It only takes 60 minutes of football to start seeing significant adjustments in NFL awards odds that impact the implied win probability of those bets and potential profit. Week 1 has come and gone, but before Week 2, these player prop futures are on the move.
Here’s a look at nine of the biggest adjustments in MVP, Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Offensive Rookie of the Year and Coach of the Year. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now.
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NFL MVP Odds
Although there has not been much movement at the top of NFL awards odds for Most Valuable Player, there has still been some shakeup throughout the market.
Jalen Hurts was +5000 to win MVP in April. After the trade for A.J. Brown his odds were lowered to +2500. Following Week 1’s win against the Detroit Lions, Caesars Sportsbook has moved his odds down to +1400 to win the award. His best available odds are .
The Eagles entered the season with one of the easiest strength of schedules in the entire NFL. That seemingly got easier with Dak Prescott expected to miss the Cowboys’ Week 6 matchup in Philadelphia. Jalen Hurts has a path to win the MVP award if the Eagles can take advantage of their easy schedule.
Another noteworthy shift in the MVP odds market came with Minnesota Vikings QB Kirk Cousins. Cousins was +5000 to win MVP at most Sportsbooks before the season kicked off. Following the Vikings drubbing of the Green Bay Packers in Week 1, his odds to win MVP have dropped to as low as +2200 at Caesars Sportsbook and BetMGM Sportsbook. His best available odds are
NFL Offensive Player of The Year Odds
Perhaps the largest NFL awards odds movement in any of the markets came in the Offensive Player of the Year market. Giants RB Saquon Barkley was +6000 to win Offensive Player of the Year before Week 1 against the Titans. Barkley torched Tennessee, compiling 18 carries for 164 yards and a touchdown. He also had six receptions for 30 yards. After Week 1, he is the leading rusher in the NFL.
After his huge performance he has dropped to as low as +1600 at BetMGM Sportsbook to win the award. Saquon’s best available OPOY odds are .
Another notable shift came in Justin Jefferson’s odds. He was +1200 to win Offensive Player of the Year before Week 1 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Following his nine receptions for 184 yards and two touchdowns, PointsBet Sportsbook has made him the favorite to win the award at +600 odds. His best available odds are .
NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds
Chargers pass rusher Khalil Mack entered Week 1 against the Raiders at +3000 to win Defensive Player of the Year at DraftKings Sportsbook. The favorites to win the award before the early window of Week 1’s slate were Myles Garret and T.J. Watt, at +700 respectively.
Mack was a handful in Week 1 against his former team, compiling three sacks and forcing a fumble in the Chargers 24-19 victory over the Raiders. The combination of Mack and Joey Bosa along the defensive line could prove to be an uncontainable force for opponents this year as they struggle with trying to double team one of these elite pass rushers.
Mack graded out as the seventh-best EDGE defender for Week 1 on PFF, with a grade of 87.0. Graded first overall was Myles Garrett with a 94.4 overall grade. The only other player in the NFL to record three sacks in Week 1 was Alex Highsmith, linebacker for the Pittsburgh Steelers.
After the game against his former team, PointsBet Sportsbook dropped Mack’s number from +3000 to +900. His best available odds are .
NFL Offensive Rookie of The Year Odds
Steelers rookie QB Kenny Pickett was the odds-on favorite to win Offensive Rookie of The Year before Week 1 kicked off. He was listed at +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Following the Steelers victory with Mitch Trubisky starting, Pickett can be found as low as +1800 to win the award at Caesars Sportsbook.
Commanders WR Jahan Dotson also saw a big shift in his odds to win the award following his Week 1 performance against the Jaguars. Dotson entered Week 1 at +2000 to win Offensive Rookie of The Year at DraftKings Sportsbook. Following his three catches for 40 yards and two touchdowns against the Jaguars, he is one of the favorites to win OROY, as low as +800 at PointsBet Sportsbook. His best available odds are
NFL Coach of the Year Odds
Chargers head coach Brandon Staley entered Week 1 as the favorite to win the Coach of the Year award at +1500 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Three coaches were tied at +1600 to win the award at DraftKings: Dan Campbell, Kevin O’Connell, and Mike McDaniel.
A staple of winning the Coach of the Year award has been that coach’s ability to have a .500 or better record against their division opponents. Dating back the past 10 years, no coach has finished below .500 against his own division and won the award. Six of the last seven coach of the year award winners finished in first place in their division. As a result of Sunday’s games, FanDuel Sportsbook has made Brandon Staley, Kevin O’Connell, and Mike McDaniel co-favorites to win the award at +800 odds. DK has shifted O’Connell to the lone favorite at +800.
The only other coach to win a division game in Week 1 was Mike Tomlin, as his Steelers defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 in overtime.
On May 31, Mike Tomlin was +5000 to win the Coach Of The Year Award at PointsBet Sportsbook. PointsBet shifted his odds down to +2200 to win the award. He sits at +2500 at DK.
The T.J. Watt injury (pectoral) is expected to try to return this season and forego surgery, according to TheLines injury expert Will Carroll. Mike Tomlin could receive a lot of credit in the Coach Of The Year market for guiding the Steelers to a .500 or better record and a possible playoff berth. Especially if he can do so with Mitch Trubisky, or rookie QB Kenny Pickett running things on the offensive side of the football.
It is worth noting that since he became the coach of the Steelers in 2007, Tomlin’s teams have not finished below .500 once over the span of 15 years. He has won seven division titles since taking over in 2007.
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