Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors Player Props - March 10th 2026

National Basketball Association

Bulls

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10/03/2026
10:00pm

Warriors

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In Bulls at Warriors, the prop board tends to reward the players who live in stable minutes and repeatable touches. Bulls and Warriors both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent. The schedule angle matters too, with Warriors on the second night of a back-to-back.

These markets usually tell you a lot about how the game will be played. Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Rob Dillingham for Bulls and Pat Spencer for Warriors. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Rob Dillingham on the Bulls side and De'Anthony Melton for Warriors.

Here, we focus on what the numbers say about each player’s role, then connect that to the prop markets to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Bulls vs Warriors matchup preview.

Pace and efficiency for CHI at GSW player props

For props, it helps to start with pace and efficiency because those inputs shape opportunity. The notes below sort each stat into five outcomes so you can scan the edge quickly. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.

Rest, travel, and back-to-backs can change how stable a rotation looks from start to finish. The notes below sort every workload stat into five outcomes and show which side benefits.

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NBA injury report for CHI at GSW: out, questionable, and impact

Below is the most recent availability snapshot for Bulls and Warriors. If key minutes are in question, the biggest swing often is not efficiency, it is who gets a steadier role and who sees the ball a few more times. For a broader futures snapshot, see NBA Finals lines.

• Bulls has a bigger minutes hit listed. If it does not change late, the rotation often tightens and top-end minutes look safer.
• Warriors is listed with a notable minutes drain. When that sticks, touches can shift toward the top creators.

Bulls at Warriors Player Assists Props Picks

The Starting point for Player Assists Props is whether the teams create a reliable creation picture environment. Chicago Bulls is 68.5% in assist rate with 28.7 assists per game and 14.4 turnovers per game. Golden State Warriors is 71.1%, 29.2, 14.8.

A controlled assist environment is the base of Player Assists Props: assist rate keeps the ball moving, assists per game shows the volume, and turnovers per game shows how often plays die early. The balance is not identical, and Golden State Warriors comes off stronger.

• Chicago Bulls pick: fanduel +124 u3.5. Rob Dillingham has a stable assist profile at 3 with a line of 3.5. If the job holds, the number can lift, but the setup still matters.
• Golden State Warriors pick: fanduel +124 u7.5. Brandin Podziemski has a stable assist profile at 3.7 with a line of 7.5. If the job holds, the number can lift, but the setup still matters.

Bulls vs Warriors NBA Player 3PM Props

Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and Golden State Warriors is at 33.9 while Chicago Bulls is at 35. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.3 for Golden State Warriors and 0.2 for Chicago Bulls.

• CHI pick: Fanduel Over -225 . Guerschon Yabusele (CHI) checks in at a proxy of 1.87 made threes with a line of 0.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).

• GSW pick: Fanduel Over +130 . Brandin Podziemski (GSW) lines up with a proxy of 2.01 made threes against a line of 1.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).

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Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors Player Points Prop Picks and Best Lines

Past 10 contests tell a clean story: Chicago Bulls is 2-8 (20%), producing 106.9 a night and surrendering 115.9. Golden State Warriors is 3-7 (30%), with 112.3 for and 116.8 allowed. That blend is where points props usually start to pop .

The quick way to read points props is combining who is scoring lately with who is leaking points lately. Golden State Warriors grades out better by that blend, and it is a practical lens before choosing a side.

• Chicago Bulls cleanest lean in this game : FanDuel Over +235. Jalen Smith is scoring 10.1 per game , while the line is 8.5. On a straight numbers skim it reads "Over," and the odds keep a bit of room , so confirm rotation and any late role change.
• Golden State Warriors play for this spot : FanDuel Under +124. Gary Payton II checks in at 6.1 points on the year versus a 11.5 line. The first data pass leans "Under," and the price shows it is not completely baked in, so this is a good spot to double-check usage and shot volume.

Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors Points + Assists Prop Picks

Across the recent five games, Chicago Bulls sit at 2-3, while Golden State Warriors land at 1-4.

Recent winning form plays for points plus assists, and the cleaner read here favors Chicago Bulls when roles stay stable.

• CHI look: Caesars Under priced at +103 for Rob Dillingham points plus assists. This simple angle leans Under because 9.5 and 10.5 are separated by 1; highlight it and verify role, minutes, and matchup fit.
• GSW play: FanDuel Under priced at +100 for Pat Spencer points plus assists. With 9.7 points plus assists against a 12.5 line, the straight angle says Under; tag it and double-check rotation stability before locking anything in.

Bulls at Warriors Rebounds Prop Picks

This looks like a more controlled glass spot, with Chicago Bulls offensive rebounds (0.2) and Golden State Warriors defensive rebounds (0.7) not creating a clear mismatch, so the lean tends to follow rebounds per game toward Chicago Bulls.

Each team’s best rebounds prop leans on rebounds per game versus the posted rebounds line, supported by minutes per game plus rebound percentage, and the final pick is the option that reads best when the difference clears 0.5.

• CHI pick: FanDuel Under -106 . Josh Giddey has a steady rebounds baseline at 8.3, and the line at 10.5 leaves a useful cushion.
• GSW pick: FanDuel Under +138 . The clear read is Draymond Green at 5.5 versus 6.5, which builds value when minutes and role stay steady.

Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors Player Points + Rebounds + Assists Prop Bets

For Points + rebounds + assists props, scoring gravity matters, but so do the misses that create rebound volume. A higher offensive rating tends to nudge points and assists up, while a lower defensive rating can keep the game tighter and shift PRA toward rebounds. The fast case is which side wins that trade between makes and misses. The Golden State Warriors field-goal percentage and the Chicago Bulls field-goal percentage are worth a fast scan because made shots can carry assists while missed shots can fuel rebounds.

Season win percentage gives a fast read on which team has been more reliable in its results, which can matter when PRA props depend on game script. The fast check is PRA average against the line, and the final picks come from the best edge and odds on each team, using only complete prop entries.

• CHI pick: Start with the quick test and it lands on Caesars Under +101 for Rob Dillingham PRA. When the number sits at 13.5 and the average is 12.5, that buffer can flip the edge quickly.
• GSW pick: Start with the quick scan and it lands on FanDuel Under +100 for De'Anthony Melton PRA. When the line sits at 19.5 and the average is 18.4, that margin can shift the value quickly.

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It’s Bulls at Warriors on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, and this one has the feel of a faster tempo basketball. Bulls has played at roughly a 20% win clip over its last ten, and Warriors is around 30%.

For Points + Assists, the two players to track are Rob Dillingham for Bulls and Pat Spencer for Warriors. If either team shortens the rotation, this is often the first place it shows.

In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Rob Dillingham on the Bulls side and De'Anthony Melton for Warriors. This is why props are a rotation story first, and a matchup story second. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.