NFL Division Odds: Will Texans Overtake Jaguars In AFC South?

Written By Evan Scrimshaw | Last Updated
NFL Division Odds

With five weeks in the NFL regular season, the race for a few division titles is still up in the air. With the NFC East potentially being decided and battles for the AFC and NFC South up in the air, partly due to injuries and subpar QBs, there’s plenty at stake. Hence, NFL division odds have value with NFL Week 14 odds underway.

To ensure you’re making the most of this ever-changing market, check out the best sports betting sites. There are substantial differences in odds. Getting the best price is crucial.

NFC East odds

Surprisingly, Cowboys odds have a complicated path to the NFC East lead despite sitting atop the division with a win over the Eagles on Sunday night. Even if that comes to fruition, Philadelphia controls its own destiny.

That destiny, for what it’s worth? It seems fairly easy on paper. The Eagles’ Week 15 showdown in Seattle is their toughest game, as they end the regular season Giants-Cardinals-Giants in the last three weeks. The Cowboys, on the other hand? Bills-Dolphins-Lions the three weeks after this game, before finishing with the Commanders. Their chances of running the table, while real, are slim. It isn’t enough to win the NFC East, to boot.

The fact that the Eagles’ indefensible loss was against the Jets, while the Cowboys fell short versus an NFC team in the Cardinals, is the difference. However, losing this week won’t make the Cowboys the NFC East favorite — unless Philly stumbles against the cacophony of terrible teams down the stretch.

Conversely, Nick Sirianni’s team could win in Dallas and take a 2.5-game lead with four weeks left.

Cowboys Schedule

Cleveland Browns 11 – 6 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
New Orleans Saints 9 – 8 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Baltimore Ravens 13 – 4 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Eagles Schedule

Green Bay Packers 9 – 8 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 6, 2024
Atlanta Falcons 7 – 10 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 16, 2024
New Orleans Saints 9 – 8 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

AFC North odds

This one isn’t that interesting, so let’s dispense with it quickly. The Ravens still have to take on the Dolphins and 49ers, meaning they may have five losses going into their Week 18 game against the Steelers. Having lost to them already, Pittsburgh could miraculously win the division by beating Baltimore. (The Ravens also play Jacksonville in Week 15, but whether that’s an arduous matchup depends on Trevor Lawrence’s availability, which is unknown.)

The problem is the Steelers probably won’t be at six losses by then. They’ve already accrued that amount, and they’re at best coinflips the next three weeks. Pittsburgh will also likely be an underdog to both Indianapolis and Seattle.

Cleveland is theoretically alive, but with its putrid QB situation, it’s liable to lose every game from now till the end of the season.

Ravens Schedule

Kansas City Chiefs 11 – 6 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 5, 2024
Las Vegas Raiders 8 – 9 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Dallas Cowboys 12 – 5 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Steelers Schedule

Atlanta Falcons 7 – 10 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Denver Broncos 8 – 9 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Los Angeles Chargers 5 – 12 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

AFC South odds

These divisional odds are almost entirely an injury play. If Trevor Lawrence misses considerable time, this race gets interesting. Houston will be favored in the next four weeks, battling the Jets-Titans-Browns-Titans. On the flip side, the Jaguars face the Browns this week and then play Baltimore, with either no Lawrence or a much-hobbled one. If they lose those two games, they could find themselves in second place with a snap of the fingers.

The Colts have a nominally easy schedule until they play Houston in Week 18. Nevertheless, the inconsistent Gardner Minshew is at the helm. In the middle third of the league in both offense and defense, the Colts could win all of their contests against the Bengals, Steelers, Falcons, and Raiders, but they could also go 0-4.

I’ve bet the Texans here at . Lawrence’s injury seemingly translates into Jacksonville being 8-6 in two weeks. If that’s the case, then the Texans have the driver’s seat. That said, a tie, likely at 11-5, would be a break for the Jaguars. Therefore, the Texans have to run the table to win it. But frankly, with their Charmin soft schedule, they probably do.

Texans Schedule

Indianapolis Colts 9 – 8 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Chicago Bears 7 – 10 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Minnesota Vikings 7 – 10 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Jaguars Schedule

Miami Dolphins 11 – 6 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Cleveland Browns 11 – 6 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Buffalo Bills 11 – 6 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 23, 2024

NFC South Odds

Fire this division into the sun.

Look, are we sure this division needs a ticket to the postseason? Why can’t it declare force majeure and give it to Buffalo? Would anyone actually object?

If Roger Goodell doesn’t listen to this plea, the NFC South appears to be headed for a two-way battle. Tampa Bay, while 5-7, has to play in Atlanta, at Green Bay, and then against Jacksonville for the next three weeks (by which point Trevor Lawrence should be cleared to play).

Should it drop these three games, they’re functionally out of the race.

The Falcons are favorites to beat the Buccaneers, and rightfully so. Then, they head to Carolina before playing three tough games against Indianapolis, Chicago, and New Orleans.

The Saints, on the other hand? They face the Panthers, Giants, and Bucs before hosting the Falcons. That’s a path to nine wins. Given the entire division sucks, I’ve bet the Saints at . The more sizable plus money, with such a weak favorite, is a good bet every time.

Falcons Schedule

Pittsburgh Steelers 10 – 7 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Philadelphia Eagles 11 – 6 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 16, 2024
Kansas City Chiefs 11 – 6 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Saints Schedule

Carolina Panthers 2 – 15 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Dallas Cowboys 12 – 5 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Philadelphia Eagles 11 – 6 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024

Best of luck betting on your NFL division odds!

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