Deciding If Jets Hype Is Justified With Aaron Rodgers At QB In 2023
Mark Sanchez was the last New York Jets quarterback with a winning record. That was a decade ago. It would be mind-blowing for preseason expectations around 2023 Jets odds to rise even higher. What would happen if you took a four-time NFL MVP, lifted him off another team, and stuck him with the Jets defense? How far could that team go? Let’s look at the potential wagers from the best sports betting sites and see how New York Jets odds stack up heading into the 2023 season, including Super Bowl odds and NFL win totals.
New York JETS OFFENSe
Passing Game Preview
New Jets offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett reunites with Aaron Rodgers in New York. The two will look to replicate their success together with the Packers. With such a revamped offense and the addition of Hackett, we should expect New York’s pace and pass rate to be below the league average. Nobody left fewer seconds on the play clock when the ball snapped (6.1 seconds) than Rodgers did last year. Green Bay’s contests averaged the 26th, 31st, and 32nd-most total snaps in the last three seasons.
The Jets offense will likely rely on heavy efficiency to score touchdowns. With such a potent offense, New York may not need to run so many plays to stuff the stat sheet. 2022 No. 10 overall pick Garrett Wilson overcame fielding off-target passes from Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco to earn Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. Allen Lazard will be strong in the contested catch game. The former Packer is also a solid isolation receiver that will wreak havoc in the red zone. Do not forget about talented TE Tyler Conklin, who caught 58 passes for 552 yards and three touchdowns in 2022.
Running Game Preview
Breece Hall immediately showcased his explosion and versatility in his rookie campaign. Hall averaged 5.8 yards per carry, and his 6.9 yards per touch was No. 1 among all RBs with at least as many touches as Hall.
Unfortunately, Hall only appeared in seven games and handled only 99 touches due to his ACL tear in October. He had his surgery on November 18th, putting Week 1 2023 to be around 10 months of recovery. Even if Hall is active to open the season, there could be some early limitations. Non-Hall running backs rushed 251 times for just 3.7 yards per carry and a 28.2% success rate.
This compelled the Jets to add Israel Abanikanda, in the draft as well as signing veteran Dalvin Cook.
The Jets’ projected offensive line has one star-level starter in Alijah Vera-Tucker. Laken Tomlinson should be solid at left guard. There will be a two-man competition at center that will result in a league-average starter. The prominent question marks are at tackle, where Duane Brown is certainly solid when on the field, but he is 38 years old. Meanwhile, right tackle Mekhi Becton is ultra-talented, but he has just one start over the last two seasons due to injuries. There is a clear path for this group to make a jump up, but we will need to see Brown and Becton on the field healthy.
Rodgers played behind an offensive line that allowed a 26.2% pressure rate last season. The Jets allowed a 35.9% pressure rate in 2022. Mekhi Becton is a real question mark. New York has a well-rounded roster, but the offensive line questions do create a reason for concern.
PROSPECTS FOR NEW YORK JETS ODDS
Jets futures have New York to win the AFC East offered at . You can confidently expect the Jets to be a better outright team than the Patriots. When comparing New York to Miami, how confidant are you that Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa won’t suffer another concussion? The Bills are the real concern, but face their own question marks about how high the team’s ceiling is.
One can make a case either way for the Jets 2023 win total of Over/Under /.
One year after facing the league’s most difficult schedule, the opponents don’t get much easier, as the Jets have the ninth-most difficult schedule in 2023 by opponent win totals. Aaron Rodgers will be tested in his opening stretch as the Jets face the hardest schedule in the first six weeks: vs. Bills, at Cowboys, vs. Patriots, vs. Chiefs, at Broncos, vs. Eagles.
The case to bet the over on the win total would be simple. Aaron Rodgers is a year removed from back-to-back MVP seasons and will provide a significant upgrade to the league’s worst QB play from a year ago. Pairing median “A-Rod” with an elite defense, and now we can even start talking playoff run.