Anytime Touchdown Odds: TD Player Props To Consider For Dolphins At Bills
NFL Week 4 odds give us a heavyweight AFC East fight between the Dolphins and the Bills. Coming off a 70-point game, the Dolphins are looking to put up similar numbers, while Buffalo is looking to prove they can win against good teams after two wins against bottom-feeders. With two explosive offenses, the anytime touchdown market could produce great value this week.
With the Dolphins having the best offense in the league and the Bills third by EPA, this will likely be a track meet. And if that’s the case, then the Dolphins Bills anytime touchdown market could be very fun to bet on this weekend.
Make sure to check out the best sports betting sites to make sure you’re getting the best value on Dolphins Bills anytime touchdown.
Dolphins Bills Anytime Touchdown Odds
Dolphins Bills First Touchdown Odds
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Strategy
With the Dolphins coming off such a high-scoring game, and one where their two running backs scored a combined 8 TDs, lots of people will go back to the Mostert and Achane wells. Achane is certainly a bad value at his price, as a limited usage back. On the Bills side, Stefon Diggs is probably fairly priced, but laying juice for a Wide Receiver anytime is always a risk.
With that said, the high number of expected points here makes a longshots strategy much more viable. With the highest total on the board, there’s likely a lot of touchdowns to be scored. That means the chances of one getting to a player deeper on the odds board rise. This week, there are four deeper shots who could easily see themselves getting into the end zone.
Dolphins at BillS Anytime Touchdown Props To Consider
Dolphins WR Braxton Berrios ()
Berrios has gone over his receiving yards in all three of his first games as a Dolphin. In fact, in Week 2 he nearly got in the end zone, before he was stopped inside the five-yard line. Tua clearly looks for the former Jet WR, and if the Bills have to defend two deep ball threats on the outside, Berrios should be able to continue to operate up the middle.
He hasn’t gotten into the end zone yet, but he’s running routes on 54% of dropbacks and 59% of pass attempts. So long as Miami doesn’t give three passing touchdowns to running backs again this week, Berrios could easily find himself the recipient of either more Red Zone looks, or he could take one of his long seam passes into the end zone.
Dalton Kincaid ()
Kincaid was the Bills’ big addition this offseason in terms of offensive weapons, and he hasn’t exactly been deployed as such so far this year. That said, there’s no reason to think he can’t be a weapon in the end zone. 8 TDs in his last college season, the big tight end will eventually find himself getting shots at his first TD.
With Kincaid running routes on just over 75% of pass attempts, his role should increase as the season goes on and he gets more accustomed to the NFL. If so, there’s no better week to get him his first NFL TD than in a track meet against the best offense in the NFL.
Bills TE Dawson Knox ()
Knox has taken a severe step down in overall use this year, only getting 46 receiving yards so far this season. That said, 1 of those was for a touchdown in Week 2, and the Bills haven’t needed to push offensively much in the last two weeks. Against a Dolphins offense that will likely force a high-paced game, Knox could find himself more involved.
Even if he’s not, he got 15 TDs in the last two seasons for a reason. Allen loves a big body in the red zone, and Knox still provides that. With such a high projected total, Knox is live to return to the end zone,
Dolphins DST (+3500)
Josh Allen is the key to this bet because let’s be honest here, he loves a bad interception. 4 total this season and one last week, Allen has an inability to stop himself from bad passes. It’s a risky proposition, to be sure. That said, a fairly important condition for a defensive touchdown is turnovers, and Allen’s got that risk in spades.
Dolphins vs. Bills Player Props
Dolphins vs. Bills Spread, Moneyline, and Total
MIA @ BUF
Oct. 01, 5:00 PM
Odds updated October 1st, 2023, at 8:05 pm