2025 NFL Draft Odds: Top-10 Picks Based On Implied Betting Probability & Best Bets
With the 2025 NFL Draft nearly seven hours away, let’s inspect the betting market. Unlike previous years, bettors haven’t seen any shift regarding who will go No. 1 overall to the Tennessee Titans. The same goes for the next two picks, especially in recent weeks. However, there is some uncertainty involving the remaining top-10 selections. Below is how these picks will play out per the latest NFL draft odds and their implied probability, plus my favorite wager. I’ll continue updating this article leading up to the first pick.
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2025 nfl draft betting odds: top-10 picks via implied probability
1. Tennessee Titans: QB Cameron Ward (-10000, 99.0%)
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players
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Cameron Ward
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Travis Hunter
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Abdul Carter
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Shedeur sanders
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2. Cleveland Browns: WR/CB Travis Hunter (-5000, 98.0%)
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players
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Travis hunter
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Abdul Carter
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Shedeur sanders
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Cameron Ward
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3. New York Giants: DE Abdul Carter (-2500, 96.2%)
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players
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Abdul Carter
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Travis hunter
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Jaxson Dart
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Shedeur sanders
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4. New England Patriots: OT Will Campbell (-800, 88.9%)
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players
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Will Campbell
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Ashton Jeanty
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Abdul Carter
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Jalon Walker
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5. Jacksonville Jaguars: RB Ashton Jeanty (-300, 75.0%)
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players
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Ashton Jeanty
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Mason Graham
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Tetairoa McMillan
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Jalon Walker
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6. Las Vegas Raiders: OT Kelvin Banks Jr. (-250, 71.4%)
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players
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Kelvin Banks Jr.
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Armand Membou
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Ashton Jeanty
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Jalon Walker
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7. New York Jets: TE Tyler Warren (+125, 44.4%)
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players
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Tyler Warren
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Armand Membou
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Kelvin Banks Jr.
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Mason Graham
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8. Carolina Panthers: WR Tetairoa McMillan (+125, 44.4%)
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players
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Tetairoa McMillan
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Jalon Walker
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Mason Graham
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Mykel Williams
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9. New Orleans Saints: DE Mykel Williams (+120, 45.5%)
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players
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Mykel Williams
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Jaxson Dart
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Mason Graham
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Tyler Warren
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10. Chicago Bears: TE Colston Loveland (+1200, 7.7%)
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players
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Tetairoa McMillan
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Tyler Warren
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Kelvin Banks Jr.
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Colston Loveland
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NFL draft best bets: Mykel Williams top-10 pick (-115, Up to -125)
Just a few weeks ago, Williams’ draft position prop was set at 15.5, but he’s currently favored to hear his name called inside the first 10 selections.
Many talking heads projected New Orleans to take a quarterback at No. 9 overall, considering the Derek Carr injury news that trickled out earlier this month. Although I pondered over a bet on Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart (rumored to the Saints), I no longer expect New Orleans to draft Dart or Shadeur Sanders.
Instead, I see the Saints picking Williams. If the Georgia pass rusher doesn’t land in Bayou Country, look for Chicago to take full advantage. The Bulldogs have built a reputation for showcasing first-round defensive line talent during the last few years, and first-year coach Kellen Moore saw it up close during his Eagles tenure.
At 6-foot-5 and 260 pounds, Williams is the perfect edge prototype, regarding his size and athleticism. Over the next decade, he may very well uphold the legacy that veteran Cameron Jordan provided.
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