Phoenix Suns @ Minnesota Timberwolves Player Props - March 17th 2026

8:00pm

The Suns at Timberwolves player prop preview profiles as a game where the stars still pull the gravity, but the supporting cast can swing the prop card. Suns and Timberwolves both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent. The schedule angle matters too, with Suns on the second night of a back-to-back.
Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Jordan Goodwin for Suns and Rudy Gobert for Timberwolves. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Grayson Allen on the Suns side and Bones Hyland for Timberwolves. The key is workload you can trust, not a random hot stretch.
Here, we pull the key stat profiles for the main rotation players, then match those numbers to the prop markets to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Suns vs Timberwolves matchup preview.
Pace and efficiency for PHX at MIN player props
Game shape matters for props, and the two cleanest pieces are pace and efficiency. The notes below split each metric into five outcomes so the context is clear. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.
| Metric | Away Team Suns | Home Team Timberwolves | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace (Poss/Game) | 100.0 | 103.1 | Timberwolves strong advantage: on season baselines, they play at a clearly faster tempo, so look for possession volume to climb and lift counting stats. |
| PPG (Season) | 112.4 | 118.4 | Timberwolves slight advantage: on season baselines, their scoring baseline runs a bit higher, which points to expect points outcomes to have a little more cushion. |
| Offensive Rating | 111.8 | 114.9 | Timberwolves strong advantage: tonight, they are the clearly more efficient offense, which suggests anticipate possessions to produce higher-quality looks more consistently. |
| Defensive Rating | 111.0 | 110.5 | Even: tonight, defensive efficiency is close, making it fair to anticipate shot quality to be similar on both ends. |
After you check pace and efficiency, workload is the next filter because fatigue can show up late. The notes below label each workload metric into five outcomes and call out the team with the edge.
| Workload metric | Away Team Suns | Home Team Timberwolves | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games in last 7 days | 3 | 3 | Even: in this spot, game volume is the same in the last seven days, making it fair to anticipate energy and rotations to sit in a similar spot. |
| Time zone changes (last 7) | 0 | 1 | Suns slight advantage: in this spot, they have had fewer time-zone changes recently, making it fair to project sleep and routine to be a little steadier. |
| Miles travelled (last 7) | 7,973 | 4,498 | Timberwolves strong advantage: tonight, they have travelled materially fewer miles in the last week, which should leave project travel fatigue to be meaningfully lower. |
| Days since last game | 1 | 2 | Timberwolves slight advantage: on this slate, they have one more day since the last game, which should leave project recovery to be a bit better, especially late. |
| Back-to-back | Yes | No | Timberwolves strong advantage: in this profile, the away team is on a back-to-back, putting you on track for fatigue risk to lean toward the visitors. |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | -1 | 1 | Timberwolves strong advantage: on the season, they hold a clear rest advantage, so energy to lean their way, especially late. |
| Previous opponent strength | 66.2 | 78.3 | Suns strong advantage: in the season data, their previous opponent graded noticeably lighter, so carryover wear to be meaningfully lower. |
| Travel miles since last game | 1,121 | 694 | Timberwolves slight advantage: on season baselines, they travelled less between the last game and this one, which points to plan for travel fatigue to be a bit lower. |
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This is the updated status snapshot for Suns and Timberwolves. When the report removes real minutes or scoring, the cleanest read is usually role stability: who keeps minutes, and who absorbs the next wave of usage. For a broader futures snapshot, see NBA Finals lines.
| Squad | Out | Questionable | Injured impact (MPG • PPG) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suns | 3 1 out | 0 1 questionable | 84.0 MPG • 49.6 PPG |
| Timberwolves | 1 1 out | 0 1 questionable | 35.5 MPG • 29.5 PPG |
- Suns has a bigger minutes hit listed. If it does not change late, the rotation often tightens and top-end minutes look safer.
- Timberwolves is listed with a notable minutes drain. When that sticks, touches can shift toward the top creators.
Best Player Assists Props for Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves
Lock in on the team rhythm behind Player Assists Props by using the same three stats every time: assist rate, assists per game, turnovers per game. Phoenix Suns: 60.5% assist rate, 24.7 assists per game, 13.6 turnovers per game; Minnesota Timberwolves: 61.2%, 26.1, 14.2.
The team story is direct: higher assist rate plus higher assists per game usually nudges more Player Assists Props value, as long as turnovers per game does not wipe out possessions. Here it tilts toward Minnesota Timberwolves. When minutes holds and the role is stable, that output is what the prop market has to price correctly.
| NBA Player | AST/G | Minutes | Usage % | Assist % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | 2.2 | 22 | 18.1% | 14.3% |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | 5.9 | 33 | 32.6% | 29.8% |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | 2.8 | 29 | 14.5% | 13.1% |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | 4.8 | 29 | 19% | 24% |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | 2.1 | 21 | 12.2% | 13.9% |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | 2.6 | 25 | 33.4% | 17.4% |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | 4.1 | 30 | 23.9% | 21% |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 5.1 | 33 | 26.6% | 23.3% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 1.8 | 32 | 12.6% | 7.5% |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | 2.6 | 15 | 20% | 24.2% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 2.4 | 26 | 21.8% | 13.2% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 4.1 | 31 | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 2.8 | 32 | 18.2% | 12.3% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 2.6 | 27 | 17.3% | 13.9% |
- Phoenix Suns pick: fanduel -106 u7.5. Collin Gillespie averages 4.8, and the line is 7.5. The board is not always pricing this side as the most likely, which is exactly the kind of setup to verify.
- Minnesota Timberwolves pick: fanduel -102 o1.5. Ayo Dosunmu averages 2.6, and the line is 1.5. The board is not always pricing this side as the most likely, which is exactly the kind of setup to verify.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Assist Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | o0.5 u0.5 | fanatics fanatics | -714 +350 |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | -152 +114 |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | -162 +122 |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | o7.5 u7.5 | fanduel fanduel | -125 -106 |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanduel fanduel | -144 +108 |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | o5.5 u5.5 | fanduel fanduel | +164 -225 |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | o3.5 u3.5 | betrivers betrivers | -108 -127 |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanduel fanduel | -114 -114 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | +172 -235 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | +132 -178 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o0.5 u0.5 | fanatics fanatics | -1000 +425 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | -240 +174 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o4.5 u4.5 | fanduel fanduel | +168 -230 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | -102 -130 |
Suns vs Timberwolves NBA Player 3PM Props
Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and Minnesota Timberwolves is at 36.1 while Phoenix Suns is at 38.2. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.2 for Minnesota Timberwolves and 0.3 for Phoenix Suns.
| NBA Player | Minutes | Usage% | 3P% | 3PM line | Proxy 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | 22 | 18.1 | 35.5 | 0.5 | 1.41 |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | 33 | 32.6 | 32.2 | 1.5 | 3.46 |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | 29 | 14.5 | 40.3 | 3.5 | 1.69 |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | 29 | 19 | 41.6 | 2.5 | 2.29 |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | 25 | 33.4 | 30.2 | 2.5 | 2.52 |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | 10 | 15.9 | 36.1 | 2.5 | 0.57 |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | 30 | 23.9 | 35.4 | 2.5 | 2.54 |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 33 | 26.6 | 31.4 | 2.5 | 2.76 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | 15 | 20 | 39.2 | 4.5 | 1.18 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 26 | 21.8 | 37.3 | 2.5 | 2.11 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 31 | 16.7 | 38.5 | 0.5 | 1.99 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 32 | 18.2 | 41.7 | 1.5 | 2.43 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 27 | 17.3 | 39.6 | 1.5 | 1.85 |
- PHX pick: Fanduel Over +230 . Jordan Goodwin (PHX) checks in at a proxy of 1.41 made threes with a line of 0.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
- MIN pick: Fanduel Over +320 . Jaden McDaniels (MIN) lines up with a proxy of 2.43 made threes against a line of 1.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / 3PM Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +230 -330 |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +162 -220 |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | o3.5 u3.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -138 +104 |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +144 -194 |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +168 -230 |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +178 -245 |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | o2.5 u2.5 | Betrivers Betrivers | -134 +100 |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +360 -580 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | o4.5 u4.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +124 -166 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +134 -180 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -130 -102 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +320 -490 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +320 -500 |
New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $300 in Bonus Bets Instantly Suns at Timberwolves NBA Player Points Prop Picks
Looking at recent form, Phoenix Suns has gone 6-4 with a 60% clip, racking up 111.9 points per game and giving up 109.4. Minnesota Timberwolves is 6-4 (60%), scoring 112.3 and allowing 115.9. Those splits are the first stop for points props.
If one team is more likely to drive the points , it is usually the side with the better setup from recent scoring and recent points allowed. Phoenix Suns has the cleaner path on that read, and it is a useful signal when narrowing down points props.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | Minutes | Usage % | TS % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | 8.7 | 22 | 18.1% | 51.7% |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | 25.8 | 33 | 32.6% | 58.1% |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | 9.9 | 29 | 14.5% | 58.7% |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | 13.1 | 29 | 19% | 58.4% |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | 6.1 | 21 | 12.2% | 62.8% |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | 17.2 | 25 | 33.4% | 49.4% |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | 3.6 | 10 | 15.9% | 51.9% |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | 17.2 | 30 | 23.9% | 57.2% |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.2 | 33 | 26.6% | 59% |
| Kyle Anderson (MIN) | 3.3 | 16 | 9.3% | 62.5% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 10.8 | 32 | 12.6% | 67.6% |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | 7.5 | 15 | 20% | 60.2% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 13.7 | 26 | 21.8% | 58.3% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 12.3 | 31 | 16.7% | 57.8% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 14.5 | 32 | 18.2% | 61.9% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 12.1 | 27 | 17.3% | 61.9% |
- Phoenix Suns play here : FanDuel Under +118. Royce O'Neale is at 9.9 points on the year versus a 11.5 line. The first stat-only read leans "Under," and the price shows it is not fully baked in, so this is a good spot to double-check usage and shot volume.
- Minnesota Timberwolves angle right away : FanDuel Over +148. Rudy Gobert is putting up 10.8 points on the season , and the number is 9.5. A simple numbers-first scan points to "Over," and the odds show the market is still reserved , so it is worth confirming minutes and role.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points Line | Best Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -132 +100 |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | o30.5 u30.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -128 -104 |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -158 +118 |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +110 -146 |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | o16.5 u16.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +108 -144 |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -132 +100 |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | o9.5 u9.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -136 +102 |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | o13.5 u13.5 | Unibet Unibet | -124 -107 |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o29.5 u29.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -102 -130 |
| Kyle Anderson (MIN) | o6.5 u6.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -180 +134 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o9.5 u9.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +148 -200 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | o23.5 u23.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -125 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o12.5 u12.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -162 +122 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -178 +132 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o16.5 u16.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -118 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o19.5 u19.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +132 -178 |
Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Points + Assists Prop Picks
Across the last five games, Phoenix Suns land at 3-2, while Minnesota Timberwolves stand at 1-4.
Points plus assists props get sharper when the team is in rhythm, so this lean points to Phoenix Suns based on the recent five.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | AST/G | PTS+AST | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | 8.7 | 2.2 | 10.9 | 22 | 18.1% |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | 25.8 | 5.9 | 31.7 | 33 | 32.6% |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | 9.9 | 2.8 | 12.7 | 29 | 14.5% |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | 13.1 | 4.8 | 17.9 | 29 | 19% |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | 6.1 | 2.1 | 8.2 | 21 | 12.2% |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | 17.2 | 2.6 | 19.8 | 25 | 33.4% |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | 17.2 | 4.1 | 21.3 | 30 | 23.9% |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.2 | 5.1 | 26.3 | 33 | 26.6% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 10.8 | 1.8 | 12.6 | 32 | 12.6% |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | 7.5 | 2.6 | 10.1 | 15 | 20% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 13.7 | 2.4 | 16.1 | 26 | 21.8% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 12.3 | 4.1 | 16.4 | 31 | 16.7% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 14.5 | 2.8 | 17.3 | 32 | 18.2% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 12.1 | 2.6 | 14.7 | 27 | 17.3% |
- PHX pick: Fanatics Over odds posted at +105 for Jordan Goodwin points plus assists. The stat-first angle leans Over off 10.9 versus 9.5, and it is the kind of spot to flag before a minutes and rotation double-check.
- MIN pick: FanDuel Under priced at +100 for Rudy Gobert points plus assists. On the stat sheet, Rudy Gobert brings 12.6 points plus assists per game with a line of 13.5, so the clean read is Under; circle it and recheck minutes, role, and matchup.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points + Assists Line | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | o9.5 u9.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +105 -141 |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | o35.5 u35.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -112 -118 |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -125 |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | o16.5 u16.5 | Caesars Caesars | -121 -112 |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | o12.5 u12.5 | Caesars Caesars | -112 -120 |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | o26.5 u26.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +100 -132 |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | o17.5 u17.5 | DraftKings DraftKings | -123 -107 |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o27.5 u27.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -120 -110 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -132 +100 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -128 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o20.5 u20.5 | Caesars Caesars | -114 -117 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o18.5 u18.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -128 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o17.5 u17.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | -116 -116 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o19.5 u19.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -125 -106 |
Timberwolves vs Suns NBA Rebounds Player Props
When the cross check is flat, props come down to who owns the steady boards, and rebounds per game plus the split between offensive rebounds and defensive rebounds points to Minnesota Timberwolves as the small lean.
Selection is stat first, comparing rebounds per game to the rebounds line and using minutes per game, usage percentage, and rebound percentage as backup, so the final pick feels defensible instead of random.
| NBA Player | REB/G | Minutes | Usage % | REB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | 4.7 | 22 | 18.1% | 11.8% |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | 4 | 33 | 32.6% | 6.7% |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | 4.8 | 29 | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | 4.2 | 29 | 19% | 8% |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | 4.9 | 21 | 12.2% | 12.6% |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | 3.4 | 25 | 33.4% | 7.5% |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | 2 | 10 | 15.9% | 10.8% |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | 3 | 30 | 23.9% | 5.5% |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 6.9 | 33 | 26.6% | 11.5% |
| Kyle Anderson (MIN) | 3.7 | 16 | 9.3% | 12.8% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 11.4 | 32 | 12.6% | 19.9% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 6.2 | 26 | 21.8% | 13.1% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 4.4 | 31 | 16.7% | 7.9% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 4.3 | 32 | 18.2% | 7.4% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 2.7 | 27 | 17.3% | 5.5% |
- PHX pick: FanDuel Over +154 . Royce O'Neale has a steady rebounds baseline at 4.8, and the line at 3.5 leaves a useful cushion.
- MIN pick: FanDuel Over +122 . The bet nudges this way because the stat gap is 1.9 rebounds, and the return looks strong at roughly 122 profit per $100 stake.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Rebound Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -225 +164 |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | o6.5 u6.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -125 -106 |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +154 -210 |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | o5.5 u5.5 | Caesars Caesars | +305 -480 |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | o7.5 u7.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -130 -102 |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +118 -158 |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | o1.5 u1.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -158 +118 |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | o2.5 u2.5 | DraftKings DraftKings | -163 +123 |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o7.5 u7.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +172 -235 |
| Kyle Anderson (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -138 +104 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o17.5 u17.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +120 -160 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o6.5 u6.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +106 -140 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +122 -162 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o7.5 u7.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -158 +118 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +114 -152 |
Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves Player Points + Rebounds + Assists Prop Bets
Points + rebounds + assists props live in the space between shot-making and shot-denial. If one team owns the offensive rating edge while the other side holds the defensive rating edge, PRA can split into assists from makes and rebounds from misses. The clean scan is to see which side is more likely to control the flow. The Minnesota Timberwolves field-goal percentage and the Phoenix Suns field-goal percentage are worth a quick scan because made shots can carry assists while missed shots can push rebounds.
Win percentage is not the bet, but it can signal which team keeps its offense organized and which team drifts into broken possessions. The picks use a sharp lane by lining up each NBA Player season PRA average against the line, then taking the strongest edge and price for each team, provided the market data is complete.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | PRA/G | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | 8.7 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 15.6 | 22 | 18.1% |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | 25.8 | 4 | 5.9 | 35.7 | 33 | 32.6% |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | 9.9 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 17.5 | 29 | 14.5% |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | 13.1 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 22.1 | 29 | 19% |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | 6.1 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 13.1 | 21 | 12.2% |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | 17.2 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 23.2 | 25 | 33.4% |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | 3.6 | 2 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 10 | 15.9% |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | 17.2 | 3 | 4.1 | 24.3 | 30 | 23.9% |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.2 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 33.2 | 33 | 26.6% |
| Kyle Anderson (MIN) | 3.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 9.6 | 16 | 9.3% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 10.8 | 11.4 | 1.8 | 24 | 32 | 12.6% |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | 7.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 11.7 | 15 | 20% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 13.7 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 22.3 | 26 | 21.8% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 12.3 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 20.8 | 31 | 16.7% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 14.5 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 21.6 | 32 | 18.2% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 12.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 17.4 | 27 | 17.3% |
- PHX pick: The snappy case points to Fanatics Over +110 for Grayson Allen PRA. The figure that matters is 24.3 versus 21.5, and that spread can drive both the scoring side (points and assists) and the miss side (rebounds).
- MIN pick: Start with the quick test and it lands on FanDuel Under +100 for Bones Hyland PRA. When the number sits at 12.5 and the average is 11.7, that buffer can shift the edge quickly.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet (Points + Rebounds + Assists Line) | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Goodwin (PHX) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -102 -125 |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | o42.5 u42.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -108 -122 |
| Royce O'Neale (PHX) | o23.5 u23.5 | Caesars Caesars | -124 -108 |
| Collin Gillespie (PHX) | o22.5 u22.5 | Caesars Caesars | -122 -109 |
| Oso Ighodaro (PHX) | o15.5 u15.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -108 -118 |
| Jalen Green (PHX) | o30.5 u30.5 | Caesars Caesars | -110 -121 |
| Rasheer Fleming (PHX) | o9.5 u9.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -125 -105 |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | o21.5 u21.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +110 -147 |
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o34.5 u34.5 | Caesars Caesars | -110 -121 |
| Kyle Anderson (MIN) | o9.5 u9.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -128 +100 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o28.5 u28.5 | Caesars Caesars | -121 -110 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | o12.5 u12.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -128 +100 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o26.5 u26.5 | Caesars Caesars | -124 -107 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o22.5 u22.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -120 -106 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o21.5 u21.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -108 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o23.5 u23.5 | Caesars Caesars | -118 -113 |
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win Before we get into specific markets, the lane is the same: a faster tempo tempo, and two teams whose rotation decisions matter a lot. Suns has played at roughly a 60% win clip over its last ten, and Timberwolves is around 60%.
For Points + Assists, the two players to circle are Jordan Goodwin for Suns and Rudy Gobert for Timberwolves. It’s a simple way to spot who is most central to the offense when the game settles in.
In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Grayson Allen on the Suns side and Bones Hyland for Timberwolves. If the tempo is steady, you get more chances. If it slows, the best players still find their volume. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.