly, I’m sick of stepping in front of that bus.

Does this mean this game will shoot out for 60 points now that I’ve bet this under? Of course it does, but both teams are more rushing-heavy than you’d think. Chicago is third for the season in rush percentage, and the Vikings are fifth in the Josh Dobbs era. A running clock reduces the number of plays and helps an under.

Also, Fields is in the top five in interception rate this year, and if there’s an errant Fields pass at the right time, that could take all the air out of this game.

Best of luck betting MNF player props!

STATS
Bears logo Bears CHI
Vikings logo Vikings MIN
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

MNF SGP Odds Boosts

NFL WEEK 1
Steelers, Dolphins, Bears, Lions All Win
+700
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