Dolphins vs. Chiefs In Germany Player Props, NFL Same Game Parlay Promos

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Written By Derek Wagner on November 4, 2023
NFL MVP odds

The NFL international games continue this weekend as the Miami Dolphins face the Kansas City Chiefs in Frankfurt, Germany. These player props trickled in on Tuesday and Wednesday, giving fans plenty of time to select their favorites. The Chiefs are a spread favorite, with the Dolphins on the moneyline to win the game. This matchup is sure to have some fireworks with a total of . So, let’s dig into the Chiefs-Dolphins player props.

Below, I’ll explain who I’m targeting for Germany player props as Week 9 kicks off early Sunday morning. Use our free Prop Finder Tool on to compare player prop numbers and the best anytime touchdown odds at the best sports betting sites.

Chiefs vs. Dolphins PLAYER PROPS

Isaiah Pacheco Over () Rushing Yards

The Dolphins’ run defense has been subpar, to put it kindly, during the first eight weeks of the year. They rank 29th in rush EPA and 28th in rushing success rate allowed to their opponents. Their poor ranking doesn’t show up on the box scores for most of their games, as they’re in a positive game script, and their opponents are forced to throw late in games.

As far as rushing direction is concerned, the Dolphins have gotten gashed when teams run off the left end of the line, which is where Pacheco thrives. When running off the left end, Pacheco averages 6.4 yards per carry. If the Chiefs run off the left end, he may pop a big one and help this number go over.

His 335 yards after contact (7th in the NFL) is problematic for Miami as well, considering they grade out as a league-average tackling unit (via PFF). Even if they wrap him up, Pacheco will likely fight for extra yardage. When they faced D’Andre Swift, another big yards after contact back, 36 of his 62 yards came after contact. In many ways, this is a bad matchup for Miami’s defense against one of the best running backs in the league.

Jaylen Waddle under () longest reception

I’m going back to the well here with this Waddle under. Kansas City’s defense has done a fantastic job at limiting explosive plays, allowing them at a mere eight percent clip, the 4th lowest in the league. Their ability to limit explosive plays is a big reason for their success and one of the many reasons the defense ranks fifth in EPA.

When facing more formidable defenses this season like Philadelphia and Buffalo’s, Waddle has gone under this number in both games. His longest reception against the Bills was for 17 yards, and his longest against the Eagles was 16. The step-up in class hasn’t suited Waddle well, and I think he will go under this number again. Hill has seemingly been unstoppable, so betting an under on him makes for a sweaty experience every time he goes in motion pre-snap. I’d rather play against Waddle, especially considering his 26% target share compared to Hill’s eye-popping 35%.

Tua Tagovailoa to throw an interception ()

While Tua has been one of the more accurate quarterbacks in the NFL in recent years, he’s turning the ball over at a high rate this season. His seven interceptions on the year are the third most in the league.

He’s struggled, mainly when teams have been able to generate pressure against him. When pressured, he’s completed 19 of 48 passes for two touchdowns and two interceptions. The Chiefs defense boasts the fourth-highest pressure rate in the league, which doesn’t bode well for Miami’s offense. Tackle Terron Armstead returned to practice on Wednesday this week, opening up his 21-day window to be activated. If he sits out, Steve Spagnuolo doesn’t need to bring as many blitzes to generate pressure against the Dolphins’ offense. Best of luck betting on Chiefs vs. Dolphins player props!

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Dolphins logo Dolphins MIA
Chiefs logo Chiefs KC
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 1st 8th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 7th 4th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 430.5 364.9
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 305.2 290
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 285.3 258.5
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.7 1.7


NFL Week 9 Odds Boosts

Prescott Over 299.5 Pass Yards & Over 1.5 Pass TDs
Metcalf Over 59.5 Receiving Yards & TD

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BetMGM Same Game Parlay Insurance

BetMGM‘s SGP offer returns for the NFL Week 8 slate. Place an SGP for Sunday’s games, and if your parlays lose by only one leg, you’ll receive bonus bets back. Check the promotions tab on BetMGM for full terms and conditions.

FanDuel SGP Promotions

Head to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out their SGP offer for this weekend. The Gronk Profit Spike offers a 50% profit boost on 3+ leg SGP wagers.

DraftKings SGP Promotion

DraftKings Sportsbook has SGP profit boosts to use on any NFL game on Sunday. Log in to to your account and opt-in to the NFL 50% boost promotion along the banner at the top. Place a 3+ leg NFL SGP for any game on 11/5, and you’ll receive a 50% profit boost. Head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to view this offer’s full terms and conditions.


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