New York Mets 2020 Betting Guide: World Series Odds And More

Written By Esten McLaren on July 13, 2020
Mets odds World Series 2020

The New York Mets will look to end a three-year MLB playoff drought in 2020. The Mets finished last year at 86-76 for the third-best mark in the National League East. Starter Jacob deGrom won his second straight NL Cy Young and 1B Pete Alonso was named the NL Rookie of the Year.

The addition of SP Marcus Stroman at the 2019 trade deadline will prove very important this year after Zack Wheeler left for the Philadelphia Phillies in free agency. Noah Syndergaard will miss the 2020 campaign after undergoing Tommy John surgery.

Free agent adds Rick Porcello and Michael Wacha will help patch up the rotation, while RP Dellin Betances dramatically improves the bullpen. Relief pitcher Edwin Diaz is expected to remain in the closer role to begin the season, but he’ll need to rebound from a season in which he blew seven saves. He gave up 2.33 home runs per nine innings with a dreadfully unlucky 26.8 percent home run to fly ball ratio.

Alonso will again lead the offense in his sophomore season. Third baseman Jeff McNeil and OF J.D. Davis will look to build on strong seasons. Outfielder Yoenis Cespedes (ankle/heals) will rejoin the lineup and is expected to fill the team’s new designated hitter role. Second baseman Robinson Cano enjoyed a strong second half in 2019 and will look to pick up where he left off in the warm weather.

New York trails the Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals in the odds to win the NL East, but the Mets are still projected to finish above .500. deGrom is again viewed as the frontrunner to defend his Cy Young crown, and Alonso is among the favorites to win the home run race. He’s a potential value play as a mid-tier contender for the NL MVP.

The Mets will open the season Friday, July 24, against the Braves, and will play 10 games each against the Braves, Nationals, Phillies, and Marlins throughout the course of the season. The other 20 games will be played against the American League East, where the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays are expected to contend for the 2020 World Series.

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New York Mets odds 2020

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Mets betting breakdown

2019 Record: 86-76

Key Losses: 3B Todd Frazier, CF Juan Legares, 2B Joe Panik, RHP Zack Wheeler

Injured: RHP Noah Syndergaard (Tommy John – out for season)

Key Additions: 1B Matt Adams, RHP Dellin Betances, CF Jake Marisnick, IF Eduardo Nunez, RHP Rick Porcello, LHP Chasen Shreve, RHP Michael Wacha

Projected Starters/Lineup:

1. CF Brandon Nimmo (L) / Backup – CF Jake Marisnick
2. 3B Jeff McNeil (L)
3. 1B Pete Alonso (R)
4. RF Michael Conforto (L)
5. 2B Robinson Cano (L)
6. LF J.D. Davis (R)
7. C Wilson Ramos (R)
8. SS Amed Rosario (R)

Projected Rotation: RHP Jacob deGrom, RHP Marcus Stroman, LHP Steven Matz, RHP Rick Porcello, RHP Michael Wacha

Projected Closer: RHP Edwin Diaz

Bullpen Strengths: RHP Seth Lugo could lead the pen and steal a few closer opportunities. Lugo posted a 2.70 ERA in 61 Games (80.0 IP) with 104 strikeouts and 8 Home Runs allowed. Dellin Betances comes across the City after not playing in 2019 due to a partial Achilles tear. Betances is coming off five straight seasons with less than a 3.10 ERA and at least 100 Strikeouts.

Bullpen Weaknesses: Most of the staff returns after ranking 25th in the Majors in bullpen ERA in 2019 ( Edwin Diaz took a huge step back in 2019 after an All-Star 2018. The likely closer posted a 5.59 ERA in 66 Games where he only finished 48 but managed 26 Saves and 99 Strikeouts. RHP Jeurys Familia also took a step back in 2019 with a 5.70 ERA in 66 games (60.0 IP). Familia only finished 14 Games and finished 2019 with 63 Strikeouts.

Key Stats from 2019

  • Mets bullpen ranked 25th in MLB in ERA in 2019.
  • Pete Alonso led the Majors with 53 Home Runs in 2019.
  • Pete Alonso made the minimum salary of $555K in 2019. But won $1 million in the Home Run Derby.
  • Back up second baseman Jed Lowrie only had 8 plate appearances in 2019 despite signing a two-year/ $20M deal.
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