2021 NFL Draft Odds: Could Anyone Make A Burrow-Esque Leap Over Trevor Lawrence?

Posted By Brett Gibbons on April 27, 2020

The 2020 NFL Draft is in the books, which means it’s already time to look ahead to this same time next year. DraftKings Sportsbook released its early odds for the 2021 NFL Draft, which is loaded with some serious talent. Let’s take a look at what next year’s draft has to offer.

2021 NFL Draft betting markets

First Overall Pick
First QB Drafted
First RB Drafted
First WR Drafted
First OL Drafted

Game
04/22/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Trevor Lawrence
Bet now
-305
Bet now
-286
Justin Fields
Bet now
+300
Bet now
+310
Penei Sewell
Bet now
+400
Bet now
+450
D'Eriq King
Bet now
+1600
Bet now
+1600
Micah Parsons
Bet now
+2500
Bet now
+2500
Jamie Newman
Bet now
+3300
Bet now
+3500
Alex Leatherwood
Bet now
+3300
Bet now
+3500
Gregory Rousseau
Bet now
+3300
Bet now
+3500

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Trevor Lawrence
Bet now
-400
Justin Fields
Bet now
+350
D'Eriq King
Bet now
+1000
Jamie Newman
Bet now
+1200
Sam Ehlinger
Bet now
+1800
Kellen Mond
Bet now
+2000
Brock Purdy
Bet now
+2000
KJ Costello
Bet now
+3300

Game
04/22/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Travis Etienne
Bet now
-125
Najee Harris
Bet now
+150
Chuba Hubbard
Bet now
+300
Kylin Hill
Bet now
+450

Game
04/22/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Ja'Marr Chase
Bet now
+100
DeVonta Smith
Bet now
+400
Jaylen Waddle
Bet now
+400
Rashod Bateman
Bet now
+700
Tylan Wallace
Bet now
+700
Rondale Moore
Bet now
+800
Justyn Ross
Bet now
+1200
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Bet now
+2000

Game
04/22/2021
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Penei Sewell
Bet now
-400
Alex Leatherwood
Bet now
+400
Walker Little
Bet now
+700
Sam Cosmi
Bet now
+1200
Jaylen Mayfield
Bet now
+1400

Another big favorite for No. 1 overall

Clemson’s superstar quarterback Trevor Lawrence (pictured) is the favorite to be the first overall pick, which is surprising to few. Lawrence (-305) has been hailed as the best quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck and is seen as a surefire franchise-changer. However, as history will show, the early favorite doesn’t always turn out to be the first pick. Just this past year, Tua Tagovailoa held the best odds (-200) to be the first overall pick, and the slogan “Tank for Tua” was a favorite for many teams. After an incredible year from 2020 first overall pick Joe Burrow, Tua fell to the Dolphins at the fifth pick. Burrow wasn’t even listed on lists for the first pick at this time.

Ohio State’s Justin Fields (+300) falls behind Lawrence, followed by Oregon offensive lineman Penei Sewell (+400). The debate between Fields and Lawrence could very well come down to a championship (and possibly a matchup between the two signal callers). Fields has shown his ability to make NFL throws and make them look easy. Depending on who secures the first overall pick, Sewell could wind up as the top pick after he dominated college football at just 18 years old.

Another player that could make the jump from farther down the list include Alabama’s Alex Leatherwood (+3300), who made a surprising return to school after being graded a top-10 talent. Miami defensive end Gregory Rousseau (+3300) could also make a run if he has a standout season.

The next Burrow out there?

While Lawrence and Fields look like likely candidates to be the first quarterbacks selected, DraftKings also listed D’Eriq King (+1000), Jamie Newman (+1200), Sam Ehlinger (+1800), and Kellen Mond (+2000) as potential candidates. King is a walking highlight reel who brings his talents from Houston to Miami, but has not shown the chops to be an NFL quarterback so far. The last time a Texas quarterback was drafted in the first round was Vince Young in 2006, but Ehlinger runs an NFL-adaptable system in Austin.

Clemson, Alabama lead the skill positions

Clemson’s Travis Etienne (-125) leads all running backs in odds to be drafted first, but as shown in the 2020 NFL Draft, teams focus more on fit than talent with running backs. Najee Harris (+150), Chubba Hubbard (+300), and Kylin Hill (+450) round out the listed candidates. All four were suspected to declare for the draft this past season, but all chose to return to their respective schools for one more year.

Alabama, yet again, has two top receivers expected to be in the draft pool, with DeVonta Smith (+400) and Jaylen Waddle (+400) looking very similar to the Jerry Jeudy-Henry Ruggs III duo that went 15th and 12th in this year’s draft, respectively. LSU’s young superstar Ja’Marr Chase (+100) leads all receivers in odds to be the first taken and the excitement surrounding him is already very evident. Minnesota’s Rashod Bateman (+700), Oklahoma State’s Tylan Wallace (+700), Purdue’s Rondale Moore (+800), and Clemson’s Justyn Ross (+1200) round out the rest of the crop. Moore has shown the ability to be a game-changer and could head up this list in a hurry coming off a season in which he sustained an injury.

Sewell the top hog molly

Penei Sewell (-400) is the favorite by far to be the first lineman drafted in 2021, and for good reason. In his first two seasons at Oregon, he was voted a unanimous All American (just the third player in Oregon history to be unanimously selected), was awarded Pro Football Focus’ highest-ever grade for an offensive lineman, and gave up just one sack in over 1,300 snaps. Alex Leatherwood was a projected top-10 pick for the 2020 draft before heading back to Alabama for one more year. Leatherwood might not be the first lineman off the board, but he’ll be a surefire top-10 pick barring a total collapse this season. Stanford’s Walker Little (+700), Texas’ Samuel Cosmi (+1200), and Michigan’s Jaylen Mayfield (+1400) were also listed as candidates.

While these lists seem comprehensive, this past year showed that a single great season from someone who is currently not in contention could shoot up draft boards across the league.

Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s covered college sports for Fansided, Stadium Journey, and several independent outlets over the past three years. A graduate of BGSU, Brett currently works on-site at Google as a shift lead for content curation products.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons