Week 13 NFL Betting: Upset Predictions For Longshot Parlays & Pick ‘Em Pools

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
NFL Betting

Underdogs, like the Eagles, will be an enticing option among NFL Week 13 odds. But deciding on the most valuable ones across NFL betting sites is tricky. That’s where TheLines comes in handy. Here are three plus-money teams to monitor if you typically use some pizza money on moneyline parlays or same-game parlays. Remember that this three-team parlay isn’t a wager I’m personally betting. You can find those NFL best bets later in the week.

Click on any odds to place a wager at the best sports betting sites. The prices below are the best available in your state.

Los Angeles chargers at new england patriots

Among the first of many underdogs that are difficult to stomach, Patriots odds haven’t cashed in on the moneyline in five of their last six games. New England generated just 3.7 yards per pass attempt (YPA) in a loss to the Giants in Week 12, and the quarterback situation is still up in the air. By all accounts, Bailey Zappe will start against the Chargers after taking the bulk of first-team reps on Wednesday.

Nevertheless, this spot may represent the ultimate buy-low opportunity. The Chargers completely unraveled versus the Ravens on Sunday night, finally undergoing negative regression in the turnover department. If Baltimore capitalized, Los Angeles wouldn’t have maintained a one-possession deficit for much of the contest.

Additionally, the Chargers have yielded the seventh-highest EPA per dropback. Despite the crusty bandages that head coach Brandon Staley recently applied, there are many secondary concerns. If you’re interested in plugging your nose with the Patriots, their best odds to emerge victorious are .

Chargers logo Chargers LAC
Patriots logo Patriots NE
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 9th 26th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 20th 8th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 359.3 314.6
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 346.1 322
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 269.6 208
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.1 1.4

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Like New England, Panthers odds haven’t been profitable in the slightest. Not only are they 1-10 straight up, but they’re also 1-8-2 against the spread. However, since 2003, teams that fired their head coach have gone 17-19 outright in the next game. Although a 47.2% winning percentage isn’t appealing on the surface, it’s a significantly higher mark than how those teams performed before the personnel shift.

The notion that Carolina will outperform the betting market’s expectations after firing Frank Reich, along with offensive assistants Josh McCown and Duce Staley, depends on how much bettors put stock into the element of surprise. But at the very least, the Bucs’ inefficient ground attack isn’t built to exploit the Panthers’ most glaring defensive flaw.

As of this publishing, the best odds for the Panthers to pull off the road upset are .

Panthers logo Panthers CAR
Buccaneers logo Buccaneers TB
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 29th 15th
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 22nd T9th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 306.2 346.7
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 350.2 324.3
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 176.2 269.8
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.2 1.3

Cleveland Browns at Los Angeles Rams

There’s even more uncertainty at QB for the Browns than the Pats. Rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson remains in concussion protocol, leading the way to veteran journeyman Joe Flacco inheriting some of the first-team reps in Wednesday’s practice. No matter who gets the nod, the game plan will ultimately revolve around their zone-rushing attack. But with the opportunity for offensive variance — one way or the other — I’d rather play the moneyline than the spread.

That is especially true if there’s line movement in Cleveland’s direction, bumping the spread below the key number of a field goal. The status of All-Pro defensive end Myles Garrett (shoulder) could help dictate that. The Browns’ defensive production has already slid of late, and Garrett’s absence would increase the likelihood of that trend continuing. Waiting on his injury designation, even if it means betting a slightly worse number.

As of now, Cleveland’s most valuable odds to win straight up are .

Browns logo Browns CLE
Rams logo Rams LAR
Offense Ranking OFF RNK 14th 32nd
Defense Ranking DEF RNK 14th 19th
Offense Net Yards Per Game OFF NET YPG 349.1 280.5
Defense Net Yards Per Game DEF NET YPG 331.5 341.1
Passing Yards Per Game PASS YPG 202.6 182.8
Turnovers Committed Per Game TOC PG 1.2 1.4

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