NC State Vs. Texas Tech Odds, Betting Preview, And North Carolina Betting Promos

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Written By Brett Gibbons | Last Updated
nc state texas tech odds

It’s time to go dancing! The ACC champion NC State Wolfpack (22-14) takes on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (23-10) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Texas Tech is a favorite with NC State available on the moneyline and an over/under set at points, according to the latest March Madness odds.

Sports betting is now legal in North Carolina, so let’s take a look at NC State vs. Texas Tech odds and the best NC sportsbook promos to pair them with. This No. 6 vs. No. 11 matchup tips off Thursday, March 21, at 9:40 p.m. ET on CBS.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. NC State Wolfpack Odds

Compare Texas Tech vs. NC State odds from the best sports betting sites below. Click on odds anywhere to place a bet.

Minutes after this matchup was announced on Selection Sunday, Texas Tech opened as a -4.5 favorite. After 48 hours of maturity, the Red Raiders climbed to -5.5. However, that movement doesn’t align with betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook. There, NC State commands 73% of total bets and 93% of the betting handle on its moneyline. (Note: those splits come at varying numbers since open.)

Over the last six tournaments, No. 11 seeds hold a 17-11 outright advantage over No. 6 seeds (60.7%!) but went just 1-3 last year. NC State was an 11-seed in that tournament, falling to Creighton in the first round. The Wolfpack have a 19-16 all-time record in the NCAA Tournament, while the Red Raiders are 13-11.

Related: How Respected CBB Metrics Pick The NCAA Tournament

Texas Tech vs. NC State Preview, Projections

Just two teams in the country won five games in five days – NC State and UConn. That gives the Wolfpack a massive boost of momentum heading into this Round 1 matchup. Historically, conference tournament championships don’t always correlate with success in the NCAA Tournament. Texas Tech was bounced in its second conference tournament game, losing to Houston.

Texas Tech faces a couple of critical injuries in this game. Both forwards – seniors Devan Cambridge and Warren Washington – are out for the Round of 64. Both were near double-digit scorers this season, and Washington added 7.4 rebounds per game. NC State is down a pair of role players, but comes into this game far healthier. At full strength, both Haslametrics and KenPom rate Tech as a top-30 team, with the latter being slightly more bullish (24th).

Haslametrics favors the Red Raiders by three points, suggesting some value in betting on the underdog. PoolGenius also suggests a closer affair than the odds make. They line Tech with a 59% win expectancy according to their power ratings and the Red Raiders advanced in just 53% of simulations. At +200, NC State has an implied win rate of just 33.3%, further suggesting that there may be value to be had.

Although early betting splits suggest NC State might be the “square” or “public” side, advanced projections back those splits up.

PoolGenius Bracket Predictor

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