2025 NFL Draft Odds: Top-10 Picks Based On Implied Betting Probability & Best Bets
With the 2025 NFL Draft nearly seven hours away, let's inspect the betting market. Unlike previous years, bettors haven't seen any shift regarding who will go No. 1 overall to the Tennessee Titans. The same goes for the next two picks, especially in recent weeks. However, there is some uncertainty involving the remaining top-10 selections. Below is how these picks will play out per the latest NFL draft odds and their implied probability, plus my favorite wager. I'll continue updating this article leading up to the first pick.
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2025 nfl draft betting odds: top-10 picks via implied probability
1. Tennessee Titans: QB Cameron Ward (-10000, 99.0%)
2. Cleveland Browns: WR/CB Travis Hunter (-5000, 98.0%)
3. New York Giants: DE Abdul Carter (-2500, 96.2%)
4. New England Patriots: OT Will Campbell (-800, 88.9%)
5. Jacksonville Jaguars: RB Ashton Jeanty (-300, 75.0%)
6. Las Vegas Raiders: OT Kelvin Banks Jr. (-250, 71.4%)
7. New York Jets: TE Tyler Warren (+125, 44.4%)
8. Carolina Panthers: WR Tetairoa McMillan (+125, 44.4%)
9. New Orleans Saints: DE Mykel Williams (+120, 45.5%)
10. Chicago Bears: TE Colston Loveland (+1200, 7.7%)
NFL draft best bets: Mykel Williams top-10 pick (-115, Up to -125)
Just a few weeks ago, Williams' draft position prop was set at 15.5, but he's currently favored to hear his name called inside the first 10 selections.
Many talking heads projected New Orleans to take a quarterback at No. 9 overall, considering the Derek Carr injury news that trickled out earlier this month. Although I pondered over a bet on Ole Miss quarterback Jaxson Dart (rumored to the Saints), I no longer expect New Orleans to draft Dart or Shadeur Sanders.
Instead, I see the Saints picking Williams. If the Georgia pass rusher doesn't land in Bayou Country, look for Chicago to take full advantage. The Bulldogs have built a reputation for showcasing first-round defensive line talent during the last few years, and first-year coach Kellen Moore saw it up close during his Eagles tenure.
At 6-foot-5 and 260 pounds, Williams is the perfect edge prototype, regarding his size and athleticism. Over the next decade, he may very well uphold the legacy that veteran Cameron Jordan provided.
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