NFL Coach Of The Year Odds: Can Packers Head Coach Matt LaFleur Win?

, , ,
Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
nfl coach of the year odds

While Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell remains the unanimous favorite for 2023 NFL Coach of the Year across sportsbook odds, Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is creeping into the race in those futures as Week 14 odds hit the board. Two other coaches from the AFC South are putting together strong campaigns, too. Let’s dissect COY odds and see if the Packers’ head man can win.

Get the best sportsbook odds below by clicking who you want to bet. always recommends shopping around the best sports betting sites to find the biggest potential payouts.

the contender: Demeco Ryans

We’ve all operated under the assumption that Campbell would win Coach of the Year, but I remain skeptical that he should be the favorite. Houston’s win total sat at a mere 5.5 wins before the season began, and the Over cashed before Thanksgiving. This team has wildly exceeded expectations. So, Ryans would fit the path in that regard. Matt Nagy and Brian Daboll recently won this award by exceeding low expectations and getting their teams into the playoffs.

The problem for Ryans is two-fold. C.J. Stroud is going to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, and the defense isn’t doing anything noteworthy. The Texans’ defense ranks 18th in EPA, which coincidently is the same ranking they held last year when they finished 3-13-1. Last year’s team finished third in the NFL in takeaways with 27, while this year’s team is sitting at fifth with 18 takeaways. Ryans may get some credit if he leads this team to the playoffs, but he ultimately may not receive credit from the voters when it comes time to vote on coach of the year.

Will Anderson could also become an issue for Ryans if he gains on Jalen Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year award. Anderson already has one more sack than Carter on the season and is facing a Jets offensive line this week that ranks 27th in pass block win rate. This metric quantifies the offensive lineman’s ability to sustain their blocks for 2.5 seconds or longer. If he can surpass Carter over the coming weeks for DROY, I struggle to believe that voters will give Ryans and the Texans a third award.

Texans Upcoming Schedule

Indianapolis Colts 9 – 8 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Chicago Bears 7 – 10 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Minnesota Vikings 7 – 10 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024


While Demeco Ryans remains the obvious candidate to take down Campbell for Coach Of The Year, LaFleur is a sneaky candidate to win the award. His path is similar to Ryans. He guides a team hoping to “exceed expectations.” The Packers win total was only set at 7.5 before the season began and now sits at .

In the preseason, Jordan Love was talked about in betting circles as a “Lovable Longshot” for NFL MVP. That idea has unfortunately fallen short, despite Love notching the No. 5 EPA+CPOE composite and the third-best EPA per play since Week 7. The more realistic path for Green Bay to receive recognition is in the coach of the year market. Green Bay has been riddled with injuries to key players such as David Bakhtiari, Aaron Jones, Jaire Alexander, and Christian Watson (again).

Despite these injuries, Love has steadily progressed and has the Packers on the verge of making the playoffs. Should they surpass their current win total of 9.5 and make the playoffs, I think LaFleur will get recognition and can topple Campbell for this award.

The Lions were expected to be good this season. The Packers were not. It’s time we give LaFleur the credit he deserves; he did just beat Patrick Mahomes and a top-five pass defense.

Packers Upcoming Schedule:

Philadelphia Eagles 11 – 6 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 6, 2024
Indianapolis Colts 9 – 8 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Tennessee Titans 6 – 11 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024


All of the points I just made for Matt LaFluer could also me made for the Colts head coach:

  • low preseason expectations
  • overcoming a lot of injuries on the roster
  • making the playoffs

Like LaFleur, Steichen fits the mold of the Brian Daboll-type candidate this season. Also like the Packers (), the Colts () are now favored to make the postseason after a thrilling overtime win in Tennessee.

Colts Upcoming Schedule

Houston Texans 10 – 7 – 0 Week 1: Sep. 8, 2024
Green Bay Packers 9 – 8 – 0 Week 2: Sep. 15, 2024
Chicago Bears 7 – 10 – 0 Week 3: Sep. 22, 2024


At the end of the season, we may see a situation unfold where the Colts, Texans, and Packers have exceeded expectations and wind up in the playoffs. If that plays out, any of these coaches can edge out Campbell for Coach of the Year, but I’d give the nod to LaFleur.

I’ve placed a bet on Matt LaFleur to win Coach of the Year at +3300 at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Best of luck betting on NFL Coach of the Year odds!


If you’re in a state with legal sports wagering, TheLines has you covered with the best sportsbook promo codes. Click on any of the following promos and bonus codes to get started.

UP TO $1,000
In Bonus Bets
First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000, or Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Sign Up, Deposit and Play Today in VA!
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Use Bonus Code: THELINESVA
up to $1,500
In Bonus Bets
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Bonus Code: THELINES
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: THELINES1000
Bet $5
Get $200
If Your Bet Wins
Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
PLUS a Daily Boost or Bonus All Summer
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now
Up to $100
Bonus Bet
Up to $100 Back if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win
Get Your Bets Boosted
To Claim: Click Play Now
$500 BONUS
2nd Chance Bet
Up To $500 in Bet Credits
ONLY 1x Play Through!
Use Exclusive Bonus Code: LINESRIV