Memphis Grizzlies @ Dallas Mavericks Player Props - February 27th 2026

Written By Nick Crain | Last Updated at February 27, 2026
National Basketball Association
Grizzlies
Away
27/02/2026
8:30pm
Mavericks
Home

Tonight’s Grizzlies at Mavericks player props start with one simple question: who is actually going to be in the middle of the action when it matters. Grizzlies and Mavericks both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent. The schedule angle matters too, with Mavericks on the second night of a back-to-back.

If you want a straightforward place to start, begin here. Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Cam Spencer for Grizzlies and Brandon Williams for Mavericks. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with GG Jackson on the Grizzlies side and AJ Johnson for Mavericks.

The approach in this article is straightforward: highlight the player stats that drive each market, then combine them with the props to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Grizzlies vs Mavericks matchup preview.



Pace and efficiency for MEM at DAL player props

Possessions and shot quality set the floor for props, since more possessions create more chances to rack up stats. The notes below bucket each metric into five outcomes so the edge is easy to spot. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.

Metric Away Team
Grizzlies
Home Team
Mavericks
Notes
Pace (Poss/Game) 104.1 104.2 Even: in this game, pace profiles are close, which suggests project possession volume to be comparable.
PPG (Season) 114.7 114.1 Even: on this slate, season scoring baselines are similar, which suggests anticipate points props to have a similar runway.
Offensive Rating 109.7 108.5 Grizzlies slight advantage: at a glance, they are a slightly more efficient offense, which usually leads to possessions to end in cleaner looks more often.
Defensive Rating 115.8 113.9 Mavericks slight advantage: in this spot, they grade as a slightly tougher defense, which suggests anticipate scoring props to be a bit more sensitive to efficiency.

After you check pace and efficiency, workload is the next filter because fatigue can show up late. The notes below label each workload metric into five outcomes and call out the team with the edge.

Workload metric Away Team
Grizzlies
Home Team
Mavericks
Notes
Games in last 7 days 0 0 Even: tonight, game volume is the same in the last seven days, so expect energy and rotations to sit in a similar spot.
Time zone changes (last 7) 0 0 Even: tonight, time-zone change totals are similar over the last week, making it fair to anticipate routines to be steady for both teams.
Miles travelled (last 7) 0 0 Even: in this game, travel mileage is close over the last seven days, making it fair to project travel wear to be similar on both sides.
Days since last game 2 1 Grizzlies slight advantage: in this game, they have one more day since the last game, which should leave expect recovery to be a bit better, especially late.
Back-to-back No Yes Grizzlies strong advantage: in the season data, the home team is on a back-to-back, so fatigue risk to lean toward the hosts.
Rest advantage vs opponent 1 -1 Grizzlies strong advantage: in this profile, they hold a clear rest advantage, so energy to lean their way, especially late.
Previous opponent strength 52.5 23 Mavericks strong advantage: on this slate, their previous opponent graded noticeably lighter, which suggests anticipate carryover wear to be meaningfully lower.
Travel miles since last game 420 0 Mavericks slight advantage: on season baselines, they travelled less between the last game and this one, which points to project travel fatigue to be a bit lower.
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NBA injury report for MEM at DAL: out, questionable, and impact

This is the most recent availability snapshot for Grizzlies and Mavericks. If key minutes are in question, the biggest swing often is not efficiency, it is who gets a steadier role and who sees the ball a few more times. For a broader futures snapshot, see NBA Finals odds guide.

Squad Ruled out Questionable Minutes and points missing (MPG • PPG)
Grizzlies 6
1 out
0
1 questionable
151.1 MPG • 79.4 PPG
Mavericks 2
1 out
0
1 questionable
16.4 MPG • 4.3 PPG


Best Player Assists Props for Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks

Lock in on the team rhythm behind Player Assists Props by using the same three stats every time: assist rate, assists per game, turnovers per game. Memphis Grizzlies: 67.3% assist rate, 27.8 assists per game, 14.6 turnovers per game; Dallas Mavericks: 60.4%, 25.3, 14.

The team story is direct: higher assist rate plus higher assists per game usually nudges more Player Assists Props value, as long as turnovers per game does not wipe out possessions. Here it tilts toward Memphis Grizzlies. When minutes holds and the role is stable, that output is what the prop market has to price correctly.

NBA Player AST/G Minutes Usage % Assist %
GG Jackson (MEM) 1.5 21 23.6% 10.7%
Cam Spencer (MEM) 5.6 24 17.2% 33.1%
Jaylen Wells (MEM) 1.6 26 19.4% 8.8%
Khris Middleton (DAL) 2.2 21 22% 15%
Klay Thompson (DAL) 1.4 22 22.8% 9.5%
Daniel Gafford (DAL) 1.1 22 15.8% 7%
Caleb Martin (DAL) 1.4 15 12.6% 12.4%
Naji Marshall (DAL) 3.3 30 20.6% 16.4%
Brandon Williams (DAL) 3.9 22 25.2% 26.3%
Tyus Jones (DAL) 3.8 17 12.6% 29.4%
AJ Johnson (DAL) 1.1 10 20.6% 14.1%
Max Christie (DAL) 2 29 16.5% 9.3%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Assist Line Best Bookmaker Odds Odds
GG Jackson (MEM) o1.5
u1.5
fanduel
fanduel
+122
-162
Cam Spencer (MEM) o4.5
u4.5
fanduel
fanduel
+128
-172
Jaylen Wells (MEM) o1.5
u1.5
fanatics
fanatics
-125
-105
Khris Middleton (DAL) o3.5
u3.5
fanduel
fanduel
+162
-220
Klay Thompson (DAL) o2.5
u2.5
fanatics
fanatics
+190
-333
Daniel Gafford (DAL) o0.5
u0.5
fanatics
fanatics
-192
+130
Caleb Martin (DAL) o1.5
u1.5
betmgm
betmgm
-155
+115
Naji Marshall (DAL) o3.5
u3.5
fanduel
fanduel
+116
-154
Brandon Williams (DAL) o2.5
u2.5
fanduel
fanduel
-158
+118
Tyus Jones (DAL) o2.5
u2.5
fanduel
fanduel
+108
-144
AJ Johnson (DAL) o1.5
u1.5
fanatics
fanatics
-333
+190
Max Christie (DAL) o1.5
u1.5
fanduel
fanduel
-186
+138


Grizzlies vs Mavericks NBA Player 3PM Props

Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and Dallas Mavericks is at 35.2 while Memphis Grizzlies is at 38.9. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.2 for Dallas Mavericks and 0.2 for Memphis Grizzlies.

NBA Player Minutes Usage% 3P% 3PM line Proxy 3PM
GG Jackson (MEM) 21 23.6 33.2 0.5 1.65
Cam Spencer (MEM) 24 17.2 44.9 3.5 1.85
Jaylen Wells (MEM) 26 19.4 35.3 1.5 1.78
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) 24 18.3 34.2 0.5 1.5
Khris Middleton (DAL) 21 22 39.1 0.5 1.81
Klay Thompson (DAL) 22 22.8 38.3 2.5 1.92
Caleb Martin (DAL) 15 12.6 35.1 0.5 0.66
P.J. Washington (DAL) 31 20.2 32.5 1.5 2.04
Naji Marshall (DAL) 30 20.6 29.1 0.5 1.8
Brandon Williams (DAL) 22 25.2 23.2 1.5 1.29
Tyus Jones (DAL) 17 12.6 21.1 0.5 0.45
AJ Johnson (DAL) 10 20.6 15.6 1.5 0.32
Max Christie (DAL) 29 16.5 40.4 0.5 1.93
NBA Player Prop Bet / 3PM Line Best Bookmaker Odds Odds
GG Jackson (MEM) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-152
+116
Cam Spencer (MEM) o3.5
u3.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-205
+152
Jaylen Wells (MEM) o1.5
u1.5
Caesars
Caesars
+182
-250
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-112
-118
Khris Middleton (DAL) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-198
+146
Klay Thompson (DAL) o2.5
u2.5
Draftkings
Draftkings
-153
+116
Caleb Martin (DAL) o0.5
u0.5
Betmgm
Betmgm
-135
+100
P.J. Washington (DAL) o1.5
u1.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
+142
-186
Naji Marshall (DAL) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-230
+168
Brandon Williams (DAL) o1.5
u1.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
+154
-210
Tyus Jones (DAL) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-260
+188
AJ Johnson (DAL) o1.5
u1.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
+178
-245
Max Christie (DAL) o0.5
u0.5
Fanduel
Fanduel
-166
+124


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Grizzlies at Mavericks NBA Player Points Prop Picks

Previous 10 contests tell a clean story: Memphis Grizzlies is 3-7 (30%), scoring 119.4 a night and leaking 125.2. Dallas Mavericks is 2-8 (20%), with 115.9 for and 123.4 allowed. That mix is where points props usually get interesting .

Think of the last 10 as the temperature for scoring. Memphis Grizzlies is trending like the steadier scoring side on that signal, and it is directly useful for points props.

NBA Player PTS/G Minutes Usage % TS %
GG Jackson (MEM) 12.5 21 23.6% 59.1%
Cam Spencer (MEM) 11.1 24 17.2% 64.9%
Jaylen Wells (MEM) 12.5 26 19.4% 55.9%
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) 10.6 24 18.3% 56.2%
Khris Middleton (DAL) 10 21 22% 53.6%
Klay Thompson (DAL) 11.7 22 22.8% 54.1%
Daniel Gafford (DAL) 9.5 22 15.8% 67.7%
Caleb Martin (DAL) 3.9 15 12.6% 52.6%
P.J. Washington (DAL) 14.2 31 20.2% 53.7%
Naji Marshall (DAL) 15.2 30 20.6% 59.2%
Brandon Williams (DAL) 13 22 25.2% 57.2%
Tyus Jones (DAL) 3.9 17 12.6% 44.4%
AJ Johnson (DAL) 3.9 10 20.6% 42.7%
Max Christie (DAL) 12.3 29 16.5% 60.1%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Points Line Best Bookmaker Odds
GG Jackson (MEM) o8.5
u8.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+102
-136
Cam Spencer (MEM) o19.5
u19.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-114
-114
Jaylen Wells (MEM) o10.5
u10.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-114
-114
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) o15.5
u15.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+100
-132
Khris Middleton (DAL) o12.5
u12.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-108
-122
Klay Thompson (DAL) o12.5
u12.5
DraftKings
DraftKings
-109
-117
Daniel Gafford (DAL) o12.5
u12.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-132
+100
Caleb Martin (DAL) o7.5
u7.5
DraftKings
DraftKings
-121
-105
P.J. Washington (DAL) o16.5
u16.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-108
-118
Naji Marshall (DAL) o9.5
u9.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-120
-110
Brandon Williams (DAL) o16.5
u16.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-104
-128
Tyus Jones (DAL) o6.5
u6.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+100
-132
AJ Johnson (DAL) o9.5
u9.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-122
-108
Max Christie (DAL) o9.5
u9.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-112
-118


MEM at DAL Player Points + Assists Prop Picks

Over the past five, Memphis Grizzlies sit 1-4, with Dallas Mavericks stand 2-3.

That lean toward Dallas Mavericks counts for points plus assists props because better form often tracks to steadier scoring and cleaner setup touches.

NBA Player PTS/G AST/G PTS+AST Minutes Usage %
GG Jackson (MEM) 12.5 1.5 14 21 23.6%
Cam Spencer (MEM) 11.1 5.6 16.7 24 17.2%
Jaylen Wells (MEM) 12.5 1.6 14.1 26 19.4%
Khris Middleton (DAL) 10 2.2 12.2 21 22%
Klay Thompson (DAL) 11.7 1.4 13.1 22 22.8%
Daniel Gafford (DAL) 9.5 1.1 10.6 22 15.8%
Caleb Martin (DAL) 3.9 1.4 5.3 15 12.6%
Naji Marshall (DAL) 15.2 3.3 18.5 30 20.6%
Brandon Williams (DAL) 13 3.9 16.9 22 25.2%
Tyus Jones (DAL) 3.9 3.8 7.7 17 12.6%
AJ Johnson (DAL) 3.9 1.1 5 10 20.6%
Max Christie (DAL) 12.3 2 14.3 29 16.5%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Points + Assists Line Bookmaker Odds
GG Jackson (MEM) o18.5
u18.5
Caesars
Caesars
-118
-113
Cam Spencer (MEM) o15.5
u15.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-102
-130
Jaylen Wells (MEM) o15.5
u15.5
Caesars
Caesars
-118
-113
Khris Middleton (DAL) o17.5
u17.5
Caesars
Caesars
-120
-112
Klay Thompson (DAL) o15.5
u15.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+120
-167
Daniel Gafford (DAL) o12.5
u12.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+125
-175
Caleb Martin (DAL) o10.5
u10.5
BetMGM
BetMGM
-105
-125
Naji Marshall (DAL) o26.5
u26.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-122
-108
Brandon Williams (DAL) o26.5
u26.5
Caesars
Caesars
-137
+102
Tyus Jones (DAL) o10.5
u10.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-125
-106
AJ Johnson (DAL) o13.5
u13.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-110
-120
Max Christie (DAL) o17.5
u17.5
Caesars
Caesars
-130
-103


Grizzlies at Mavericks Rebounds Prop Picks

If offensive rebounds do not beat the opponent’s defensive rebounds on either side, the rebound lean is steadier, so rebounds per game (Memphis Grizzlies 42.1 vs Dallas Mavericks 44.7) becomes the simplest anchor.

The picks are built from each NBA player’s rebounds per game, minutes per game, usage percentage, and rebound percentage, then compared to the rebounds line to choose Over or Under, with a clear edge threshold of 0.5 keeping the selection focused.

NBA Player REB/G Minutes Usage % REB%
GG Jackson (MEM) 4.3 21 23.6% 10.8%
Cam Spencer (MEM) 2.5 24 17.2% 5.8%
Jaylen Wells (MEM) 3.2 26 19.4% 6.5%
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) 4.7 24 18.3% 10.5%
Khris Middleton (DAL) 3.3 21 22% 8.4%
Klay Thompson (DAL) 2.1 22 22.8% 5.1%
Daniel Gafford (DAL) 6.9 22 15.8% 16.7%
Caleb Martin (DAL) 2.5 15 12.6% 8.8%
P.J. Washington (DAL) 7 31 20.2% 12%
Naji Marshall (DAL) 4.7 30 20.6% 8.4%
Brandon Williams (DAL) 2.9 22 25.2% 6.9%
Tyus Jones (DAL) 1.1 17 12.6% 3.6%
AJ Johnson (DAL) 1 10 20.6% 5.3%
Max Christie (DAL) 3.2 29 16.5% 5.9%
NBA Player Prop Bet / Rebound Line Best Bookmaker Odds Odds
GG Jackson (MEM) o3.5
u3.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-125
-106
Cam Spencer (MEM) o2.5
u2.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+114
-152
Jaylen Wells (MEM) o3.5
u3.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-220
+162
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) o7.5
u7.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-158
+118
Khris Middleton (DAL) o2.5
u2.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+102
-136
Klay Thompson (DAL) o3.5
u3.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+190
-333
Daniel Gafford (DAL) o5.5
u5.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-162
+122
Caleb Martin (DAL) o0.5
u0.5
DraftKings
DraftKings
+162
-216
P.J. Washington (DAL) o7.5
u7.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-132
+104
Naji Marshall (DAL) o3.5
u3.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-172
+128
Brandon Williams (DAL) o7.5
u7.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+104
-138
Tyus Jones (DAL) o3.5
u3.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+300
-556
AJ Johnson (DAL) o1.5
u1.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-192
+142
Max Christie (DAL) o3.5
u3.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
+152
-205


Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks Points + Rebounds + Assists Props Picks

Points + rebounds + assists props start with the team environment, and the cleanest way in is offensive rating versus defensive rating. The sharp look is that a strong offensive rating can lift points and assists, while a tougher defensive rating can push rebounds through missed shots. The Dallas Mavericks field-goal percentage and the Memphis Grizzlies field-goal percentage are worth a snappy scan because made shots can drive assists while missed shots can fuel rebounds.

Season results help frame reliability, so the Dallas Mavericks win percentage and the Memphis Grizzlies win percentage act like a quick stability read. From there, the model takes a sharp angle : compare each NBA Player PRA per game to the prop line and rank by edge plus payout, selecting one best pick per side.

NBA Player PTS/G REB/G AST/G PRA/G Minutes Usage %
GG Jackson (MEM) 12.5 4.3 1.5 18.3 21 23.6%
Cam Spencer (MEM) 11.1 2.5 5.6 19.2 24 17.2%
Jaylen Wells (MEM) 12.5 3.2 1.6 17.3 26 19.4%
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) 10.6 4.7 1.2 16.5 24 18.3%
Khris Middleton (DAL) 10 3.3 2.2 15.5 21 22%
Klay Thompson (DAL) 11.7 2.1 1.4 15.2 22 22.8%
Daniel Gafford (DAL) 9.5 6.9 1.1 17.5 22 15.8%
Caleb Martin (DAL) 3.9 2.5 1.4 7.8 15 12.6%
Naji Marshall (DAL) 15.2 4.7 3.3 23.2 30 20.6%
Brandon Williams (DAL) 13 2.9 3.9 19.8 22 25.2%
Tyus Jones (DAL) 3.9 1.1 3.8 8.8 17 12.6%
AJ Johnson (DAL) 3.9 1 1.1 6 10 20.6%
Max Christie (DAL) 12.3 3.2 2 17.5 29 16.5%
NBA Player Prop Bet (Points + Rebounds + Assists Line) Bookmaker Odds
GG Jackson (MEM) o24.5
u24.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-113
-113
Cam Spencer (MEM) o17.5
u17.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-122
-104
Jaylen Wells (MEM) o19.5
u19.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
-116
-116
Taylor Hendricks (MEM) o16.5
u16.5
Caesars
Caesars
-132
-102
Khris Middleton (DAL) o21.5
u21.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-122
-104
Klay Thompson (DAL) o18.5
u18.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+120
-167
Daniel Gafford (DAL) o21.5
u21.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-104
-122
Caleb Martin (DAL) o14.5
u14.5
Fanatics
Fanatics
+100
-132
Naji Marshall (DAL) o32.5
u32.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-120
-106
Brandon Williams (DAL) o30.5
u30.5
Caesars
Caesars
-135
+102
Tyus Jones (DAL) o12.5
u12.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-128
+100
AJ Johnson (DAL) o16.5
u16.5
Caesars
Caesars
-138
+107
Max Christie (DAL) o22.5
u22.5
FanDuel
FanDuel
-111
-115


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Grizzlies match up Mavericks on Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:30 AM from American Airlines Center, on KFAA. Grizzlies has played at roughly a 30% win clip over its last ten, and Mavericks is around 20%. The pace projects as a faster tempo, which helps shape where props can land.

For Points + Assists, the two players to keep an eye on are Cam Spencer for Grizzlies and Brandon Williams for Mavericks. It’s a short way to spot who is most central to the offense when the game settles in.

In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with GG Jackson on the Grizzlies side and AJ Johnson for Mavericks. From there, it is a simple read: follow the roles that survive different game scripts. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.