Netherlands Vs. Argentina: 2022 World Cup Quarterfinal Odds, Expected Goals

Written By Dan Tracey on December 5, 2022 - Last Updated on December 6, 2022
Netherlands vs. Argentina odds

2022 World Cup odds for the quarterfinals feature Netherlands vs. Argentina. This match will be televised in the U.S. on FOX and Telemundo on Friday, Dec. 9 at 2 p.m. ET. The victor advances to the semifinals to face the winner of Brazil vs. Croatia.

Bettors should be aware during the Knockout Rounds that the three-way moneyline is only for 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If tied after that but a team wins in Extra Time or Penalty Kicks, soccer’s version of overtime, all three-way moneyline bets are still graded as a draw. If you are looking for a moneyline bet that pays out no matter when the win comes, look for “To Advance” or “To Qualify” props.

Netherlands Vs. Argentina Odds

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Netherlands Team Preview

Although the Netherlands could have been accused of being sluggish in the group stage, there was no such tiredness against the United States on Saturday. Memphis Depay made that evident when he completed a 21-pass move for his and his teammates’ opening goal.

That would be one of three come full time and although Andries Noppert did see his goal breached by Haji Wright, it would mean little. Especially as the Dutch now embark on a World Cup quarterfinal encounter.

One that sees them go up against old foes Argentina. With manager Louis Van Gaal being considered a wise old head in coaching circles, the former Manchester United boss will be tasked with engineering a winning game plan. The 71-year-old has achieved that three times in Qatar already. Although the tournament path has been rather smooth for the Netherlands to date, you can only beat who is in front of you.

Now though, De Oranje will certainly face their most difficult task in the tournament so far. One that will certainly ask questions of their attack. And with both Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay leading the line, they will hope to have the answers.

Should it click for the pair at the weekend, we could have a relative upset on our hands.

Argentina Team Preview

When your nation exits a World Cup, there is always the temptation to take on a second team. A temporary dalliance that allows your interest to continue throughout the tournament. With the U.S. headed home, their support may soon defect elsewhere.

Do not be surprised if Argentina collects a new swath of support. Then again, it might not be Argentina as a whole that collects this support, it may only be one player in particular.

That player is Lionel Messi and with the diminutive forward doing his very best to lead himself and his teammates to eternal glory, his quest to finally get his hands on the World Cup trophy continues this weekend. A quest that has been extended after managing to get the better of Australia. Although last Saturday’s final score only ended 2-1 to the South American nation, that tells nowhere near the full story.

Messi himself largely wrote that story. With the PSG forward scoring the opening goal, he then followed by creating multiple chances for his fellow attacking counterparts. Chances that, bar Julian Alvarez pickpocketing Mat Ryan in the Australia goal, were largely wasted.

Should that same level of creative profligacy be on show against the Dutch, it may send the two-time World Champions through.

World Cup Knockout Rounds Bracket

world cup bracket

Netherlands Vs. Argentina Expected Goals

In a sport where scoring has extremely high variance, opportunities to score and opportunities allowed has become a more respected measure of the quality of a team’s play. Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of a shot based on several factors, including shot type, shot angle and distance from goal. Similarly, expected goals allowed (xGA) measure the quality of a team’s defense. Subtracting expected goals allowed from expected goals equals expected goal differential (xGD) and offers an overall advanced measure of a team.

TeamGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencexGoals ForxGoals AgainstxGoal Difference
Netherlands 82+6 6.656.43+0.22
Argentina 73+4 8.161.19+6.97

Matchup History

When it comes to the history between the Netherlands and Argentina, it is one that is largely intertwined with the World Cup’s own lore. None more so than when the two nations met in 1978 final.

A fixture played in Buenos Aires and with home advantage eventually proving to be the difference, it would be the Argentinians who would lift the trophy by virtue of a 3-1 win in extra time. 

Fast forward 20 years later, and the two nations would be paired in the Round of 16. This time, the Netherlands progressed with Dennis Bergkamp scoring one of the most incredible goals that soccer has ever seen. That fixture certainly lives long in the memory.

Netherlands Vs. Argentina Bets To Consider

Half-time tie/Full-time tie: +340

With this year’s World Cup now reaching its quarterfinal stage, we have approached the business end of the tournament. Business that for one nation will eventually conclude in outright victory.

Whether that one nation is comprised of the Netherlands and Argentina, I am still unsure. However, the winner from Saturday’s encounter will certainly take a substantial step towards the final itself.

Before any dreams of a final appearance in just under a fortnight, these two global powerhouses must first take care of the other. And when two titans go to war, a sense of stalemate often comes with it.

This is why I am opting for a tie at the interval and the same outcome at the final whistle. This would mean the game goes to at least 30 minutes of additional time and maybe even penalties if the deadlock remains in place.

Whoever eventually takes the spoil is largely immaterial for the purposes of this bet. As long as the scores are equal at both minutes 45 and 90, that will do for me, and hopefully, it will do for you as well.

Lionel Messi to score anytime:

There is no doubt that Lionel Messi has been Argentina’s best player at this year’s World Cup. There is little doubt that the PSG forward has been one of the best players in the tournament so far.

While these statements can easily be backed up by Messi’s scoring output in Qatar, that doesn’t tell the full tale of his quality of play. Not only has he scored three goals in four matches, but he is creating countless chances for his colleagues.

Their frustrating refusal to slot the ball home is not something that needs to concern bettors in this market. As long the 35-year-old does his business, then we are also in business on Saturday.

That is not to say that Argentina are a one-man team in Qatar. Sometimes, though, when a job needs to done, you are better off doing it yourself.

If the Argentines are to get the better of the Dutch, they may need a special talent to help them along the way. Thankfully they possess precisely that and if he comes up with a goal in 90 minutes, you will possess a positive return on your stake.

Best of luck wagering on Netherlands vs. Argentina odds.

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