NFL Anytime Touchdown Odds: 3 TD Player Props To Consider Week 6
We cruise into NFL Week 6, riding a 6-0 streak of picking anytime touchdown odds the last two weeks. ATTD player prop markets offer a wide variety of players and bets to choose from across the best sports betting sites for every game. Running backs have been good to us lately, making up four of our six wins over weeks 4 and 5. Let’s keep to the formula with another couple of starting running backs and a wide receiver consuming targets at an insane rate.
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NFL Week 6 Anytime Touchdown Odds
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Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase ()
Ja’Marr Chase had zero touchdown receptions heading into Week 5 at the Arizona Cardinals. He left tied for fifth among WRs with three scores.
It was a perfect matchup and situation for Chase to climb out of his slump. The Cardinals are a bottom-three passing defense, ranking 30th in pass DVOA. Quarterback Joe Burrow finally looked healthy enough to throw the ball with his usual zip and accuracy and his second-best target, Tee Higgins, was sidelined with a rib injury. That left his WR1 in prime position to command an even greater target share than usual.
Higgins is expected to play on Sunday, but there will be plenty of opportunities to go around against a Seattle pass defense ranked only slightly better than Arizona’s. The Seahawks have allowed five touchdowns to opposing wide receivers through four games. Three of those four receiving groups not counting the New York Giants, combined for more than 680 yards and four scores.
Chase owns the 5th-highest target share in the league while running the most routes on the season. He has 10 red-zone targets, which is second-most among wide receivers. Five of those alone came last week. It seems like the touchdown floodgates may have finally opened for Burrow and Chase. Let’s keep riding the wave.
Bills RB James Cook ()
Hopefully, you’ve been betting anytime touchdown odds on whichever starting running back faces the Giants to score a touchdown each week. It’s hit every time, and if you placed one unit on each bet, you’d be up more than seven units through six games.
The G Men are 30th in defensive rushing EPA, coughing up the second-most rushing yards per game to the other team’s backfield. They give up the fifth-most yards overall, letting their opponents into the red zone more nearly four times per game. More than half the time, they see those red zone trips end in seven points.
Some thought there would be a running back battle in Buffalo between the three-headed monster of James Cook, Damien Harris, and Latavius Murray. That, however, has not been the case. Cook has soaked up nearly 60% of the snaps behind Josh Allen. He’s even seen the bulk of the red zone opportunities, snatching three a game before the team’s loss in London, where none of their backs had a tote inside the 20.
Of course, he may not need the offense to get that close to scoring. New York is susceptible to big plays in running and passing games. Cooks is a major contributor to the Bills’ air attack, ranking 11th in targets among RBs with 18.
Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker ()
Unfortunately for Kenneth Walker III, he doesn’t get to play the Giants’ porous defense again as Seattle comes off its bye week. The Bengals’ run defense should offer a similarly easy time in Cincinnati, however. Zach Taylor’s squad is 26th in rushing defense EPA and 20th in success rate. Meanwhile, the Seahawks own the 2nd-best rushing EPA and rank 11th in success rate when they keep it on the ground.
When they get in the red zone, it’s Walker’s time to shine. He has the sixth-most touches inside the offensive 20-yard line, and that’s including the fact that he’s already had his bye week. The Bengals have struggled to keep opponents from moving the chains, allowing the fifth-most red zone appearances so far.
Both teams should be able to move the ball in this one. Just take a peek at the valuable opportunity for Burrow and Chase to feast against the weak Seahawks secondary laid out above. This should apply pressure to both offenses to end their drives in the end zone rather than settling for field goals.
With how Walker III has performed around the goal line and the Bengals’ inability to stop teams from getting there, he’s a great bet to score in this one.
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