Will New York Giants Odds Exceed Expectations Again In 2023?
Last season, first-year Giants coach Brian Daboll took over an offense with an unreliable quarterback (Daniel Jones), a single elite skill-position player (Saquan Barkley), and an upper-echelon offensive lineman (Andrew Thomas). New York went on to go 10-2 against the spread as an underdog and 6-5-1 straight-up in those games, including an upset win over the Vikings in the wild-card round while cashing the over on the win total. What should you anticipate from New York Giants odds this time around? Let’s break down Big Blue’s outlook.
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new york giants odds: what lies ahead
New York’s aforementioned success largely speaks to the Giants’ coaching prowess. Daboll & Co. helped accumulate the ninth-most EPA per play across the NFL — consistently maximizing the offense’s strengths. None of their victories were as emblematic as their comeback win over the Packers, outscoring Green Bay 17-2 in the second half. In particular, Jones guided a 15-play, 91-yard touchdown drive without Barkley, churning 8:07 off the clock.
However, positive variance was on the Giants’ side. Of their nine victories, eight of them came by one score, finishing 8-4-1 in one-score games. As previously noted, their coaching staff contributed plenty to their execution in crunch time, but is it sustainable? Not if the injury-prone Barkley misses more than one game, which was his grand total in 2022.
From a power ratings perspective, New York possesses one of the top 10 most difficult schedules. Beyond four divisional contests against the Eagles and Cowboys, the Giants face the Bills, 49ers, Jets, and Dolphins to boot.
But their below-average secondary will likely improve, especially with first-rounder Deonte Banks in the fold. The speedy corner tallied a 9.99 Relative Athletic Score (RAS) at the combine out of a possible 10.00. This grade ranked No. 3 out of 2,222 cornerbacks from 1987 to 2023. If Banks’ raw potential doesn’t do justice, he let up a 39.6 passer rating in 22 coverage snaps during his NFL preseason debut.
All things considered, New York is seemingly priced correctly within the market, with a win total of 7.5. If Daboll manages to minimize its weaknesses once again — en route to a .500 record in their first six games — the Giants could very well punch a playoff ticket for a second straight year.
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