Week 18 NFL Betting: Upset Predictions For Longshot Parlays & Pick ‘Em Pools

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
NFL Betting

Underdogs always make for alluring bets — among NFL Week 18 odds or otherwise. Yet, choosing which ones across NFL betting sites is arduous. Below are three teams to consider if you typically throw pizza money on moneyline or same game parlays. This three-team parlay isn’t on my betting card. You can find my NFL Week 18 best bets in my column.

Click on any odds to place a wager at the best sports betting sites. The odds listed below are the best available in your state.

Jacksonville jaguars at Tennessee titans

As I noted in my NFL betting preview, eliminated teams versus those in search of a win in the final two weeks of the regular season have gone 99-64-4 (60.7%) against the spread (ATS) record since 1990. The market has bought into that notion for this tilt, as the Jaguars’ odds were initially positioned as 5.5-point favorites. As of this publishing, the spread is down to -3.5.

While Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence (right shoulder/left finger) is expected to play, there’s an abundance of pressure on his shoulders. Not only are the Jags dead last in rushing success rate since Week 13, but the Titans also rank above average versus opposing ground attacks. Unless Jaguars wide receiver Christian Kirk (core muscle injury) is a full go, allowing Calvin Ridley to excel out of the slot, Lawrence’s inefficiency may continue.

Remember that Mike Vrabel could be coaching his final game in Nashville, Tenn. Hence, motivation isn’t a concern for the home underdog while Jacksonville guns for consecutive division titles. The best Titans’ odds available are currently .

STATS
Jaguars logo Jaguars JAX
Titans logo Titans TEN
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

tampa bay buccaneers at Carolina panthers

Like the Jaguars, the Buccaneers will win the NFC South if they upend the Panthers on Sunday. However, Tampa Bay QB Baker Mayfield is dealing with a significant rib injury, which has triggered a similar market move toward this divisional dog.

Todd Bowles’ unit is also banged up defensively, including its top cornerback Carlton Davis (concussion). The Bucs have benefited plenty from positive turnover variance to boot. If Carolina signal-caller Bryce Young can limit his mistakes and exploit their vulnerable secondary, especially if Davis is out, the Panthers are live to pull off the upset. The best Panthers moneyline odds are .

STATS
Buccaneers logo Buccaneers TB
Panthers logo Panthers CAR
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Unlike the previous two contests, the market’s shift toward the Vikings’ odds is because of the inclination that Lions coach Dan Campbell will pull his starters in the first half. After all, Detroit is likely locked into the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture.

Still, Campbell hasn’t budged from his statement that Detroit is gunning for a victory. For bettors who believe in coach speak, Minnesota makes for an intriguing wager. Although the Vikings require a myriad of assistance to reach the postseason, they nearly defeated the Lions in Week 16. With Nick Mullens back under center, their passing attack should excel once again. Bear in mind that Campbell’s defense has surrendered the NFL’s sixth-highest dropback success rate.

The best number available for Minnesota to win straight up is .

STATS
Vikings logo Vikings MIN
Lions logo Lions DET
Offense Ranking OFF RNK N/A N/A
Defense Ranking DEF RNK N/A N/A
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG

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