2024 NFL Draft Odds: Betting Options Open As Scouting Combine Begins

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
NFL combine draft betting

The NFL combine has begun. And while the latest round of NFL stars, role players, and washouts works to improve draft stock, 2024 NFL draft odds are opening at betting sites in response. Stocks will rise and dip as drills, interviews, and the ever-present “anonymous scouts” and “team sources” provide their takes to fuel the rumor mill. NFL draft odds will shift in kind.

With that in mind, TheLines has collected a round of currently available NFL draft betting markets. These will provide a snapshot of the current prices before and during the inevitable changes this week.

No. 1 Pick Odds (BEars Draft Slot)

There has been little to no indication that the Bears will draft someone other than Caleb Williams with the No. 1 overall pick. In the unlikely event that the Bears trade the pick for the second straight year, there’s been little to no indication that the mystery team forking over a king’s ransom would draft someone other than Williams. He remains No. 1 on all or almost every mock draft and big board out there.

It would fairly qualify as a stunner if a different player heard his name called first on April 25. However, stunners have occurred before. As recently as 2018, Baker Mayfield had odds around +1200 just days before he went No. 1 overall.

The only thing that could drive a move off of Williams at No. 1 would seem to be a team falling absolutely in love with Drake Maye or Jayden Daniels.

Hence, we won’t waste our time with the first QB taken market in NFL draft betting. For the sixth time in the past seven years and 20th in the past 27, it seems certain that a QB will come off the board to kick things off.

No. 2 Pick Odds (Commanders Draft Slot)

Unlike the No. 1 pick, nothing close to a consensus has come together on the No. 2 pick. The mock drafting community seems roughly evenly split between Daniels and Maye as the pick here.

There has even been some speculation that Washington could trade back (see latest PFF mock draft), meaning some non-Commanders team’s preference could drive the pick. Washington certainly has a need at QB as Sam Howell looks more like a high-end backup than an NFL starter after a season in which he piled up a ton of yards but didn’t appear close to driving winning football.

Regardless of which team makes the pick, they’ll likely choose between the aforementioned two QBs. Maye was seen as the consensus pick here, dating back to last season. However, a Heisman-winning campaign in which Daniels produced eye-popping numbers, including 50 total touchdowns, has moved him to within striking distance.

No. 3 Pick Odds (Patriots Draft Slot)

Naturally, with the market slightly favoring Maye at No. 2, Daniels sits at the top of the board for No. 3 overall. However, things are also far from settled here.

For one thing, the Patriots have a glaring need at receiver. And this draft boasts a receiver some have tabbed as a generational prospect in Marvin Harrison Jr. Only one Patriot exceeded 45 receiving yards per game, and that was Kendrick Bourne in an eight-game sample. The franchise hasn’t had a premium WR since at least Tom Brady’s latter days there. And the league clearly values these players, given the trade hauls for Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill, as well as their respective contracts.

Daniel Jeremiah’s Feb. 20 mock tabbed Harrison as the pick here, speculating that the Patriots could sign a veteran QB. Kirk Cousins is set to hit the market, and acquiring Justin Fields via trade is also an option.

Keep an eye out for smoke indicating such a move, but also remember that the Patriots could then simply trade down here as well. Some teams will undoubtedly thirst for whichever QB remains after the top two come off the board.

First Non-QB Picked

Harrison rates as the clear favorite here, with many tabbing him as the the best player in the draft, though positional value will obviously trump and push the QBs ahead of him.

Could anyone jump past the Ohio State phenom?

Looking over some of the mock drafts, one name of interest is Georgia TE Brock Bowers. Mel Kiper Jr.’s (admittedly dated) first mock, as well as both mocks from Walter Football’s experts, have Bowers selected fifth (Chargers). However, the league hasn’t historically valued tight ends this highly very often. And the most recent time it did, the results have been uneven with Kyle Pitts, to say the least. Furthermore, new Coach Jim Harbaugh has always stressed and valued line play highly, so Bowers doesn’t really seem like his type of pick.

Notre Dame T Joe Alt is the market’s top challenger to Harrison Jr. Jeremiah has Alt going fifth, and everyone else has him no lower than seventh. He also fits the aforementioned Harbaugh ethos of building from the trenches on out, but that still leaves open the question of how he can slide ahead of Harrison Jr. into Arizona’s draft slot.

A punt on an EDGE may be the best option for those looking for value down the board. There’s no clear top prospect here, but it’s a position that’s always valued highly by NFL teams at the top of the draft. Arizona could certainly use the help there, ranking fourth-worst by Next Gen Stats’ pressure numbers and second-worst by Pro Football Reference’s.

First WR Picked

First OL Picked

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