NFL MNF Player Props, ATTD Odds, SGP Promos: Seahawks At Giants
Monday Night Football wraps up Week 4 with a battle of two NFC playoff hopefuls. The stakes are high with the Seattle Seahawks trying to get to 3-1 and the New York Giants trying to get to 2-2. And with that comes an excellent opportunity to look at some MNF player props, which can also be used as legs in potential same game parlays. When betting props and SGPs, check out the best sports betting sites to ensure you’re getting the best prices. Do that can be the difference between long-term profitability or loss.
Same Game Parlay Prop Strategy
Betting SGPs and even multiple props in the same game can be profitable. One of the best ways to ensure profitability over any sustained period of time is to ensure that your bets are well correlated. Ensuring correlation reduces the amount of things you have to get right about a given game. Getting a game’s broad narrative right makes getting the specific bets right easier, as you’re less likely to be praying a team makes decisions against their game script.
In this case, with a coinflip spread, there are a lot of potential ways this game could go. That said, I’ve got a relatively strong stance on this game, and that’s where this SGP and prop discussion has to start.
Potential SGP Legs & MNF PLAYER Props
Seahawks Moneyline ()
Both the Giants and the Seahawks are in the bottom 10 in Defensive EPA so far this season. With that, this game will be decided on offense. There is a significant difference there.
While the Giants are in the bottom 10 in Offensive EPA, the Seahawks are 4th. The Giants have played a tougher set of defenses, but Daniel Jones and Co. have looked good for precisely one of the six halves they’ve played this season.
On the other hand, the Seahawks seem to have found something closer to their 2022 form as this season has worn on, especially offensively. Their offense in the last two weeks would rank No. 2 on the season. And there’s little reason to think this will stop against a team that has yet to give up less than 28 points.
Throw in a banged-up Saquon Barkley at RB, and the Giants appear worse than Seattle. I don’t believe this game should be lined as a coin flip.
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Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker Over Receiving Yards
Walker showed some receiving touch in Week 3, hauling in three balls and connecting for a long catch and run with Geno Smith. Getting Walker out in space is a key for the Seahawks offense, and one of the ways they can do that is more receiving work. Given the success they had with it last week, it’s likely they’ll at least try it again.
The other reason to try it is the success teams have had with it against the Giants. Last week, the Niners backs caught eight balls out of the backfield. The low number will make this profitable if Walker can take advantage of similar opportunities.
Jason Myers Over 2.5 PATs Made
This one is a simple value bet – Seattle’s over 2.5 touchdowns was -140 earlier this week, and Myers to make over 2.5 PATs is +135. Myers continues to be one of the best kickers in the league, 13-of-14 so far this season on FGs less than 40 yards and PATs. This 75-cent gap in price between these outcomes is absurd.
With Seattle facing a bottom-10 defense, the likelihood of them scoring three TDs is high. Getting a sizable price increase on that by betting PATs made and not touchdowns is an excellent way of extracting value.
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