New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz Player Props - February 28th 2026

9:30pm

In Pelicans at Jazz, the prop board tends to reward the players who live in stable minutes and repeatable touches. Pelicans and Jazz both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent.
Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Jeremiah Fears for Pelicans and Ace Bailey for Jazz. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Jeremiah Fears on the Pelicans side and John Konchar for Jazz. The key is workload you can trust, not a random hot stretch.
The approach in this article is straightforward: highlight the player stats that drive each market, then combine them with the props to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Pelicans vs Jazz matchup preview.
Pace and efficiency for NOP at UTA player props
Tempo and execution set the floor for props, since more possessions create more chances to rack up stats. The notes below bucket each metric into five outcomes so the edge is easy to spot. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.
| Metric | Away Team Pelicans | Home Team Jazz | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace (Poss/Game) | 103.0 | 104.6 | Jazz strong advantage: in this game, they play at a clearly faster tempo, which suggests anticipate possession volume to climb and lift counting stats. |
| PPG (Season) | 115.0 | 117.8 | Jazz slight advantage: at a glance, their scoring baseline runs a bit higher, so points outcomes to have a little more cushion. |
| Offensive Rating | 111.0 | 111.2 | Even: on this slate, offensive efficiency sits in the same band, making it fair to anticipate possessions to produce similar shot quality. |
| Defensive Rating | 115.3 | 119.1 | Pelicans strong advantage: in this spot, they grade as the tougher defense, so expect scoring efficiency to be harder to come by. |
After you check pace and efficiency, workload is the next filter because fatigue can show up late. The notes below label each workload metric into five outcomes and call out the team with the edge.
| Workload metric | Away Team Pelicans | Home Team Jazz | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games in last 7 days | 2 | 2 | Even: tonight, game volume is the same in the last seven days, which suggests project energy and rotations to sit in a similar spot. |
| Time zone changes (last 7) | 1 | 1 | Even: by the numbers, time-zone change totals are similar over the last week, so expect routines to be steady for both teams. |
| Miles travelled (last 7) | 1,433 | 2,401 | Pelicans strong advantage: in this game, they have travelled materially fewer miles in the last week, making it fair to project travel fatigue to be meaningfully lower. |
| Days since last game | 2 | 2 | Even: in this profile, rest days since the last game match, which usually leads to recovery to be similar entering tip-off. |
| Back-to-back | No | No | Even: in this spot, neither team is on a back-to-back, which suggests expect rest to be close to normal for both teams. |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | 0 | 0 | Even: by the numbers, there is no clear rest-advantage separation, which points to expect rest edge to be minimal. |
| Previous opponent strength | 30.5 | 30 | Jazz strong advantage: on season baselines, their previous opponent graded noticeably lighter, setting up project carryover wear to be meaningfully lower. |
| Travel miles since last game | 0 | 0 | Even: on this slate, travel distance since the last game is similar, so project travel legs to look comparable. |
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Deposit $10 Get $50 (400%) NBA injury report for NOP at UTA: out, questionable, and impact
This table tracks the availability outlook for Pelicans and Jazz. When the report strips out rotation pieces, minutes concentrate and usage funnels toward the next-closest creators. For a broader futures snapshot, see NBA Finals odds.
| Side | Out | Questionable | Rotation loss (MPG • PPG) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pelicans | 0 1 out | 3 1 questionable | 90.6 MPG • 58.6 PPG |
| Jazz | 5 1 out | 0 1 questionable | 129.6 MPG • 79.0 PPG |
- Pelicans has a sizable minutes gap right now. If it stays in place, roles tend to get clearer at the top.
- Jazz shows a bigger minutes hit. If it stays put, the rotation often shortens and main options see more stable run.
Pelicans at Jazz Player Assists Props Picks
The First check for Player Assists Props is whether the teams create a usable setup shape environment. New Orleans Pelicans is 59.9% in assist rate with 25.2 assists per game and 13.5 turnovers per game. Utah Jazz is 70.6%, 29.8, 15.3.
A orderly assist environment is the core of Player Assists Props: assist rate keeps the ball moving, assists per game shows the volume, and turnovers per game shows how often plays die early. The balance is not identical, and Utah Jazz comes off stronger.
| NBA Player | AST/G | Minutes | Usage % | Assist % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | 0.3 | 17 | 11% | 2.5% |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | 3.2 | 26 | 24.9% | 18.5% |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | 3.1 | 24 | 25.2% | 18.1% |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | 1.5 | 21 | 14.5% | 9.5% |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | 3.5 | 30 | 27.3% | 19.7% |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | 2.9 | 29 | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | 1.2 | 19 | 12.8% | 8.5% |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | 4 | 26 | 21.8% | 22.5% |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | 2.6 | 31 | 21.5% | 12.5% |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | 7.3 | 26 | 19.5% | 39.6% |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | 2.1 | 22 | 19% | 13.3% |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | 1.9 | 17 | 16.7% | 15.2% |
| John Konchar (UTA) | 1.9 | 22 | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | 1.7 | 27 | 19.7% | 9.3% |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | 1.5 | 22 | 22.9% | 10.4% |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | 1 | 20 | 13% | 6.4% |
- New Orleans Pelicans pick: fanduel +120 u4.5. Derik Queen has a reliable assist profile at 4 with a line of 4.5. If the lane holds, the number can bump, but the backdrop still matters.
- Utah Jazz pick: betmgm -120 u1.5. Cody Williams has a reliable assist profile at 1 with a line of 1.5. If the lane holds, the number can bump, but the backdrop still matters.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Assist Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | o0.5 u0.5 | betmgm betmgm | -190 +140 |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | o5.5 u5.5 | fanduel fanduel | +142 -192 |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | o2.5 u2.5 | fanduel fanduel | -146 +110 |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | o1.5 u1.5 | betmgm betmgm | -165 +125 |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | -174 +130 |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | o7.5 u7.5 | caesars caesars | +475 -950 |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | o0.5 u0.5 | draftkings draftkings | -196 +148 |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | o4.5 u4.5 | fanduel fanduel | -160 +120 |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | -154 +116 |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | o10.5 u10.5 | fanduel fanduel | +140 -188 |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | o2.5 u2.5 | betmgm betmgm | -105 -130 |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | o1.5 u1.5 | draftkings draftkings | +104 -137 |
| John Konchar (UTA) | o1.5 u1.5 | betmgm betmgm | -160 +120 |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | o1.5 u1.5 | betmgm betmgm | -155 +115 |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | o1.5 u1.5 | draftkings draftkings | -113 -117 |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | o1.5 u1.5 | betmgm betmgm | -110 -120 |
Pelicans vs Jazz NBA Player 3PM Props
Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and Utah Jazz is at 32.7 while New Orleans Pelicans is at 38.5. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.2 for Utah Jazz and 0.2 for New Orleans Pelicans.
| NBA Player | Minutes | Usage% | 3P% | 3PM line | Proxy 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | 26 | 24.9 | 31.5 | 0.5 | 2.04 |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | 24 | 25.2 | 34 | 2.5 | 2.06 |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | 21 | 14.5 | 42 | 2.5 | 1.28 |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | 29 | 15.2 | 30.1 | 2.5 | 1.33 |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | 26 | 21.8 | 27.1 | 0.5 | 1.54 |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | 31 | 21.5 | 35.5 | 4.5 | 2.37 |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | 26 | 19.5 | 27.3 | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | 22 | 19 | 33.3 | 0.5 | 1.39 |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | 17 | 16.7 | 35.9 | 1.5 | 1.02 |
| John Konchar (UTA) | 22 | 10.1 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 0.23 |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | 27 | 19.7 | 33.3 | 2.5 | 1.77 |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | 22 | 22.9 | 34.6 | 1.5 | 1.74 |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | 20 | 13 | 21.9 | 0.5 | 0.57 |
- NOP pick: Betmgm Over +190 . Derik Queen (NOP) checks in at a proxy of 1.54 made threes with a line of 0.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
- UTA pick: Fanduel Over +194 . Kyle Filipowski (UTA) lines up with a proxy of 1.39 made threes against a line of 0.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / 3PM Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -130 -102 |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +130 -174 |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +118 -158 |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -140 +106 |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | o0.5 u0.5 | Betmgm Betmgm | +190 -250 |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | o4.5 u4.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +178 -245 |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | o0.5 u0.5 | Betmgm Betmgm | -105 -130 |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +194 -270 |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | o1.5 u1.5 | Betmgm Betmgm | +140 -190 |
| John Konchar (UTA) | o0.5 u0.5 | Betmgm Betmgm | -145 +110 |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -158 +118 |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +174 -240 |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | o0.5 u0.5 | Betmgm Betmgm | +125 -165 |
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150,000 Bits + FREE 4 Bucks New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Player Points Prop Picks and Best Lines
Lead with the last 10: New Orleans Pelicans at 5-5 (50%) is posting 118.2 and allowing 117.6. Utah Jazz at 3-7 (30%) is scoring 115.9 and allowing 118.6. That scoring pulse usually shows up in NBA player points props fast.
The quick way to read points props is combining who is scoring lately with who is leaking points lately. New Orleans Pelicans grades out better by that blend, and it is a practical lens before choosing a side.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | Minutes | Usage % | TS % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | 4.7 | 17 | 11% | 70.6% |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | 13.1 | 26 | 24.9% | 50.8% |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | 13.9 | 24 | 25.2% | 53.8% |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | 8.3 | 21 | 14.5% | 60.9% |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | 21.5 | 30 | 27.3% | 63% |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | 9.1 | 29 | 15.2% | 49.6% |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | 5.6 | 19 | 12.8% | 55.2% |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | 12 | 26 | 21.8% | 55.3% |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | 17.4 | 31 | 21.5% | 58.6% |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | 11 | 26 | 19.5% | 57% |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | 10 | 22 | 19% | 57.9% |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | 6.7 | 17 | 16.7% | 55.7% |
| John Konchar (UTA) | 3.5 | 22 | 10.1% | 39.6% |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | 11.9 | 27 | 19.7% | 52.4% |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | 12.8 | 22 | 22.9% | 58.1% |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | 5.8 | 20 | 13% | 50.9% |
- New Orleans Pelicans best look in this game : FanDuel Under +104. Herbert Jones is producing 9.1 a night , while the line is 13.5. On a fast stat scan it reads "Under," and the odds keep a bit of room , so confirm rotation and any late role change.
- Utah Jazz pick for this spot : FanDuel Under +124. Ace Bailey checks in at 11.9 points a game versus a 14.5 line. The early data pass leans "Under," and the price shows it is not totally baked in, so this is a good spot to double-check usage and shot volume.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points Line | Best Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +102 -136 |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | o12.5 u12.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -166 +124 |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -154 +116 |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | o9.5 u9.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -114 |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | o20.5 u20.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -110 -120 |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -138 +104 |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | o8.5 u8.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +106 -140 |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | o14.5 u14.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +100 -132 |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | o27.5 u27.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -136 +102 |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -130 -102 |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | o6.5 u6.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +102 -136 |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | o6.5 u6.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +108 -144 |
| John Konchar (UTA) | o5.5 u5.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +108 -144 |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | o14.5 u14.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -166 +124 |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | o12.5 u12.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -122 |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | o5.5 u5.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -128 |
New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz Player Points + Assists Prop Picks
New Orleans Pelicans have gone 3-2 in their last five, and Utah Jazz have gone 1-4 over the same snapshot.
The last five-game results counts for points plus assists, and the current lean nudges toward New Orleans Pelicans in this matchup.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | AST/G | PTS+AST | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | 4.7 | 0.3 | 5 | 17 | 11% |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | 13.1 | 3.2 | 16.3 | 26 | 24.9% |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | 13.9 | 3.1 | 17 | 24 | 25.2% |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | 8.3 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 21 | 14.5% |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | 21.5 | 3.5 | 25 | 30 | 27.3% |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | 9.1 | 2.9 | 12 | 29 | 15.2% |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | 5.6 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 19 | 12.8% |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | 12 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 21.8% |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | 17.4 | 2.6 | 20 | 31 | 21.5% |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | 11 | 7.3 | 18.3 | 26 | 19.5% |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | 10 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 22 | 19% |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | 6.7 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 17 | 16.7% |
| John Konchar (UTA) | 3.5 | 1.9 | 5.4 | 22 | 10.1% |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | 11.9 | 1.7 | 13.6 | 27 | 19.7% |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | 12.8 | 1.5 | 14.3 | 22 | 22.9% |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | 5.8 | 1 | 6.8 | 20 | 13% |
- NOP play: Caesars Under priced at -106 for Jeremiah Fears points plus assists. This clear angle leans Under because 16.3 and 18.5 are separated by 2.2; flag it and verify role, minutes, and matchup fit.
- UTA pick: Caesars Under with odds listed at -106 on Ace Bailey points plus assists. The numbers point to Under because 13.6 sits above or below 17.5, and the spot is worth a quick verify on minutes and usage.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points + Assists Line | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | o5.5 u5.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -118 -115 |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | o18.5 u18.5 | Caesars Caesars | -127 -106 |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | o17.5 u17.5 | Caesars Caesars | +100 -134 |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | o12.5 u12.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -120 -110 |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | o29.5 u29.5 | Caesars Caesars | -110 -121 |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | o6.5 u6.5 | Caesars Caesars | -108 -124 |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | o13.5 u13.5 | Caesars Caesars | -121 -110 |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | o23.5 u23.5 | Caesars Caesars | -127 -107 |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | o20.5 u20.5 | Caesars Caesars | -112 -118 |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | o15.5 u15.5 | Caesars Caesars | -110 -121 |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | o8.5 u8.5 | Caesars Caesars | +103 -137 |
| John Konchar (UTA) | o7.5 u7.5 | Caesars Caesars | +105 -139 |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | o17.5 u17.5 | Caesars Caesars | -127 -106 |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | o18.5 u18.5 | Caesars Caesars | -115 -115 |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | o9.5 u9.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -115 -115 |
Pelicans at Jazz Rebounds Prop Picks
This looks like a more controlled glass spot, with New Orleans Pelicans offensive rebounds (0.3) and Utah Jazz defensive rebounds (0.7) not creating a clear mismatch, so the lean often follow rebounds per game toward Utah Jazz.
The picks are built from each NBA player’s rebounds per game, minutes per game, usage percentage, and rebound percentage, then compared to the rebounds line to choose Over or Under, with a clean edge threshold of 0.5 keeping the selection disciplined.
| NBA Player | REB/G | Minutes | Usage % | REB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | 7.8 | 17 | 11% | 24.6% |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | 3.8 | 26 | 24.9% | 8% |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | 2.1 | 24 | 25.2% | 4.6% |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | 2.1 | 21 | 14.5% | 5.4% |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | 5.8 | 30 | 27.3% | 10.7% |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | 3.6 | 29 | 15.2% | 6.6% |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | 5.6 | 19 | 12.8% | 15.7% |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | 7.3 | 26 | 21.8% | 15.4% |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | 5.8 | 31 | 21.5% | 10.2% |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | 2.5 | 26 | 19.5% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | 6.6 | 22 | 19% | 16.1% |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | 5.8 | 17 | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| John Konchar (UTA) | 4 | 22 | 10.1% | 10% |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | 4.1 | 27 | 19.7% | 8.3% |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | 3 | 22 | 22.9% | 7.3% |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | 2.4 | 20 | 13% | 6.5% |
- NOP pick: FanDuel Under +106 . Jeremiah Fears sits at 3.8 rebounds per game against a line of 8.5, so the edge favors Under by 4.7 rebounds.
- UTA pick: FanDuel Under +102 . The simple read is Brice Sensabaugh at 3 versus 3.5, which opens value when minutes and role stay steady.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Rebound Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | o8.5 u8.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +104 -138 |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | o8.5 u8.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -140 +106 |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | o2.5 u2.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | +130 -175 |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | o2.5 u2.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -135 +100 |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -172 +126 |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | o7.5 u7.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +146 -198 |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | o5.5 u5.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -120 -110 |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | o10.5 u10.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -146 +110 |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | o6.5 u6.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -146 +110 |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -154 +116 |
| John Konchar (UTA) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -125 |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | o7.5 u7.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -114 |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -136 +102 |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +118 -158 |
Pelicans at Jazz Points + Rebounds + Assists Prop Lines
Points + rebounds + assists props start with the team environment, and the cleanest way in is offensive rating versus defensive rating. The sharp angle is that a strong offensive rating can lift points and assists, while a tougher defensive rating can push rebounds through missed shots. The Utah Jazz field-goal percentage and the New Orleans Pelicans field-goal percentage are worth a snappy scan because made shots can drive assists while missed shots can fuel rebounds.
Season results help frame reliability, so the Utah Jazz win percentage and the New Orleans Pelicans win percentage act like a quick stability read. From there, the model takes a sharp read : compare each NBA Player PRA per game to the prop line and rank by edge plus payout, selecting one best pick per side.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | PRA/G | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | 4.7 | 7.8 | 0.3 | 12.8 | 17 | 11% |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | 13.1 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 20.1 | 26 | 24.9% |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | 13.9 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 19.1 | 24 | 25.2% |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | 8.3 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 11.9 | 21 | 14.5% |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | 21.5 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 30.8 | 30 | 27.3% |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | 9.1 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 15.6 | 29 | 15.2% |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 1.2 | 12.4 | 19 | 12.8% |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | 12 | 7.3 | 4 | 23.3 | 26 | 21.8% |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | 17.4 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 25.8 | 31 | 21.5% |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | 11 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 20.8 | 26 | 19.5% |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | 10 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 18.7 | 22 | 19% |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 14.4 | 17 | 16.7% |
| John Konchar (UTA) | 3.5 | 4 | 1.9 | 9.4 | 22 | 10.1% |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | 11.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 17.7 | 27 | 19.7% |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | 12.8 | 3 | 1.5 | 17.3 | 22 | 22.9% |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | 5.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 9.2 | 20 | 13% |
- NOP pick: Start with the basic test and it lands on FanDuel Under -108 for Jeremiah Fears PRA. When the number sits at 22.5 and the average is 20.1, that cushion can swing the price quickly.
- UTA pick: The clean path is to ride the season average and play Caesars Under -108 on John Konchar Points + rebounds + assists. This one tilts clearly because 9.4 PRA per game clears (or trails) 11.5 by 2.1.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet (Points + Rebounds + Assists Line) | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Jordan (NOP) | o12.5 u12.5 | Caesars Caesars | -113 -118 |
| Jeremiah Fears (NOP) | o22.5 u22.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -108 |
| Jordan Poole (NOP) | o18.5 u18.5 | Caesars Caesars | -137 +105 |
| Bryce McGowens (NOP) | o15.5 u15.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -118 -115 |
| Zion Williamson (NOP) | o35.5 u35.5 | Caesars Caesars | -112 -120 |
| Herbert Jones (NOP) | o17.5 u17.5 | Caesars Caesars | -112 -120 |
| Yves Missi (NOP) | o11.5 u11.5 | Caesars Caesars | -120 -112 |
| Derik Queen (NOP) | o19.5 u19.5 | Caesars Caesars | -122 -108 |
| Saddiq Bey (NOP) | o29.5 u29.5 | Caesars Caesars | -120 -112 |
| Isaiah Collier (UTA) | o23.5 u23.5 | Caesars Caesars | -111 -121 |
| Kyle Filipowski (UTA) | o23.5 u23.5 | Caesars Caesars | -120 -112 |
| Kevin Love (UTA) | o13.5 u13.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -115 -115 |
| John Konchar (UTA) | o11.5 u11.5 | Caesars Caesars | -122 -108 |
| Ace Bailey (UTA) | o23.5 u23.5 | Caesars Caesars | -112 -120 |
| Brice Sensabaugh (UTA) | o22.5 u22.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -110 -120 |
| Cody Williams (UTA) | o13.5 u13.5 | Caesars Caesars | -102 -132 |
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
100% purchase match for up to 100 in Onyx Cash Free Picks Pelicans come in this matchup with Jazz and the prop read starts with the game script. Think a faster tempo, plus which stars are most likely to carry the action. Pelicans has played at roughly a 50% win clip over its last ten, and Jazz is around 30%.
If you want a clean place to start, begin here. For Points + Assists, the two players to track are Jeremiah Fears for Pelicans and Ace Bailey for Jazz. Those are the names that tend to stay involved no matter the score.
In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Jeremiah Fears on the Pelicans side and John Konchar for Jazz. The swing factor is who stays on the floor down the stretch, because that is where props get decided. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.