NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds: Cooper Kupp Catapults
We’ve finished one-third of the NFL season and are seeing significant changes in NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds. Damar Hamlin remains the favorite, but Tua Tagovailoa and wide receiver Cooper Kupp are closing the gap on the board. With this in mind, let’s dive into current odds and some of the biggest movers at the best sports betting apps before Week 7.
2023 NFL Comeback player of the year ODDS
Damar Hamlin CPOY Odds
We’re still in a holding pattern with Hamlin’s odds. He’s been a healthy scratch in five weeks and only saw action in the team’s Week 4 win against Miami. That said, he only played 18 snaps, all of which were on special teams. At some point, Hamlin may need to be on the field and contribute relevant statistics to win the award.
We’ve all been operating under the assumption that Hamlin would win the award if he played, but we have no clue if voters will give him the award.
The only comp we have to him regarding the CPOY award is Alex Smith in 2020. Smith won the award playing in eight games while leading Washington to the playoffs with five wins down the stretch of the regular season. It’s difficult to say if voters will give this to Hamlin, but they may not if the inactives continue to mount.
Nobody has a better story than Hamlin. It’s wonderful to see him back on the roster after the horrifying near-death experience last year. As for the award, it’s impossible to know unless somebody conducts a poll of voters.
Tua Tagovailoa CPOY Odds
I’m not sure Tua should be the second favorite to win this award.
Tua suffered two concussions last season, the first of which came in Week 4 against the Bengals. After missing two weeks, the lefty QB returned for the team’s Week 7 victory over the Steelers. He would then suffer another concussion in the team’s Week 16 loss to Green Bay and miss the remaining two games.
Perhaps I’m wrong, and he has a real chance to win, but he returned from a concussion last year and played nine games before suffering his second one. He’s not the quarterback I would target in this market.
Perhaps you target Baker Mayfield of Tampa Bay. The Bucs are the second favorite to win the NFC South behind the Saints. However, Todd Bowles’ squad already has a win against New Orleans, with their next game against them being at home in Week 17. Baker could receive credit in this market if the Bucs win the division.
Remember that Geno Smith won this award last year when he didn’t suffer an injury the year before. He went scorched earth on the league and threw for 4,200 yards and 30 touchdowns while leading Seattle to the playoffs.
Baker’s route to win this award could play out similarly this year. The best available price for Baker to win CPOY is .
Cooper Kupp CPOY Odds
These odds on Kupp have shortened quickly. However, if you were in TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord channel, you may have Kupp in your portfolio at +8000. Managing Editor Stephen Andress added Kupp to his CPOY portfolio while he was priced at +8000 on Oct 6. Before this weekend’s game against the Cardinals, Kupp’s odds sat at +2500 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Then, another big game happened. Kupp caught eight passes for 148 yards and one touchdown against a terrible Arizona defense.
With 11 games left and 266 yards logged through two, he’s on pace for more than 1,700 yards. It’s unlikely that will happen since Kupp won’t average 133 yards per game, but you get the point: he’s having an incredible start. To emphasize how astonishing the yards per game is, it would be the first time since 2012 that a receiver averaged more than 120 yards per game (Calvin Johnson 122.8 ypg).
Since his debut against the Eagles, Kupp ranks fourth in targets (22), 4th in receptions (15), and 4th in receiving yards (266). If he continues to put up numbers like this, oddsmakers will have no choice but to move his number closer to Hamlin’s.
Ultimately, I don’t see Tua being in this race. His shot at winning an award is the MVP, and the Dolphins’ schedule is getting difficult over the next few weeks. Miami has obliterated poor defenses at the start of the season but now faces some stiff units coming up. Expecting Kupp to keep up his current pace of 1,700 yards seems like a tall ask, but it’s perfectly feasible to see him notch 1,500 yards this season. Should Kupp stay healthy, he has a great chance of chasing down Hamlin, making this a tough decision for the voters.
Best of luck betting on NFL CPOY odds!
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