After another exciting weekend of postseason action, we have the NFL’s final four locked in. The Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs will square off in the early-window game during Championship Sunday, while the Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers will compete in the nightcap. Both Kansas City and San Francisco –- the No. 2 and No. 1 seed in the AFC and NFC, respectively — open as sizable favorites, despite Green Bay coming in as the No. 2 seed in the NFC.
Let’s take a closer look at what the oddsmakers’ initial take is on who will be the AFC and NFC representatives in Super Bowl LIV.
AFC Championship odds
Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs open as 7.5-point favorites on both DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook on Sunday evening. Kansas City shook off a 24-0 deficit to come back and stomp the Houston Texans on nearly every subsequent possession in Sunday’s Divisional Round battle. Patrick Mahomes and company literally looked unstoppable for extensive portions of the game, and that was with Tyreek Hill having very modest involvement.
However, the Titans were arguably just as impressive in a different way Saturday night. For the second consecutive week, their ability to lean on a lethal ground attack and excellent defense secured them a postseason win in an extremely challenging road environment. While Arrowhead Stadium certainly represents an unfriendly venue, a Tennessee squad that’s already conquered Gillette Stadium and M & T Bank Stadium in the last two weeks isn’t likely to suffer a crisis of confidence.
The Titans will carry a 4-2 mark ATS as road underdogs into this game as well, while the Chiefs will counter with a 4-2-1 tally as home favorites.
FRIDAY UPDATE: The Chiefs have mostly maintained their projected advantage throughout the course of the week, holding steady as 7.5-point favorites at FanDuel Sportsbook and losing just a half-point at DraftKings Sportsbook. On the injury front, the Titans do have a chance of getting slot receiver Adam Humphries back from the ankle injury he’s been saddled with since Week 14, as he practiced in limited fashion all week. However, there’s some health concerns on the starting linebackers corps — certainly not ideal when facing Kansas City. Jaylon Brown (shoulder) and Rashaan Evans (foot) are both questionable.
NFC Championship odds
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers unsurprisingly opened as hefty seven-point favorites themselves at both DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook. Aaron Rodgers is certainly a public favorite whose presence in this game could potentially move the line some in Green Bay’s direction during the next several days. However, the 49ers’ much more convincing victory over the Vikings on Saturday and the well-earned reputation of their defense, especially at home, could certainly help stem that tide.
Part of Green Bay’s formidable challenge will be finding a way to diversify its passing game against the 49ers’ steel-trap secondary. Davante Adams was absolutely masterful versus the Seahawks’ suspect coverages. However, it will be an entirely different story against a San Francisco unit that has allowed just 154.3 passing yards per contest on its Levi’s Stadium home turf. With no truly reliable secondary targets, Rodgers may frequently find himself under duress if the Niners choose to focus multiple resources on Adams.
The 49ers are just 4-4-1 ATS at home this season, including Saturday’s win over Minnesota. Meanwhile, Green Bay sported a 5-3 (62.5 percent) mark as a road squad. However, one of those three times they failed to cover came in a 37-8 thrashing at the hands of San Francisco back in Week 12.
FRIDAY UPDATE: The 49ers have gained a bit more of an advantage as the week has unfolded. They’re now 7.5-point favorites at both sportsbooks. Neither team comes in with any injury concerns, so this will be a true matchup of healthy squads where talent should ultimately be the deciding factor. The one clear edge for the Packers will be in postseason experience at the arguably the most important position on the field — Rodgers will be playing in his 18th career postseason contest Sunday (10-7 record), while Jimmy Garoppolo will be playing in only his second playoff contest.