NFL MNF Player Props, Same Game Parlay Promos: Chargers at Jets
Week 9 betting concludes with Monday Night Football odds as the Chargers visit the Jets. Los Angeles is a road favorite, with New York on the moneyline to win the game. The Over/Under is a low . In this post, we’ll break down MNF player props from the best sports betting sites.
MnF Player Props: Chargers at Jets
Chargers At Jets MNF Player Props & Same Game Parlay Strategy
With such a low total, this game will be one of the more intriguing matchups. This matchup is as much about these teams’ weaknesses as their strengths. Regarding the matchups, we see two top-10 units going against each other and two bottom-10 units. The Jets’ defense is ninth by EPA against the Chargers’ seventh-ranked offense, but on the other side, we see the 27th-ranked Chargers defense against the 31st-ranked Jets offense.
At some level, this game comes down to whether the Jets can win either of those battles. If Zach Wilson can beat the Chargers’ eminently scorable defense, this game could get very exciting. If the Jets Defense steps up but Zach can’t do much, this could be a slog.
Picking which of the Jets units is likelier to win their matchup is also key to the props and SGP markets this week. As always, correlating your bets is crucial to long-term success, and getting correlated bets increases your chances of winning. If you think Justin Herbert will struggle to score, then the props you bet are radically different than if you think this game has sneaky shootout potential.
In my view, this game has that shootout potential. The Chargers’ defense is as bad as advertised, and Zach Wilson is mobile enough to get around their only good unit, their pass rush. If he can buy time, the Jets should be able to move the ball downfield. And if this game can pace up even a bit, this could get spicy.
Chargers Jets MNF Props
We’ve all seen the Primetime Unders chatter going around, but this total is just too low for a game with one of the league’s bonafide actually good QBs in it. Yes, the Jets’ defense is good, but they’ve given up bunches of points this season. 30 to the Cowboys, 23 to the Chiefs, and 21 to the Broncos suggest they’re not the ’85 Bears.
Conversely, we have seen the Chargers get blitzed by bad teams. Ryan Tannehill put up 27, the Vikings put up 24, and even Aiden O’Connell, in his first-ever start, put up 17. The Jets don’t have to do anything special with the low total. Stay in this to even some marginal degree, and this game can pop.
Also note, we have a disagreement with our staff on the total. Lead writer Eli Hershkovich and Megapod co-host Adam Candee have bet the Under tonight.
Jets QB Zach Wilson Over Rushing Yards ()
Wilson doesn’t have a reputation as a runner, but he is more speedy on the ground than his reputation. More to the point, he’s gone over this number four straight weeks. The Chargers’ defensive scheme also lends itself to QB running. Their pass rush can be lethal, but when it doesn’t get home, there can be running lanes. Dak Prescott got 40 yards against them and Pat Mahomes got 29 on the ground in recent weeks.
If the Chargers get up early in this game, as is certainly possible, the more snaps Zach will have to take in obvious passing situations. One of the ways they might break the Chargers’ defense is on the ground, as we’ve seen can work recently.
Zach Wilson Over Interceptions ()
Wilson has been much less error-prone so far this season, only throwing 1 INT since the beginning of Week 3. That said, if this game is going to be on the high-scoring side, then Wilson will have to throw. If the Chargers can get their pass rush home, the chances of a classic Zach Wilson error go up. For someone who can always be one pass away, his recent run of decent interception avoidance has lowered the price without changing who he is at a fundamental level.
Charger WR Keenan Allen Over Receptions
This is purely a bet on who will avoid Sauce Gardner, and the guy who loves slot targets seems like a good bet. Allen’s averaging nearly eight receptions a game, and even if you ignore his best (and worst) games, he’s still averaging 6.6. His ability to vacuum up targets in the Chargers offense is still unparalleled. With the Chargers likely sacrificing someone to the Reincarnation of Revis Island, that’s more targets for Allen.
|Offense Ranking OFF RNK||12th||31st|
|Defense Ranking DEF RNK||32nd||15th|
|Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG||347.5||260.2|
|Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG||390.6||323.5|
|Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG||243.5||166.8|
|Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG||1.1||1.8|
Monday Night Football Same game Parlay Odds Boosts
TheLines recommends comparing odds boosts across the sports betting market to lock in the best available price.
Learn more about Odds Boosts here.