Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans Player Props - February 24th 2026

National Basketball Association

Warriors

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24/02/2026
8:00pm

Pelicans

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Tonight’s Warriors at Pelicans player props start with one simple question: who is actually going to be in the middle of the action when it matters. Warriors and Pelicans both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent.

Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Gui Santos for Warriors and Dejounte Murray for Pelicans. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Al Horford on the Warriors side and Dejounte Murray for Pelicans. If either team shortens the rotation, these are often the first places it shows up.

In this article, we highlight the most important player stats and line them up with each prop market to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Warriors vs Pelicans matchup preview.

Pace and efficiency for GSW at NOP player props

Tempo and execution set the floor for props, since more possessions create more chances to rack up stats. The notes below bucket each metric into five outcomes so the edge is easy to spot. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.

Schedule context matters for props because short rest and travel can impact legs and late-game pace. The notes below bucket workload into five outcomes and name the advantage.

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NBA injury report for GSW at NOP: out, questionable, and impact

This is how the report reads right now for Warriors and Pelicans. If tags turn into actual sit-outs, expect minutes to tilt toward the top of the rotation, with usage and assists following. For a broader futures snapshot, see latest NBA Finals odds.

• Warriors has a bigger minutes hit listed. If it does not change late, the rotation often tightens and top-end minutes look safer.
• Pelicans carries a larger minutes gap on the report. That often concentrates usage and makes primary roles easier to project.

Warriors at Pelicans Player Assists Props Picks

The Starting point for Player Assists Props is whether the teams create a reliable creation picture environment. Golden State Warriors is 70.8% in assist rate with 29.1 assists per game and 15 turnovers per game. New Orleans Pelicans is 59.2%, 24.9, 13.3.

A controlled assist environment is the base of Player Assists Props: assist rate keeps the ball moving, assists per game shows the volume, and turnovers per game shows how often plays die early. The balance is not identical, and Golden State Warriors comes off stronger.

• Golden State Warriors pick: fanduel +128 u4.5. Pat Spencer has a stable assist profile at 3.3 with a line of 4.5. If the job holds, the number can lift, but the setup still matters.
• New Orleans Pelicans pick: caesars +123 u3.5. Herbert Jones has a stable assist profile at 2.7 with a line of 3.5. If the job holds, the number can lift, but the setup still matters.

Warriors vs Pelicans NBA Player 3PM Props

Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and New Orleans Pelicans is at 37.2 while Golden State Warriors is at 35.2. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.2 for New Orleans Pelicans and 0.3 for Golden State Warriors.

• GSW pick: Caesars Under +104 . Quinten Post (GSW) checks in at a proxy of 1.07 made threes with a line of 1.5. A stat-first says "Under lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).

• NOP pick: Betmgm Over +195 . Derik Queen (NOP) lines up with a proxy of 1.57 made threes against a line of 0.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).

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Warriors at Pelicans NBA Player Points Prop Picks

Form matters for points props, and it starts here: Golden State Warriors is 4-6 with a 40% win rate, posting 110.6 and allowing 115.5. New Orleans Pelicans counters with 4-6 (40%), producing 114.9 and giving up 115.9. That push is where a points line can sit high .

Recent form does not lock in anything, but it does tighten the band for points props. New Orleans Pelicans looks better positioned to score by those splits, and that is the kind of setup that can tilt a points read.

• Golden State Warriors best look in this spot : FanDuel Under +108. Moses Moody is producing 11.9 a night , while the line is 21.5. On a quick data check it reads "Under," and the odds leave a bit of room , so confirm rotation and any late role change.
• New Orleans Pelicans top angle in this game : FanDuel Over +116. Jeremiah Fears is scoring 13.1 on the season , while the line is 8.5. On a fast data check it reads "Over," and the odds keep a bit of room , so confirm rotation and any late role change.

Warriors at Pelicans Player Points + Assists Prop Picks

Across the recent five games, Golden State Warriors stand at 2-3, while New Orleans Pelicans land at 3-2.

That nod toward New Orleans Pelicans counts for points plus assists props because better form often ties to steadier scoring and cleaner setup touches.

• GSW pick: FanDuel Under with odds listed at -102 on Gui Santos points plus assists. The numbers push to Under because 8.1 sits above or below 16.5, and the spot is worth a fast verify on minutes and usage.
• NOP play: FanDuel Over posted at -102 for Dejounte Murray points plus assists. On the stat sheet, Dejounte Murray carries 16 points plus assists per game with a line of 15.5, so the clean read is Over; flag it and recheck minutes, role, and matchup.

Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans NBA Player Rebounds Prop Picks

This looks like a more controlled glass spot, with Golden State Warriors offensive rebounds (0.2) and New Orleans Pelicans defensive rebounds (0.7) not creating a clear mismatch, so the lean usually follow rebounds per game toward New Orleans Pelicans.

To keep rebounds props real, the logic starts with rebounds per game versus the rebounds line and then checks minutes per game plus rebound percentage, which tends to highlight the clearest value.

• GSW pick: unibet Under +104 . When a player averages 4.9 and the line is 5.5, the props usually cash on the side that matches the gap, here Under.
• NOP pick: FanDuel Under +102 . When a player averages 6 and the line is 6.5, the props often hit on the side that matches the gap, here Under.

Warriors at Pelicans Points + Rebounds + Assists Prop Lines

This matchup is a PRA puzzle, and it usually turns on which offense can generate cleaner looks against the other defense. The smart path is to weigh New Orleans Pelicans offensive rating against Golden State Warriors defensive rating, then flip it for the other side. The New Orleans Pelicans field-goal percentage and the Golden State Warriors field-goal percentage are worth a quick check because made shots can power assists while missed shots can fuel rebounds.

A higher win percentage often tracks cleaner execution, and cleaner execution tends to show up in assists and efficient scoring. The selection stays basic straight : PRA per game versus the line, edge threshold check, then the best return among qualifying NBA Players from each team.

• GSW pick: Start with the quick scan and it lands on DraftKings Under -104 for Al Horford PRA. When the number sits at 19.5 and the average is 15.3, that cushion can swing the price quickly.
• NOP pick: The snappy case points to FanDuel Under -106 for Dejounte Murray PRA. The line that matters is 18 versus 18.5, and that gap can drive both the scoring side (points and assists) and the miss side (rebounds).

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Before we get into specific markets, the story is the same: a faster tempo tempo, and two teams whose rotation decisions matter a lot. Warriors has played at roughly a 40% win clip over its last ten, and Pelicans is around 40%.

For Points + Assists, the two players to keep an eye on are Gui Santos for Warriors and Dejounte Murray for Pelicans. It’s a short way to spot who is most central to the offense when the game settles in.

In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Al Horford on the Warriors side and Dejounte Murray for Pelicans. The swing factor is who stays on the floor in the fourth, because that is where props get decided. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.