The 2024 ACC Tournament semifinals are underway on Friday, with the third-seeded Virginia Cavaliers (23-9, 13-7) facing the 10th-seeded NC State Wolfpack (20-14, 9-11). Wolfpack fans in North Carolina can utilize the best NC sportsbook promos — with March Madness odds around the corner. The value adds up to $2,950 in bonus bets! We've ranked the top bonus codes for NC State odds near the bottom of the article.
NC State basketball odds vs. Virginia
NC State Odds: ACC Tournament Preview
The betting markets for these ACC tournament odds make for an intriguing handicap. Virginia is a favorite, and the Wolfpack are on the moneyline. The total is .
Will Wolfpack Cover?
After opening at +5000 to win the conference tournament, NC State is down to +600 at multiple sportsbooks as of this publishing. Kevin Keats' bunch ripped off wins over Louisville, Syracuse, and Duke ahead of this semifinal tilt against the Wahoos.
Meanwhile, Virginia survived upset-minded Boston College in the quarterfinals, tallying a 66-60 overtime win. Those who bet the Eagles +5.5 suffered a horrific beat in the process. Nevertheless, Tony Bennett's team didn't make it easy on themselves, going 8-of-18 (44.4%) from the charity stripe. The Cavaliers rank No. 354 nationally in free-throw percentage (63.9%).
Assuming NC State isn't worn down in its fourth matchup in four days, the Wolfpack has enough perimeter shooting to upend Virginia's pack-line defense. While they split their regular-season series, DJ Horne & Co. delivered a 10-of-28 (35.7%) 3-point shooting output in the first go-around.
In the second meeting, the Wolfpack generated just 53 points via 0.79 points per possession (PPP), resulting in a 59-53 overtime defeat.
The rubber match — with a trip to the ACC tournament championship game on the line — will likely boil down to which team controls the pace. Unsurprisingly, the 'Hoos showcase the slowest adjusted tempo in college basketball. If they force NC State into mostly half-court sets, the Wolfpack should undergo offensive regression in Washington, D.C.
My raw numbers make the line closer to Virginia -1.5. It suggests a slight edge on Wolfpack +2.5 or better, as long as you devalue the notion around tired legs. Our partner Haslametrics projects a final score of 62.8-62.7, favoring NC State odds regarding the point spread.
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