The usual suspects are littered all over the top of the odds boards when it comes to Super Bowl futures for next year.
The Chiefs (+475), Buccaneers (+600) and Bills (+1100) – three of this past season’s four NFL finalists – have the lowest odds to win it all in 2022 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
As for the fourth finalist from last season, the Green Bay Packers, their Super Bowl odds have gone from +800 to +2000 – mostly thanks to a certain QB being upset with his current circumstances.
DraftKings Sportsbook posted its initial 2022 Super Bowl futures just prior to the 2020-21 AFC and NFC Championship games. The odds for all of the teams have all changed somewhat over the past four months (DraftKings), but most notably Green Bay.
- The Chiefs were +600 for 2022, now +475
- The Buccaneers were +1300, now +600
- The Packers were +800, now +2000
- The Bills were +1100 and remain at +1100
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Next year Super Bowl odds
Here is a look at Super Bowl odds for next year from the top US sportsbooks.
Why bet on next year’s Super Bowl now?
Getting a jump on Super Bowl futures can be fruitful. Training camp injuries, training camp cuts, trades and late free agent signings will have an impact on the odds boards before the season begins.
Also, be sure to check out top teams that have relatively easy early season schedules. The top teams that look good early in the season will see their odds get lower, meaning you’ll make less of a profit at that time than if you hopped on a price now.
The Rodgers rate
Just how big of an impact could a single player have on Super Bowl odds? Well, when it’s the reigning NFL MVP – a massive one.
The Packers had +800 odds to win Super Bowl LVI in January when DraftKings first released their board. Now? Green Bay is +2000, mostly due to the fact that Aaron Rodgers wants out.
The most likely suitor for Rodgers’ services at this juncture is the Denver Broncos, who have seen their Super Bowl futures go from +6000 in January to +3000. The Broncos have had a strong off-season according to most pundits and a trade for Rodgers would immediately put them among the favorites to win it all.
The Rams’ acquisition of QB Matthew Stafford immediately vaulted LA into elite status. Sean McVay‘s crew had been +2000 at DraftKings to win it all next year, but is now +1300. LA has the fourth lowest odds at DK, owning shorter Super Bowl odds than teams like the Ravens (+1400) and Seahawks (+2200).
Detroit, meanwhile, had high Super Bowl odds before they sent Stafford West and took-in Jared Goff. The Lions had been +7500 at DK, but are now +20000.
There are often massive swings in team records season-to-season in the NFL. For instance, five of the 12 teams that made the playoffs in the 2019-20 season did not make the cut for the 2020-21 NFL Playoffs.
One of those teams was the San Francisco 49ers, who finished 6-10 one season after going 13-3 and representing the NFC in the Super Bowl.
The Niners are a classic bounce-back year candidate for 2021-22 as they were ravaged by injuries this past regular season. DraftKings’ odds of 49ers at +1400 reflect San Francisco’s potential of fixing things quickly. The Niners have the lowest 2021-22 Super Bowl odds of any team that did not make the playoffs last season.
San Francisco took QB Trey Lance with the No. 3 overall pick in the draft, but will likely start the season with Jimmy Garoppolo under center. It’ll be “win or get benched” for Garoppolo early in the season.
Coach ’em up
The Jaguars have the fifth highest Super Bowl odds at DraftKings Sportsbook despite them bringing in highly regarded head coach Urban Meyer from the college ranks and drafting Trevor Lawrence first overall. While a leap from worst-to-first is basically impossible in the NFL, it’s likely that the Jaguars will make some baby-step progress this coming season. A bet on them to win the Super Bowl probably isn’t worth it – hence the +10000 odds – but a surprise division title shouldn’t be ruled out entirely. The Jags are +700 to win the AFC South at DraftKings.
Opening odds vs. current odds
DraftKings Sportsbook posted their opening odds for 2021-22 just prior to the AFC and NFC title games. Here is a look at the odds then, and now.
|Team||Opening odds||Current odds|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+600||+475|
|Green Bay Packers||+800||+2000|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+1300||+600|
|New Orleans Saints||+1500||+2500|
|San Francisco 49ers||+1500||+1400|
|New England Patriots||+2800||+3300|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+6000||+6600|
|Washington Football Team||+6000||+4000|
|New York Giants||+6600||+7500|
|New York Jets||+9000||+15000|