Rumors, Odds, Bets To Consider For Las Vegas NFL Draft

Written By FairwayJay on April 25, 2022 - Last Updated on April 26, 2022
nfl draft rumors

The 2022 NFL Draft is this week in Las Vegas April 28-30. What were the odds of that happening less than five years ago? Likely longer than the Houston Texans 2023 Super Bowl odds, which NFL Draft host Caesars Sportsbook has at 250-1. But the NFL Draft rumors are moving draft odds quickly, and the sharper players have taken a position on some key players.

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NFL Draft Rumors And Odds Moves

Despite Injury, Jameson Williams Rising

The 2022 NFL Draft wide receiver odds reveal three players at the top of the receiver pool. This class is not as talented or deep as 2020 or 2021, but we’re still likely to see more first-round wide receivers than the five-year average of 3.6.

Despite suffering an ACL injury in the national championship game, and now three months removed from knee surgery, Alabama’s Jameson Williams is still considered by some the number one receiver in this class. He had a spectacular season in his one year at Alabama in 2021, catching 79 passes for 1,572 yards and 15 touchdowns. Williams (+300) currently has the third-lowest odds at Caesars Sportsbook to be the first wide receiver drafted.

In a conversation with Adam Pullen, Assistant Director of Trading at Caesars Sportsbook, Pullen told TheLines that Williams has taken “a bulk of action and attention,” and is down from +900 to be the first wide receiver drafted. Williams is a liability to Caesars, and his over/under draft position a week ahead of the 2022 NFL Draft was 11.5 (over -170). Both FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsboook have Williams over/under draft position at 12.5 (over -115).

Williams’ former Ohio State teammate, Garrett Wilson (-150) and Drake London (+160) of USC are expected to go just ahead of Williams. But that was the case in 2020 with fellow Alabama WR Henry Ruggs, who ended up being the first wide receiver drafted ahead of high-projected receivers Jerry Jeudy of Alabama, CeeDee Lamb of Oklahoma and Justin Jefferson of LSU.

BetMGM is even more bullish on Williams still being the first wide receiver drafted with his odds at +150, and just behind Wilson (-120).

Last year, former Alabama WR Jaylen Waddle was taken No. 6 overall by the Miami Dolphins.

Derek Stingley Jr. Tops Market in Louisiana’s First Year Of Legal NFL Draft Bets

One of the new online betting markets this year is Louisiana sports betting. And the Pelican State is showing significant support for one of it’s own, LSU’s Derek Stingley. Louisiana has free bet offers that can be used on Stingley props as a top NFL prospect.

Stingley is another draft hopeful returning from injury. The star cornerback suffered a torn ligament in his left foot — a Lisfranc injury — during preseason practices prior to the 2021 season. He played the first three games with the ailment before re-aggravating it ahead of the Tigers’ game against Mississippi State. Stingley had surgery in late September, and the former first team All SEC performer was cleared to workout a month before LSU’s pro day earlier this month. Stingley ran a 4.37 second 40 yard dash in front of NFL coaches and personnel.

It appears teams are convinced Stingley will be fine in his recovery and ability to perform at the pro level. Stingley (+250) will likely be one of the first two cornerbacks drafted with Cincinnati’s Ahmad Gardner (-500) the favorite. The over/under for the number of cornerbacks drafted in the first round is 4.5 (under -150).

Stingley’s recent Mock Draft predictions include first-round projections:

  • Sporting News: New York Giants (No. 7)
  • CBS Sports: Washington Commanders (No. 11)
  • ESPN: Minnesota Vikings (No. 12).

Stingley’s over/under draft position at Caesars Sportsbook is 9.5, and FanDuel has his odds to be a top-10 pick at -200.

“We’ve taken much more recreational action in Louisiana, but have also seen some bigger bets recently on Stingley too,” Pullen told TheLines. While limits are reduced in some NFL Draft markets, Caesars has taken some bets from $1,000 to $2,000 on Stingley, including to be the No. 3 overall pick to the Houston Texans, now at +600 odds.

Other NFL Draft Rumors And Market Moves

Georgia defensive lineman and edge rusher Travon Walker has seen his draft stock skyrocket over the past two months. He’s gone from a non-contender first round pick to legit top-10 selection. Now, Walker (-200) is the favorite to be the No. 1 pick over Michigan edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson (+250).

Caesars Adam Pullen told TheLines “there is more volatility in the final week into the NFL Draft.”

The No. 1 overall pick market has been available to bettors the longest, and taken the most money according to Pullen. With no consensus overall No. 1 pick like last year with QB Trevor Lawrence, the market has fluctuated and moved more. But player draft position is a very popular market, and among the most bet according to Pullen.

Alabama offensive lineman Evan Neal opened the pre-draft process as the potential No. 1 overall pick. Pullen told TheLines that “Neal took steam to be the No. 1 pick, but now we’ve taken more action on over 4.5,” as Neal’s draft position. Neal is now up to 5.5 as his draft position at FanDuel and DraftKings, and his odds to be the first pick in the 2022 NFL Draft have fallen to +700. Neal is currently +110 to be the first offensive lineman drafted, per Caesars Sportsbook, with the Ikem Ekwonu (-190) of NC State the favorite.

The top 3 draft position markets in handle at Caesars Sportsbook heading into the week of the 2022 NFL Draft include the most money on three players:

  • WR Garrett Wilson – Under 10.5
  • OL Evan Neal – Over 4.5
  • DL George Karlaftis – Over 19.5

A strong EDGE class has caused Purdue’s George Karlaftis draft stock to slip a bit. His draft position has moved from 17.5 to 19.5 at Caesars Sportsbook, with Pullen adding, “We’ve taken a lot of over money on Karlaftis.”

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FairwayJay is a leading national sports and gaming analyst and is recognized as one of the sports industry's most insightful professionals. Jay has pursued his passions and maintained a pulse on the sports, gaming and poker industries while living in Las Vegas for nearly two decades. He's been a regular featured guest on sports and gaming radio shows, podcasts and produces sports betting and related industry articles and content for various sites and sources.

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