NFL Interception Odds: Might Favorite QBs To Throw Most INTs Be Vulnerable?

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
nfl interception odds

NFL interception odds are available at multiple sportsbooks. Dak Prescott and Josh Allen are near the top of odds boards to throw the most interceptions. They threw 15 and 14 INTs last year, respectively. Favorites Matthew Stafford and Baker Mayfield may also be vulnerable favorites if sidelined at some point. Might Steelers second-year quarterback Kenny Pickett be a live longshot to lead the league this year? What about Jordan Love in his first full season as the Packers starting QB?

Let’s dig into whether any longshots in NFL interception odds are worth a bet.

NFL INTERCEPTION ODDS: To Throw Most In 2023

Overall, the odds in this market vary greatly across some of the best NFL betting sites. Shop around to ensure the biggest potential profit. We’ve tried to help in the table below. If you don’t see a quarterback you’re looking for, click any of the odds and navigate to that book for the full market.

The Favorites: Dak Prescott

Prescott slots in as one of the favorites at after tying Davis Mills for the league lead at 15 interceptions in 2022. The Cowboys and offensive coordinator Kellen Moore parted ways this offseason, allowing him to take the offensive coordinator job with the Chargers.

That leaves head coach Mike McCarthy likely calling plays in 2023. Can McCarthy elevate this offense like he did in Green Bay though?

When McCarthy last called plays, he utilized a West Coast offense with high passing volume. That volume would be concerning, considering Prescott led the league in INTs and only played in 12 games a year ago. Based on that, it should be no surprise that he also led the league with a 3.8% interception rate.

In 2018, when McCarthy last called plays, Aaron Rodgers averaged more than 35 pass attempts per game. Rodgers has always been careful with the football and limiting turnovers though, while Prescott has been more of a risk taker. For reference, Prescott averaged about 32 attempts per game a year ago, which would’ve put him at 10th in the league had he played all 17 games. Even though Dak insists he won’t throw 10 interceptions this season, increased volume could dictate otherwise.

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The Contenders: Jordan Love

The top of the odds board is tight for this market, but Jordan Love presents a compelling option at . The Packers and Love agreed on a one-year contract extension in May, despite his limited playing time in his young NFL career.

Love had a 4.8% INT rate as a rookie on just 62 attempts. That jives with a 4.6% INT rate in his first two preseasons.

He’s a wildcard, however, given his lack of playing time. It does at least appear safe to assume Love will not get benched. If Love is turning the ball over at a high clip, Green Bay is unlikely to turn the reigns over to rookie QB Sean Clifford. They need to see what they have in Love since his limited snaps make him an unknown at this stage of his career.

On the other hand, if a QB like Baker Mayfield is turning the ball over at a high clip, he’ll likely be benched in favor of Kyle Trask.

A Longshot To Consider: Kenny Pickett

The Steelers made a slight and subtle change to the coaching staff this offseason that is worth noting. The team brought in Glenn Thomas as an offensive assistant coach for the upcoming season, a move that has gone widely unnoticed by casual fans.

Thomas coached in the college ranks from 2015-22, but from 2012-14 was with the Falcons as their quarterbacks coach. In his three years in Atlanta, Matt Ryan never finished lower than sixth in pass attempts in a season. If offensive coordinator Matt Canada’s offense isn’t moving the ball successfully, the team could turn the reigns over to Thomas.

Pittsburgh is also unlikely to bench Pickett in favor of Trubisky, and instead could Canada as the scapegoat in this scenario.

The addition of Thomas isn’t the only sign of an increased passing attack; the scoop around camp also suggests an increased volume.

In speaking to the media, head coach Mike Tomlin said, “As you search for chunk plays, the potential for negativity is probably more prevalent, and we just weren’t interested in a whole bunch of negativity a year ago.”

Tomlin wants more explosive plays this year, particularly in the passing game. It’s a fair desire, given that the team boasts talented players like Diontae Johnson and George Pickens.  If the team fails to increase the passing volume, it would be a disservice to Johnson and Pickens, neither of whom eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards.

Furthermore, Pittsburgh needs to get the ball down field with urgency this year if they want to compete in the AFC North. The Bengals are lethal in this regard; meanwhile, the Ravens hope that a healthy Lamar paired with a new OC can spark fireworks. 

Pickett had nine picks on a 2.3% INT rate as a rookie.

final thoughts on nfl interception leader odds

Pickett’s odds of to lead the league in interceptions are intriguing if the team looks to unleash him this season. His odds can be found as high as +2500 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Our best advice if interested in betting into this market is SHOP AROUND! There is great disagreement between sportsbooks as to which QBs should be favored and what each QB’s odds are. Some are favoring options with increased chances of missing significant time this year, like Stafford and Mayfield. Others are favoring players in offenses that may have low passing volume, like Justin Fields.

Best of luck betting NFL interception odds.

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