Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors Player Props - March 13th 2026
10:00pm
This Timberwolves at Warriors matchup puts a spotlight on responsibility, because props usually cash through the same handful of dependable roles. Timberwolves and Warriors both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent.
If you want a straightforward place to start, begin here. Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Julius Randle for Timberwolves and De'Anthony Melton for Warriors. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Jaden McDaniels on the Timberwolves side and Will Richard for Warriors.
The approach in this article is straightforward: highlight the player stats that drive each market, then combine them with the props to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Timberwolves vs Warriors matchup preview.
Pace and efficiency for MIN at GSW player props
For props, it helps to start with pace and efficiency because those inputs shape opportunity. The notes below sort each stat into five outcomes so you can scan the edge quickly. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.
| Metric | Away Team Timberwolves | Home Team Warriors | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace (Poss/Game) | 103.2 | 102.0 | Timberwolves slight advantage: in this game, they play a bit faster, which should leave anticipate extra possessions to nudge prop volume up. |
| PPG (Season) | 118.7 | 115.2 | Timberwolves slight advantage: in this spot, their scoring baseline runs a bit higher, which suggests anticipate points outcomes to have a little more cushion. |
| Offensive Rating | 114.9 | 112.1 | Timberwolves slight advantage: by the numbers, they are a slightly more efficient offense, which points to look for possessions to end in cleaner looks more often. |
| Defensive Rating | 110.5 | 111.4 | Even: at a glance, defensive efficiency is close, which tends to mean shot quality to be similar on both ends. |
After you check pace and efficiency, workload is the next filter because fatigue can show up late. The notes below label each workload metric into five outcomes and call out the team with the edge.
| Workload metric | Away Team Timberwolves | Home Team Warriors | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games in last 7 days | 3 | 3 | Even: by the numbers, game volume is the same in the last seven days, which points to project energy and rotations to sit in a similar spot. |
| Time zone changes (last 7) | 1 | 2 | Timberwolves slight advantage: on this slate, they have had fewer time-zone changes recently, making it fair to project sleep and routine to be a little steadier. |
| Miles travelled (last 7) | 4,582 | 2,579 | Warriors strong advantage: on this slate, they have travelled materially fewer miles in the last week, which should leave anticipate travel fatigue to be meaningfully lower. |
| Days since last game | 2 | 3 | Warriors slight advantage: in this game, they have one more day since the last game, so anticipate recovery to be a bit better, especially late. |
| Back-to-back | No | No | Even: on the season, neither team is on a back-to-back, which usually leads to rest to be close to normal for both teams. |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | -1 | 1 | Warriors strong advantage: on this slate, they hold a clear rest advantage, making it fair to project energy to lean their way, especially late. |
| Previous opponent strength | 50.8 | 40.9 | Warriors strong advantage: in this game, their previous opponent graded noticeably lighter, which should leave project carryover wear to be meaningfully lower. |
| Travel miles since last game | 348 | 0 | Warriors slight advantage: at a glance, they travelled less between the last game and this one, so travel fatigue to be a bit lower. |
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This table tracks the availability outlook for Timberwolves and Warriors. When the report strips out rotation pieces, minutes concentrate and usage funnels toward the next-closest creators. For a broader futures snapshot, see Finals futures odds.
| Squad | Ruled out | In doubt | Reported loss (MPG • PPG) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves | 0 1 out | 0 1 questionable | 0.0 MPG • 0.0 PPG |
| Warriors | 3 1 out | 4 1 questionable | 169.1 MPG • 92.7 PPG |
- Warriors has a meaningful minutes hole listed. If it holds, minutes tend to stack toward the core and usage follows.
Timberwolves at Warriors Player Assists Props Picks
The Starting point for Player Assists Props is whether the teams create a reliable creation picture environment. Minnesota Timberwolves is 61.4% in assist rate with 26.2 assists per game and 14 turnovers per game. Golden State Warriors is 71%, 29.2, 14.7.
A controlled assist environment is the base of Player Assists Props: assist rate keeps the ball moving, assists per game shows the volume, and turnovers per game shows how often plays die early. The balance is not identical, and Golden State Warriors comes off stronger.
| NBA Player | AST/G | Minutes | Usage % | Assist % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 5.2 | 33 | 26.4% | 23.5% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 1.8 | 31 | 12.6% | 7.6% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 2.3 | 26 | 22% | 13% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 4.2 | 31 | 16.8% | 18% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 2.8 | 32 | 18.2% | 12.3% |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 3.7 | 35 | 31.8% | 17.3% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 2.5 | 25 | 17.1% | 14% |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | 2.7 | 20 | 29% | 21% |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 3.8 | 28 | 19.5% | 19.6% |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | 2.3 | 23 | 26.5% | 16.1% |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | 5.3 | 27 | 16.6% | 26.5% |
| Al Horford (GSW) | 2.7 | 22 | 16.5% | 17% |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | 1.9 | 18 | 17.4% | 15% |
- Minnesota Timberwolves pick: fanduel +130 o3.5. Donte DiVincenzo has a stable assist profile at 4.2 with a line of 3.5. If the job holds, the number can lift, but the setup still matters.
- Golden State Warriors pick: fanduel +114 u6.5. Gui Santos has a stable assist profile at 1.9 with a line of 6.5. If the job holds, the number can lift, but the setup still matters.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Assist Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | +106 -140 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanatics fanatics | +225 -385 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | draftkings draftkings | -149 +113 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | +130 -174 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanduel fanduel | -132 +100 |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | o4.5 u4.5 | caesars caesars | +122 -164 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanduel fanduel | -125 -106 |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanatics fanatics | +170 -278 |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanduel fanduel | -130 -102 |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanduel fanduel | -108 -122 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | o5.5 u5.5 | fanatics fanatics | -116 -116 |
| Al Horford (GSW) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | +114 -152 |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | o6.5 u6.5 | fanduel fanduel | -152 +114 |
Timberwolves vs Warriors NBA Player 3PM Props
Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and Golden State Warriors is at 34.2 while Minnesota Timberwolves is at 34.5. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.3 for Golden State Warriors and 0.2 for Minnesota Timberwolves.
| NBA Player | Minutes | Usage% | 3P% | 3PM line | Proxy 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 33 | 26.4 | 30.8 | 0.5 | 2.68 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 26 | 22 | 37.4 | 1.5 | 2.14 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 31 | 16.8 | 38.9 | 1.5 | 2.03 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 32 | 18.2 | 42.3 | 0.5 | 2.46 |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 35 | 31.8 | 40.2 | 3.5 | 4.47 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 25 | 17.1 | 34.3 | 2.5 | 1.47 |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | 20 | 29 | 28.6 | 1.5 | 1.66 |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 28 | 19.5 | 36.8 | 2.5 | 2.01 |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | 23 | 26.5 | 29.8 | 1.5 | 1.82 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | 27 | 16.6 | 33.1 | 2.5 | 1.48 |
| Will Richard (GSW) | 20 | 14.3 | 34.5 | 0.5 | 0.99 |
| Al Horford (GSW) | 22 | 16.5 | 36.1 | 2.5 | 1.31 |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | 18 | 17.4 | 35 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
- MIN pick: Caesars Over +121 . Anthony Edwards (MIN) checks in at a proxy of 4.47 made threes with a line of 3.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
- GSW pick: Fanduel Under +104 . Brandin Podziemski (GSW) lines up with a proxy of 2.01 made threes against a line of 2.5. A stat-first says "Under lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / 3PM Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -200 +148 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -220 +158 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -158 +118 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -146 +110 |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | o3.5 u3.5 | Caesars Caesars | +121 -162 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +425 -1000 |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -200 +148 |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -138 +104 |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -132 +100 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +240 -435 |
| Will Richard (GSW) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -154 +116 |
| Al Horford (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -102 -130 |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -174 +130 |
New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $300 in Bonus Bets Instantly Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Player Points Prop Picks and Best Lines
Past 10 contests tell a clean story: Minnesota Timberwolves is 6-4 (60%), scoring 112.3 a night and leaking 117.2. Golden State Warriors is 3-7 (30%), with 113.4 for and 117.2 allowed. That profile is where points props usually start to pop .
The quick way to read points props is combining who is scoring lately with who is leaking points lately. Golden State Warriors grades out better by that blend, and it is a practical filter before choosing a side.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | Minutes | Usage % | TS % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.1 | 33 | 26.4% | 58.7% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 10.8 | 31 | 12.6% | 67.7% |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | 7.2 | 15 | 19.7% | 59.6% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 13.9 | 26 | 22% | 58.2% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 12.5 | 31 | 16.8% | 58.3% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 14.7 | 32 | 18.2% | 61.9% |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 29.4 | 35 | 31.8% | 62.1% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 11 | 25 | 17.1% | 59.4% |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | 12.7 | 20 | 29% | 51.6% |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 12.6 | 28 | 19.5% | 56.4% |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | 13 | 23 | 26.5% | 52.6% |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | 8.6 | 27 | 16.6% | 53.9% |
| Will Richard (GSW) | 7 | 20 | 14.3% | 60.5% |
| Al Horford (GSW) | 8.4 | 22 | 16.5% | 55.4% |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | 7.5 | 18 | 17.4% | 60.4% |
- Minnesota Timberwolves pick for this spot : FanDuel Over +128. Donte DiVincenzo sits at 12.5 points a game versus a 8.5 line. The early numbers read leans "Over," and the price shows it is not completely baked in, so this is a good spot to double-check usage and shot volume.
- Golden State Warriors points play to flag : FanDuel Under +100. Al Horford runs at 8.4 points on the season against 10.5. The clean stat read points to "Under," and the book is still not pricing it as the most likely , so validate matchup and minutes.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points Line | Best Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -132 +100 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o16.5 u16.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -146 +110 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | o4.5 u4.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | -213 +135 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o15.5 u15.5 | Caesars Caesars | -105 -129 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o8.5 u8.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +128 -172 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +108 -144 |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | o43.5 u43.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +104 -138 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o8.5 u8.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -108 -122 |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | o22.5 u22.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -120 -110 |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | o22.5 u22.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +106 -140 |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | o14.5 u14.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -125 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | o8.5 u8.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | -116 -116 |
| Will Richard (GSW) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -136 +102 |
| Al Horford (GSW) | o10.5 u10.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -132 +100 |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | o17.5 u17.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -108 -122 |
Timberwolves at Warriors Player Points + Assists Prop Picks
Minnesota Timberwolves have gone 2-3 in their recent five, and Golden State Warriors have gone 1-4 over the same sample.
Points plus assists props get sharper when the team is in rhythm, so this lean points to Minnesota Timberwolves based on the last five.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | AST/G | PTS+AST | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.1 | 5.2 | 26.3 | 33 | 26.4% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 10.8 | 1.8 | 12.6 | 31 | 12.6% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 13.9 | 2.3 | 16.2 | 26 | 22% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 12.5 | 4.2 | 16.7 | 31 | 16.8% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 14.7 | 2.8 | 17.5 | 32 | 18.2% |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 29.4 | 3.7 | 33.1 | 35 | 31.8% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 11 | 2.5 | 13.5 | 25 | 17.1% |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | 12.7 | 2.7 | 15.4 | 20 | 29% |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 12.6 | 3.8 | 16.4 | 28 | 19.5% |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | 13 | 2.3 | 15.3 | 23 | 26.5% |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | 8.6 | 5.3 | 13.9 | 27 | 16.6% |
| Al Horford (GSW) | 8.4 | 2.7 | 11.1 | 22 | 16.5% |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | 7.5 | 1.9 | 9.4 | 18 | 17.4% |
- MIN pick: FanDuel Over with odds priced at -104 on Julius Randle points plus assists. The numbers push to Over because 26.3 sits above or below 23.5, and the spot is worth a tight double-check on minutes and usage.
- GSW pick: Caesars Under priced at -103 for De'Anthony Melton points plus assists. This clear angle leans Under because 15.3 and 17.5 are separated by 2.2; highlight it and recheck role, minutes, and matchup fit.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points + Assists Line | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o23.5 u23.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -128 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o11.5 u11.5 | Caesars Caesars | -113 -118 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o13.5 u13.5 | Caesars Caesars | -110 -121 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o14.5 u14.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -125 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o15.5 u15.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | o32.5 u32.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -114 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o12.5 u12.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | o16.5 u16.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +100 -132 |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | o20.5 u20.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -114 |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | o17.5 u17.5 | Caesars Caesars | -130 -103 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | o14.5 u14.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | -105 -125 |
| Al Horford (GSW) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -125 -106 |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | o17.5 u17.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -112 -118 |
MIN vs GSW NBA Player Rebounds Prop Picks
When the cross check is flat, props come down to who controls the steady boards, and rebounds per game plus the split between offensive rebounds and defensive rebounds points to Minnesota Timberwolves as the small lean.
The picks are built from each NBA player’s rebounds per game, minutes per game, usage percentage, and rebound percentage, then compared to the rebounds line to choose Over or Under, with a clear edge threshold of 0.5 keeping the selection focused.
| NBA Player | REB/G | Minutes | Usage % | REB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 7 | 33 | 26.4% | 11.6% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 11.3 | 31 | 12.6% | 20% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 6.3 | 26 | 22% | 13.4% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 4.4 | 31 | 16.8% | 7.8% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 4.3 | 32 | 18.2% | 7.5% |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 5 | 35 | 31.8% | 7.8% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 1.9 | 25 | 17.1% | 4.2% |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | 3.3 | 20 | 29% | 9.1% |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 5.2 | 28 | 19.5% | 10.1% |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | 3.1 | 23 | 26.5% | 7.4% |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | 5.5 | 27 | 16.6% | 11.2% |
| Will Richard (GSW) | 2.5 | 20 | 14.3% | 7.1% |
| Al Horford (GSW) | 5.1 | 22 | 16.5% | 12.6% |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | 3.7 | 18 | 17.4% | 11.1% |
- MIN pick: Caesars Over +110 . When a player averages 11.3 and the line is 9.5, the props often cash on the side that matches the gap, here Over.
- GSW pick: FanDuel Under +106 . The bet tilts this way because the stat gap is 0.8 rebounds, and the return looks solid at roughly 106 profit per $100 stake.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Rebound Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o6.5 u6.5 | Caesars Caesars | +109 -145 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o9.5 u9.5 | Caesars Caesars | +110 -145 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o5.5 u5.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -166 +124 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o4.5 u4.5 | Caesars Caesars | -170 +127 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | o7.5 u7.5 | Caesars Caesars | -143 +107 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +118 -158 |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | o5.5 u5.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -108 -122 |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | o7.5 u7.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +130 -174 |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -160 +120 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | o5.5 u5.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +130 -192 |
| Will Richard (GSW) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -112 -118 |
| Al Horford (GSW) | o5.5 u5.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -130 -102 |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -140 +106 |
Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors Player Points + Rebounds + Assists Prop Bets
For Points + rebounds + assists props, scoring gravity matters, but so do the misses that create rebound volume. A higher offensive rating tends to nudge points and assists up, while a lower defensive rating can keep the game tighter and shift PRA toward rebounds. The quick call is which side wins that trade between makes and misses. The Golden State Warriors field-goal percentage and the Minnesota Timberwolves field-goal percentage are worth a snappy test because made shots can carry assists while missed shots can fuel rebounds.
A higher win percentage often tracks cleaner execution, and cleaner execution tends to show up in assists and efficient scoring. The selection stays quick clean : PRA per game versus the line, edge threshold check, then the best return among qualifying NBA Players from each team.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | PRA/G | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | 21.1 | 7 | 5.2 | 33.3 | 33 | 26.4% |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 10.8 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 23.9 | 31 | 12.6% |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | 7.2 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 11.4 | 15 | 19.7% |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 13.9 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 22.5 | 26 | 22% |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | 12.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 21.1 | 31 | 16.8% |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 14.7 | 4.3 | 2.8 | 21.8 | 32 | 18.2% |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 29.4 | 5 | 3.7 | 38.1 | 35 | 31.8% |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | 11 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 15.4 | 25 | 17.1% |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | 12.7 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 18.7 | 20 | 29% |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | 12.6 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 21.6 | 28 | 19.5% |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | 13 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 18.4 | 23 | 26.5% |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | 8.6 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 19.4 | 27 | 16.6% |
| Will Richard (GSW) | 7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 10.9 | 20 | 14.3% |
| Al Horford (GSW) | 8.4 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 16.2 | 22 | 16.5% |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | 7.5 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 13.1 | 18 | 17.4% |
- MIN pick: The smart lane is to trust the season average and play FanDuel Over -102 on Jaden McDaniels Points + rebounds + assists. This one points hard because 21.8 PRA per game clears (or trails) 20.5 by 1.3.
- GSW pick: The sharp path is to ride the season average and play BetMGM Under -110 on Will Richard Points + rebounds + assists. This one leans firmly because 10.9 PRA per game clears (or trails) 13.5 by 2.6.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet (Points + Rebounds + Assists Line) | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle (MIN) | o30.5 u30.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -111 -115 |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | o23.5 u23.5 | sports-interaction sports-interaction | -110 -118 |
| Bones Hyland (MIN) | o11.5 u11.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -105 -125 |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | o19.5 u19.5 | sports-interaction sports-interaction | -110 -118 |
| Donte DiVincenzo (MIN) | o18.5 u18.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -108 -120 |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | o20.5 u20.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -102 -130 |
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | o37.5 u37.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -113 -113 |
| Ayo Dosunmu (MIN) | o14.5 u14.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -122 -104 |
| Kristaps Porziņģis (GSW) | o19.5 u19.5 | sports-interaction sports-interaction | -105 -125 |
| Brandin Podziemski (GSW) | o27.5 u27.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -125 |
| De'Anthony Melton (GSW) | o21.5 u21.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -113 -113 |
| Draymond Green (GSW) | o19.5 u19.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | -111 -120 |
| Will Richard (GSW) | o13.5 u13.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -120 -110 |
| Al Horford (GSW) | o20.5 u20.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -125 |
| Gui Santos (GSW) | o23.5 u23.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win Timberwolves match up Warriors on Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 2:00 AM from Chase Center, on Amazon Prime Video. Timberwolves has played at roughly a 60% win clip over its last ten, and Warriors is around 30%. The pace projects as a faster tempo, which helps influence where props can land.
For Points + Assists, the two players to track are Julius Randle for Timberwolves and De'Anthony Melton for Warriors. I care most about stable touches, not a random hot stretch.
In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Jaden McDaniels on the Timberwolves side and Will Richard for Warriors. This is why props are a rotation story first, and a matchup story second. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.
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