Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Player Props - March 13th 2026

Written By Nick Crain | Last Updated at March 13, 2026
National Basketball Association
Timberwolves
Away
13/03/2026
10:00pm
Warriors
Home

This Timberwolves at Warriors matchup puts a spotlight on responsibility, because props usually cash through the same handful of dependable roles. Timberwolves and Warriors both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent.

If you want a straightforward place to start, begin here. Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Julius Randle for Timberwolves and Kristaps Porziņģis for Warriors. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Jaden McDaniels on the Timberwolves side and Kristaps Porziņģis for Warriors.

The approach in this article is straightforward: highlight the player stats that drive each market, then combine them with the props to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Timberwolves vs Warriors matchup preview.



Pace and efficiency for MIN at GSW player props

For props, it helps to start with pace and efficiency because those inputs shape opportunity. The notes below sort each stat into five outcomes so you can scan the edge quickly. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.

Metric Away Team
Timberwolves
Home Team
Warriors
Notes
Pace (Poss/Game) 103.2 101.7 Timberwolves slight advantage: in this game, they play a bit faster, which should leave anticipate extra possessions to nudge prop volume up.
PPG (Season) 118.0 114.6 Timberwolves slight advantage: in this spot, their scoring baseline runs a bit higher, which suggests anticipate points outcomes to have a little more cushion.
Offensive Rating 114.1 112.0 Timberwolves slight advantage: by the numbers, they are a slightly more efficient offense, which points to look for possessions to end in cleaner looks more often.
Defensive Rating 110.2 112.6 Timberwolves slight advantage: at a glance, they grade as a slightly tougher defense, which tends to mean scoring props to be a bit more sensitive to efficiency.

After you check pace and efficiency, workload is the next filter because fatigue can show up late. The notes below label each workload metric into five outcomes and call out the team with the edge.

Workload metric Away Team
Timberwolves
Home Team
Warriors
Notes
Games in last 7 days 0 0 Even: by the numbers, game volume is the same in the last seven days, which points to project energy and rotations to sit in a similar spot.
Time zone changes (last 7) 0 0 Even: on this slate, time-zone change totals are similar over the last week, making it fair to project routines to be steady for both teams.
Miles travelled (last 7) 0 0 Even: on this slate, travel mileage is close over the last seven days, which should leave anticipate travel wear to be similar on both sides.
Days since last game 2 3 Warriors slight advantage: in this game, they have one more day since the last game, so anticipate recovery to be a bit better, especially late.
Back-to-back No No Even: on the season, neither team is on a back-to-back, which usually leads to rest to be close to normal for both teams.
Rest advantage vs opponent -1 1 Warriors strong advantage: on this slate, they hold a clear rest advantage, making it fair to project energy to lean their way, especially late.
Previous opponent strength 50.8 40.9 Warriors strong advantage: in this game, their previous opponent graded noticeably lighter, which should leave project carryover wear to be meaningfully lower.
Travel miles since last game 348 0 Warriors slight advantage: at a glance, they travelled less between the last game and this one, so travel fatigue to be a bit lower.
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NBA injury report for MIN at GSW: out, questionable, and impact

This table tracks the availability outlook for Timberwolves and Warriors. When the report strips out rotation pieces, minutes concentrate and usage funnels toward the next-closest creators. For a broader futures snapshot, see Finals futures odds.

Squad Ruled out In doubt Reported loss (MPG • PPG)
Timberwolves 1
1 out
0
1 questionable
30.4 MPG • 12.2 PPG
Warriors 2
1 out
0
1 questionable
56.8 MPG • 32.1 PPG


Timberwolves at Warriors Player Assists Props Picks

The Starting point for Player Assists Props is whether the teams create a reliable creation picture environment. Minnesota Timberwolves is 61.2% in assist rate with 26.1 assists per game and 14.1 turnovers per game. Golden State Warriors is 70.6%, 28.9, 15.

A controlled assist environment is the base of Player Assists Props: assist rate keeps the ball moving, assists per game shows the volume, and turnovers per game shows how often plays die early. The balance is not identical, and Golden State Warriors comes off stronger.

NBA Player AST/G Minutes Usage % Assist %
Julius Randle (MIN) 5 33 26.7% 23.1%
Rudy Gobert (MIN) 1.7 31 13% 7.2%
Naz Reid (MIN) 2.2 26 22.2% 12.4%
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) 3.8 30 17% 16.8%
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 2.7 32 18.6% 12.2%
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 3.7 35 31.7% 17.6%
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 3.5 29 19.2% 17.8%
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) 2.3 24 28.4% 15.6%
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 3.7 28 20.2% 19.2%
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) 2.6 23 25.5% 16.9%
Draymond Green (GSW) 5.5 27 16.2% 27.3%
Al Horford (GSW) 2.6 22 16.6% 17%
Gui Santos (GSW) 2.3 21 18.8% 16.7%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Assist Line Best Bookmaker Odds Odds
Julius Randle (MIN) o3.5
u3.5
fanduel
fanduel
+106
-140
Rudy Gobert (MIN) o2.5
u2.5
fanatics
fanatics
+225
-385
Naz Reid (MIN) o1.5
u1.5
draftkings
draftkings
-149
+113
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) o3.5
u3.5
fanduel
fanduel
+130
-174
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) o2.5
u2.5
fanduel
fanduel
-132
+100
Anthony Edwards (MIN) o4.5
u4.5
caesars
caesars
+122
-164
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) o2.5
u2.5
fanduel
fanduel
-125
-106
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
fanatics
fanatics
+170
-278
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
fanduel
fanduel
-130
-102
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
fanduel
fanduel
-108
-122
Draymond Green (GSW) o5.5
u5.5
fanatics
fanatics
-116
-116
Al Horford (GSW) o3.5
u3.5
fanduel
fanduel
+114
-152
Gui Santos (GSW) o6.5
u6.5
fanduel
fanduel
-152
+114


Timberwolves vs Warriors NBA Player 3PM Props

Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and Golden State Warriors is at 34.2 while Minnesota Timberwolves is at 34.5. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.3 for Golden State Warriors and 0.2 for Minnesota Timberwolves.

NBA Player Minutes Usage% 3P% 3PM line Proxy 3PM
Julius Randle (MIN) 33 26.7 31.5 0.5 2.78
Naz Reid (MIN) 26 22.2 36.2 1.5 2.09
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) 30 17 37.9 1.5 1.93
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 32 18.6 41.2 0.5 2.45
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 35 31.7 39.9 3.5 4.43
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 29 19.2 41.4 2.5 2.31
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) 24 28.4 31.1 1.5 2.12
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 28 20.2 37.1 2.5 2.1
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) 23 25.5 29.4 1.5 1.72
Draymond Green (GSW) 27 16.2 32.6 2.5 1.43
Will Richard (GSW) 20 13.1 33.5 0.5 0.88
Al Horford (GSW) 22 16.6 36.1 2.5 1.32
Gui Santos (GSW) 21 18.8 35.1 0.5 1.39
NBA Player Prop Bet / 3PM Line Best Bookmaker Odds Odds
Julius Randle (MIN) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-200
+148
Naz Reid (MIN) o1.5
u1.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-220
+158
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) o1.5
u1.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-158
+118
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-146
+110
Anthony Edwards (MIN) o3.5
u3.5
Caesars
Caesars
+121
-162
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) o2.5
u2.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+425
-1000
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) o1.5
u1.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-200
+148
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-138
+104
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) o1.5
u1.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-132
+100
Draymond Green (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+240
-435
Will Richard (GSW) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-154
+116
Al Horford (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-102
-130
Gui Santos (GSW) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-174
+130


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MIN vs GSW NBA Player Points Props Picks

Past 10 games tell a clean story: Minnesota Timberwolves is 6-4 (60%), dropping 112.3 a night and leaking 117.2. Golden State Warriors is 3-7 (30%), with 113.4 for and 117.2 allowed. That profile is where points props usually start to pop .

Recent form does not lock in anything, but it does shape the range for points props. Golden State Warriors looks better positioned to score by those splits, and that is the kind of angle that can tilt a points read.

NBA Player PTS/G Minutes Usage % TS %
Julius Randle (MIN) 21.1 33 26.7% 58.5%
Rudy Gobert (MIN) 10.9 31 13% 66.4%
Bones Hyland (MIN) 8.5 17 20.7% 59.9%
Naz Reid (MIN) 13.6 26 22.2% 56.5%
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) 12.2 30 17% 56.7%
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 14.8 32 18.6% 61.1%
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 28.8 35 31.7% 61.7%
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 14.4 29 19.2% 61.9%
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) 16.1 24 28.4% 57.1%
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 13.8 28 20.2% 58.3%
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) 12.3 23 25.5% 51.8%
Draymond Green (GSW) 8.4 27 16.2% 54%
Will Richard (GSW) 6.4 20 13.1% 59.6%
Al Horford (GSW) 8.3 22 16.6% 55.4%
Gui Santos (GSW) 9.2 21 18.8% 60.9%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Points Line Best Bookmaker Odds
Julius Randle (MIN) o11.5
u11.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-132
+100
Rudy Gobert (MIN) o16.5
u16.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-146
+110
Bones Hyland (MIN) o4.5
u4.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
-213
+135
Naz Reid (MIN) o15.5
u15.5
Caesars
Caesars
-105
-129
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) o8.5
u8.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+128
-172
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) o13.5
u13.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+108
-144
Anthony Edwards (MIN) o43.5
u43.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+104
-138
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) o8.5
u8.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-108
-122
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) o22.5
u22.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-120
-110
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) o22.5
u22.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+106
-140
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) o14.5
u14.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-106
-125
Draymond Green (GSW) o8.5
u8.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
-116
-116
Will Richard (GSW) o4.5
u4.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-136
+102
Al Horford (GSW) o10.5
u10.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-132
+100
Gui Santos (GSW) o17.5
u17.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-108
-122


Timberwolves at Warriors Player Points + Assists Prop Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves have gone 2-3 in their past five, and Golden State Warriors have gone 1-4 over the same stretch.

Points plus assists props get sharper when the team is in rhythm, so this edge points to Minnesota Timberwolves based on the last five.

NBA Player PTS/G AST/G PTS+AST Minutes Usage %
Julius Randle (MIN) 21.1 5 26.1 33 26.7%
Rudy Gobert (MIN) 10.9 1.7 12.6 31 13%
Naz Reid (MIN) 13.6 2.2 15.8 26 22.2%
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) 12.2 3.8 16 30 17%
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 14.8 2.7 17.5 32 18.6%
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 28.8 3.7 32.5 35 31.7%
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 14.4 3.5 17.9 29 19.2%
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) 16.1 2.3 18.4 24 28.4%
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 13.8 3.7 17.5 28 20.2%
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) 12.3 2.6 14.9 23 25.5%
Draymond Green (GSW) 8.4 5.5 13.9 27 16.2%
Al Horford (GSW) 8.3 2.6 10.9 22 16.6%
Gui Santos (GSW) 9.2 2.3 11.5 21 18.8%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Points + Assists Line Bookmaker Odds
Julius Randle (MIN) o23.5
u23.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-104
-128
Rudy Gobert (MIN) o11.5
u11.5
Caesars
Caesars
-113
-118
Naz Reid (MIN) o13.5
u13.5
Caesars
Caesars
-110
-121
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) o14.5
u14.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-106
-125
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) o15.5
u15.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-118
-112
Anthony Edwards (MIN) o32.5
u32.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-114
-114
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) o12.5
u12.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-118
-112
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) o16.5
u16.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+100
-132
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) o20.5
u20.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-118
-114
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) o17.5
u17.5
Caesars
Caesars
-130
-103
Draymond Green (GSW) o14.5
u14.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
-105
-125
Al Horford (GSW) o13.5
u13.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-125
-106
Gui Santos (GSW) o17.5
u17.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-112
-118


MIN vs GSW NBA Player Rebounds Prop Picks

Neither cross matchup clearly favors the offense, so rebounds are more likely to flow from baseline volume like rebounds per game, where Minnesota Timberwolves sits at 44.1 and Golden State Warriors sits at 42.3, with the offensive leader Both teams and defensive leader Both teams shaping the edges.

To keep rebounds props honest, the logic starts with rebounds per game versus the rebounds line and then checks minutes per game plus rebound percentage, which often highlight the clearest value.

NBA Player REB/G Minutes Usage % REB%
Julius Randle (MIN) 6.7 33 26.7% 11.2%
Rudy Gobert (MIN) 11.5 31 13% 20.1%
Naz Reid (MIN) 6.2 26 22.2% 13.1%
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) 4.1 30 17% 7.4%
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 4.2 32 18.6% 7.4%
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 5 35 31.7% 7.8%
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 4.2 29 19.2% 8%
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) 5.3 24 28.4% 12.5%
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 5.1 28 20.2% 10%
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) 3.2 23 25.5% 7.8%
Draymond Green (GSW) 5.5 27 16.2% 11.2%
Will Richard (GSW) 2.5 20 13.1% 7%
Al Horford (GSW) 4.9 22 16.6% 12.6%
Gui Santos (GSW) 3.9 21 18.8% 10.6%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Rebound Line Best Bookmaker Odds Odds
Julius Randle (MIN) o6.5
u6.5
Caesars
Caesars
+109
-145
Rudy Gobert (MIN) o9.5
u9.5
Caesars
Caesars
+110
-145
Naz Reid (MIN) o5.5
u5.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-166
+124
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) o4.5
u4.5
Caesars
Caesars
-170
+127
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) o3.5
u3.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-118
-112
Anthony Edwards (MIN) o7.5
u7.5
Caesars
Caesars
-143
+107
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) o2.5
u2.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+118
-158
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) o5.5
u5.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-108
-122
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) o7.5
u7.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+130
-174
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-160
+120
Draymond Green (GSW) o5.5
u5.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+130
-192
Will Richard (GSW) o2.5
u2.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-112
-118
Al Horford (GSW) o5.5
u5.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-130
-102
Gui Santos (GSW) o4.5
u4.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-140
+106


Timberwolves at Warriors Points + Rebounds + Assists Props Picks

The first thing to clock here is how each team plays on the scoreboard and on the glass, because both sides feed PRA. When an offense is efficient, assists show up more often; when a defense forces tougher shots, rebounds stack quickly. That is why offensive rating and defensive rating are the top lane into this market. The Golden State Warriors field-goal percentage and the Minnesota Timberwolves field-goal percentage are worth a snappy check because made shots can drive assists while missed shots can push rebounds.

Win percentage adds the consistency layer, because a steadier team usually sustains its style across four quarters. The quick test for the picks is each NBA Player PRA average (points plus rebounds plus assists per game) versus the posted line, then the best value is chosen from each team. Only props with a line, over odds, under odds, and a listed bookmaker are used.

NBA Player PTS/G REB/G AST/G PRA/G Minutes Usage %
Julius Randle (MIN) 21.1 6.7 5 32.8 33 26.7%
Rudy Gobert (MIN) 10.9 11.5 1.7 24.1 31 13%
Bones Hyland (MIN) 8.5 1.8 2.6 12.9 17 20.7%
Naz Reid (MIN) 13.6 6.2 2.2 22 26 22.2%
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) 12.2 4.1 3.8 20.1 30 17%
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) 14.8 4.2 2.7 21.7 32 18.6%
Anthony Edwards (MIN) 28.8 5 3.7 37.5 35 31.7%
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) 14.4 4.2 3.5 22.1 29 19.2%
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) 16.1 5.3 2.3 23.7 24 28.4%
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) 13.8 5.1 3.7 22.6 28 20.2%
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) 12.3 3.2 2.6 18.1 23 25.5%
Draymond Green (GSW) 8.4 5.5 5.5 19.4 27 16.2%
Will Richard (GSW) 6.4 2.5 1.3 10.2 20 13.1%
Al Horford (GSW) 8.3 4.9 2.6 15.8 22 16.6%
Gui Santos (GSW) 9.2 3.9 2.3 15.4 21 18.8%
NBA Player Prop Bet (Points + Rebounds + Assists Line) Bookmaker Odds
Julius Randle (MIN) o30.5
u30.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-111
-115
Rudy Gobert (MIN) o23.5
u23.5
sports-interaction
sports-interaction
-110
-118
Bones Hyland (MIN) o11.5
u11.5
BetMGM
BetMGM
-105
-125
Naz Reid (MIN) o19.5
u19.5
sports-interaction
sports-interaction
-110
-118
Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) o18.5
u18.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-108
-120
Jaden McDaniels (MIN) o20.5
u20.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-102
-130
Anthony Edwards (MIN) o37.5
u37.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-113
-113
Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) o14.5
u14.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-122
-104
Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) o19.5
u19.5
sports-interaction
sports-interaction
-105
-125
Brandin Podziemski (GSW) o27.5
u27.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-106
-125
De'Anthony Melton (GSW) o21.5
u21.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-113
-113
Draymond Green (GSW) o19.5
u19.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
-111
-120
Will Richard (GSW) o13.5
u13.5
BetMGM
BetMGM
-120
-110
Al Horford (GSW) o20.5
u20.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-106
-125
Gui Santos (GSW) o23.5
u23.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-118
-112


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Timberwolves enter this matchup with Warriors and the prop read starts with the game script. Think a faster tempo, plus which stars are most likely to carry the action. Timberwolves has played at roughly a 60% win clip over its last ten, and Warriors is around 30%.

This is the first market I keep an eye on. For Points + Assists, the two players to circle are Julius Randle for Timberwolves and Kristaps Porziņģis for Warriors. The workload is usually visible early.

In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Jaden McDaniels on the Timberwolves side and Kristaps Porziņģis for Warriors. If the game gets tight, these are the players you will see in the moments that matter. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.