Week 15 NFL Betting: Upset Predictions For Longshot Parlays & Pick ‘Em Pools

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
NFL Betting

Underdogs, like Tommy “Cutlets” DeVito, always make for enticing wagers among NFL Week 15 odds. Nevertheless, deciding on the most valuable ones across NFL betting sites is an arduous task. That’s where TheLines can help. Here are three plus-money teams to consider if you typically throw some pizza money on moneyline parlays or same-game parlays. This three-team parlay isn’t a personal wager. You can find my best bets later in the week.

Click on any odds to place a wager at the best sports betting sites. The odds listed below are the best available in your state.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts

With consecutive losses against 2-10 squads, Pittsburgh became the first team in NFL history above .500 to drop two straight matchups, both to opponents at least eight games below the Mendoza mark. Yet, we’re now presented with a buy-low opportunity on Steelers odds — in a classic rah-rah Mike Tomlin spot — after they greatly outperformed expectations over the first nine weeks.

For one, I’m anticipating Steelers edge rushers T.J. Watt and Alex Highsmith will return from concussion protocol after they were limited participants in Tuesday’s practice. Remember that Pittsburgh is coming off a mini-bye. Plus, the Steelers’ ground game should position the offense with more manageable third downs following their poor performance against the Patriots’ stout run defense.

Indianapolis ranks below the league average in that regard — even with nose tackle Grover Stewart back in the lineup. If you’re intrigued by the road underdog, the best price on Pittsburgh is currently .

STATS
Steelers logo Steelers PIT
Colts logo Colts IND
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 22nd 27th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 13th 15th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 322.8 311.6
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 330.4 334
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 200.6 201.9
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.1 2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers

Admittedly, I underestimated the Falcons’ injuries in their Week 14 matchup against their NFC South foes. Bucs QB Baker Mayfield came up clutch on their final possession while producing the 10th-most adjusted EPA per dropback overall.

On the surface, this game could resemble a buy-low, sell-high matchup, especially with the Packers falling to the Giants as 5.5-point favorites. Conversely, Green Bay may continue to endure negative regression. The defense has recovered 83.3% of their forced fumbles over their last four games, greatly assisting their initial three-game winning streak during that span.

Moreover, Packers QB Jordan Love already came crashing down to earth on Monday night, tallying a -9.3 total EPA. He’ll face another daunting test if Tampa Bay defensive tackle Vita Vea (toe) and corner Jemel Dean (ankle/foot) play after missing Sunday’s win. The best Buccaneers odds are .

STATS
Buccaneers logo Buccaneers TB
Packers logo Packers GB
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 15th 17th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK T9th 17th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 346.7 337.9
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 324.3 336.5
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 269.8 213.6
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.3 1.3

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers

If you enjoy going dumpster-diving (with your NFL betting picks), the Panthers’ odds will suit you well. You’re buying Carolina at its bottom-barrel price, considering Bryce Young & Co. possess the league’s worst straight-up record while going 2-9-2 ATS (23.1%).

Despite the Saints handing them a 22-point loss in Week 14, Carolina was nearly even with them in yards per play (YPP). However, New Orleans’ defensive score in the second quarter essentially sealed the game — given how horrific Young has been in a negative game script.

Keep an eye on the injury report, as Atlanta’s run defense is exploitable if David Onyemata (ankle) and Nate Landman (knee) remain out in the front seven. That would open up lanes for the Panthers’ potent ground attack, paced by Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders.

You can bet on Carolina to win outright at .

STATS
Panthers logo Panthers CAR
Falcons logo Falcons ATL
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 29th 25th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 22nd 27th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 306.2 318.6
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 350.2 362.1
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 176.2 158.8
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.2 1.2

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