NFL Divisional Playoffs Key Numbers: Chiefs Available At +3

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
NFL key numbers

NFL playoff odds feature a couple of games around key numbers for the divisional round. The high-profile tilt between recent playoff rivals in Orchard Park has the Chiefs bouncing on and off +3. And consistent Detroit money has the Buccaneers inching closer to getting the full touchdown in some spots. Here, we’ll primarily focus on games hovering at or near these NFL key numbers with brief discussions of why or if they might move.

When betting on football, bettors must always keep in mind key numbers. NFL key betting numbers are precisely what they sound like. They are numbers in the spread that often hold the key to winning and losing. They frequently determine wins and losses in spread betting because they represent the most common margins of victory.

Football fans should naturally be aware that three and seven dominate (secondary key numbers include six, four, and 10). Things have changed a bit in recent years thanks to the longer extra point. But, historically, around 24% of games end with margins of three or seven.

NFL Key Numbers Near 3 For Divisional Playoffs

Bills At Chiefs

These markets opened with Bills odds at -3 in some spots but ticked down to -2.5 pretty much across the board as Chiefs money flooded in. However, the market appears to be split at this time. A few shops are still hanging +3 on Chiefs odds at -115 or -120, while others have opted for expensive Bills -2.5 odds as high as -125.

These clubs have a rich recent rivalry, with the Bills getting the better of things in recent regular-season meetings while the Chiefs own a pristine 2-0 playoffs mark. Of course, they met in the latter half of this regular season, with the Bills squeaking out a win thanks in Arrowhead thanks in no small part to Kadarius Toney lining up offsides on the probable game-winning touchdown.

This is a rare spot where bettors can get a good number no matter which side they like. The NFL injury report figures to heavily influence where this might settle. Buffalo, already snakebitten with defensive injuries, experienced yet more attrition against Pittsburgh. Keep an eye on how that develops.

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NFL Divisional Spreads Near Key Number of 7

Buccaneers At Lions

This number opened with Lions odds at -5.5 after the stirring home win over the Rams. Surprisingly, despite the Buccaneers absolutely thrashing the defending NFC champs, sharp action has backed the Lions early. Similar to the Chiefs, whether this proves a head fake to help get a bigger bet down on a good number the other way remains to be seen. But whatever the case, the Lions ticked up to -6 immediately and have since inched to -6.5 in most spots.

That leaves Buccaneers odds just shy of the key number. Will it get there?

When these two teams met early in the season, the Lions crushed the Bucs in Tampa. The 20-6 final fairly reflects a dominant showing by Detroit. The Bucs couldn’t stop Detroit through the air, allowing 7.2 YPA dropping back.

Still, there doesn’t appear to be a ton of market faith in the Lions. Sharps bet heavily against them in the wild-card round. It would be a surprise to see this reach the key number. But it may be worth waiting for if you like the Bucs, considering the alternative is probably still a +6.

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