Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Player Props - February 22nd 2026

1:00pm

In Cavaliers at Thunder, the prop board tends to reward the players who live in stable minutes and repeatable touches. Cavaliers and Thunder both come in with recent form worth noting, which matters when rotations tighten and roles stay consistent.
These markets usually tell you a lot about how the game will be played. Two markets we keep coming back to are Points + Assists and Points + Rebounds + Assists. For Points + Assists, the players to watch are Dennis Schröder for Cavaliers and Aaron Wiggins for Thunder. In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Evan Mobley on the Cavaliers side and Isaiah Joe for Thunder.
Here, we pull the key stat profiles for the main rotation players, then match those numbers to the prop markets to find the sweet spot. For the full game breakdown, read the full Cavaliers vs Thunder matchup preview.
Pace and efficiency for CLE at OKC player props
Game shape matters for props, and the two cleanest pieces are pace and efficiency. The notes below split each metric into five outcomes so the context is clear. For the latest lines and totals, visit the NBA odds page.
| Metric | Away Team Cavaliers | Home Team Thunder | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace (Poss/Game) | 102.6 | 101.7 | Cavaliers slight advantage: tonight, they play a bit faster, which suggests anticipate extra possessions to nudge prop volume up. |
| PPG (Season) | 119.5 | 119.0 | Even: on this slate, season scoring baselines are similar, making it fair to project points props to have a similar runway. |
| Offensive Rating | 116.3 | 116.3 | Even: on this slate, offensive efficiency sits in the same band, which suggests anticipate possessions to produce similar shot quality. |
| Defensive Rating | 111.9 | 104.8 | Thunder strong advantage: tonight, they grade as the tougher defense, which suggests anticipate scoring efficiency to be harder to come by. |
After you check pace and efficiency, workload is the next filter because fatigue can show up late. The notes below label each workload metric into five outcomes and call out the team with the edge.
| Workload metric | Away Team Cavaliers | Home Team Thunder | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games in last 7 days | 0 | 0 | Even: on the season, game volume is the same in the last seven days, which usually leads to energy and rotations to sit in a similar spot. |
| Time zone changes (last 7) | 0 | 0 | Even: by the numbers, time-zone change totals are similar over the last week, so expect routines to be steady for both teams. |
| Miles travelled (last 7) | 0 | 0 | Even: on season baselines, travel mileage is close over the last seven days, so look for travel wear to be similar on both sides. |
| Days since last game | 2 | 2 | Even: at a glance, rest days since the last game match, which usually leads to recovery to be similar entering tip-off. |
| Back-to-back | No | No | Even: in this game, neither team is on a back-to-back, which suggests project rest to be close to normal for both teams. |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | 0 | 0 | Even: in this spot, there is no clear rest-advantage separation, which should leave project rest edge to be minimal. |
| Previous opponent strength | 45.6 | 27.3 | Thunder strong advantage: tonight, their previous opponent graded noticeably lighter, which suggests project carryover wear to be meaningfully lower. |
| Travel miles since last game | 939 | 0 | Thunder strong advantage: tonight, they travelled materially less between the last game and this one, so project travel fatigue to be meaningfully lower. |
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days NBA injury report for CLE at OKC: out, questionable, and impact
A injury report usually shapes the rotation more than it shapes the headline. For Cavaliers and Thunder, the practical read is about minutes first, then usage: who stays in the main groups, and who benefits from the openings. For a broader futures snapshot, see NBA championship odds.
| Team | Out | In doubt | Reported loss (MPG • PPG) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | 0 1 out | 0 1 questionable | 0.0 MPG • 0.0 PPG |
| Thunder | 1 1 out | 2 1 questionable | 54.2 MPG • 30.6 PPG |
- Thunder shows a bigger minutes hit. If it stays put, the rotation often shortens and main options see more stable run.
CLE at OKC Player Assists Props Picks
Start Player Assists Props with a simple team lens built on three numbers: assist rate, assists per game, and turnovers per game. Cleveland Cavaliers assist rate 65.3%, assists per game 28.3, turnovers per game 13.3; Oklahoma City Thunder assist rate 59.8%, assists per game 25.8, turnovers per game 12.5.
The team numbers are not perfectly close, and the lean points more toward Cleveland Cavaliers. A cleaner offensive path usually keeps assist volume alive, and a sloppy turnover profile can hand the opponent extra possessions that still turn into assisted finishes.
| NBA Player | AST/G | Minutes | Usage % | Assist % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | 4.3 | 21 | 18.7% | 26.3% |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | 1.8 | 27 | 20% | 9.7% |
| James Harden (CLE) | 7.7 | 34 | 24.1% | 31.8% |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | 5.7 | 33 | 32.4% | 27.9% |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | 1.5 | 22 | 10% | 8.3% |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | 3.6 | 32 | 22.7% | 16.8% |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | 0.9 | 18 | 23.3% | 7.7% |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | 1.3 | 21 | 18.5% | 8.6% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | 3.5 | 24 | 16.2% | 20.1% |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | 1.2 | 27 | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | 2.6 | 27 | 14.5% | 12.7% |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | 1.7 | 22 | 19.9% | 10.6% |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | 1.7 | 29 | 21.9% | 8.6% |
- Cleveland Cavaliers pick: fanduel -130 o3.5. Donovan Mitchell averages 5.7 assists, and the line is 3.5. A Simple stat-first read says this is a spot to flag, then sanity-check minutes, role, and matchup.
- Oklahoma City Thunder pick: fanduel +158 u9.5. Cason Wallace averages 2.6 assists, and the line is 9.5. A Simple stat-first read says this is a spot to flag, then sanity-check minutes, role, and matchup.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Assist Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | o7.5 u7.5 | fanduel fanduel | +146 -198 |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanatics fanatics | -116 -116 |
| James Harden (CLE) | o9.5 u9.5 | fanduel fanduel | +104 -138 |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | o3.5 u3.5 | fanduel fanduel | -130 -102 |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | o0.5 u0.5 | sportingbet sportingbet | -190 +140 |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | -188 +140 |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | -128 -104 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | o2.5 u2.5 | sugarhouse sugarhouse | +148 -205 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | o5.5 u5.5 | fanduel fanduel | +114 -152 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | -113 -113 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | o9.5 u9.5 | fanduel fanduel | -215 +158 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | o1.5 u1.5 | fanduel fanduel | -188 +140 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | o2.5 u2.5 | unibet unibet | +132 -177 |
Cavaliers vs Thunder NBA Player 3PM Props
Recent 3P% gives the best snapshot of current rhythm, and Oklahoma City Thunder is at 37.8 while Cleveland Cavaliers is at 38. The season 3-point percentage baseline is 0.2 for Oklahoma City Thunder and 0.2 for Cleveland Cavaliers.
| NBA Player | Minutes | Usage% | 3P% | 3PM line | Proxy 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | 26 | 17.1 | 42.1 | 5.5 | 1.87 |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | 27 | 19.4 | 44.6 | 1.5 | 2.34 |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | 21 | 18.7 | 29 | 0.5 | 1.14 |
| James Harden (CLE) | 34 | 24.1 | 43.5 | 2.5 | 3.56 |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | 33 | 32.4 | 36.4 | 0.5 | 3.89 |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | 22 | 10 | 36.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | 32 | 22.7 | 29.7 | 0.5 | 2.16 |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | 18 | 23.3 | 39.1 | 2.5 | 1.64 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | 21 | 18.5 | 42.3 | 5.5 | 1.64 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | 27 | 14.1 | 34.4 | 2.5 | 1.31 |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | 20 | 15.6 | 38.3 | 1.5 | 1.19 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | 27 | 14.5 | 35.1 | 2.5 | 1.37 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | 22 | 19.9 | 35.6 | 1.5 | 1.56 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | 29 | 21.9 | 36.2 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
- CLE pick: Fanduel Over +270 . James Harden (CLE) checks in at a proxy of 3.56 made threes with a line of 2.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
- OKC pick: Fanduel Over +430 . Chet Holmgren (OKC) lines up with a proxy of 2.3 made threes against a line of 1.5. A stat-first says "Over lean", and the price implies the market is not treating that side as the most likely, which is the kind of spot to flag and then sanity-check (minutes/role, matchup, etc.).
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / 3PM Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | o5.5 u5.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -210 +154 |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +194 -270 |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | o0.5 u0.5 | Sportingbet Sportingbet | -220 +165 |
| James Harden (CLE) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +270 -400 |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +100 -132 |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | o0.5 u0.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -186 +138 |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | o0.5 u0.5 | Sportingbet Sportingbet | -165 +130 |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +124 -166 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | o5.5 u5.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | -158 +120 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +124 -166 |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | o1.5 u1.5 | Betmgm Betmgm | +130 -175 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | o2.5 u2.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +235 -340 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +154 -210 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanduel Fanduel | +430 -750 |
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly! Cavaliers at Thunder NBA Player Points Prop Picks
The last 10 matters for points props, and it starts here: Cleveland Cavaliers is 9-1 with a 90% win rate, dropping 122.9 and allowing 107.8. Oklahoma City Thunder counters with 6-4 (60%), adding 112.9 and giving up 106.4. That push is where a points line can sit low .
If one team is more likely to push the total , it is usually the side with the better setup from recent scoring and recent points allowed. Cleveland Cavaliers has the cleaner path on that read, and it is a useful hint when narrowing down points props.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | Minutes | Usage % | TS % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | 12.8 | 26 | 17.1% | 64.4% |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | 13.2 | 27 | 19.4% | 60.8% |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | 8.2 | 21 | 18.7% | 51.5% |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | 15.4 | 27 | 20% | 66.9% |
| James Harden (CLE) | 20.5 | 34 | 24.1% | 63.9% |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | 27.9 | 33 | 32.4% | 61.3% |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | 5.8 | 22 | 10% | 58% |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | 18.2 | 32 | 22.7% | 59.6% |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | 10.4 | 18 | 23.3% | 59.3% |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | 11.1 | 21 | 18.5% | 65.7% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | 9.2 | 24 | 16.2% | 63.1% |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | 8.3 | 27 | 14.1% | 52.4% |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | 7.2 | 20 | 15.6% | 59.7% |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | 8.6 | 27 | 14.5% | 53.8% |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | 9.4 | 22 | 19.9% | 53.8% |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | 17.1 | 29 | 21.9% | 65.3% |
- Cleveland Cavaliers points play to highlight : FanDuel Under +140. Dennis Schröder comes in at 8.2 points a game against 12.5. The clean data read points to "Under," and the book is still not pricing it as the most likely , so validate matchup and minutes.
- Oklahoma City Thunder play in this matchup : FanDuel Under -112. Cason Wallace sits at 8.6 points a game versus a 19.5 line. The initial data pass leans "Under," and the price implies it is not totally baked in, so this is a good spot to double-check usage and shot volume.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points Line | Best Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | o20.5 u20.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +108 -144 |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | o8.5 u8.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -162 +122 |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | o12.5 u12.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -188 +140 |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | o10.5 u10.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -132 +100 |
| James Harden (CLE) | o15.5 u15.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | o22.5 u22.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +114 -152 |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -162 +122 |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +102 -136 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | o21.5 u21.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -128 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | o6.5 u6.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -125 -106 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | o12.5 u12.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -112 -118 |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | o6.5 u6.5 | Sportingbet Sportingbet | -125 -110 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | o19.5 u19.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | o10.5 u10.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -112 -118 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | o16.5 u16.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -172 +128 |
Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder Points + Assists Prop Picks
Cleveland Cavaliers have gone 5-0 in their past five, and Oklahoma City Thunder have gone 3-2 over the same sample.
That lean toward Cleveland Cavaliers matters for points plus assists props because better form often ties to steadier scoring and cleaner setup touches.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | AST/G | PTS+AST | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | 8.2 | 4.3 | 12.5 | 21 | 18.7% |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | 15.4 | 1.8 | 17.2 | 27 | 20% |
| James Harden (CLE) | 20.5 | 7.7 | 28.2 | 34 | 24.1% |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | 27.9 | 5.7 | 33.6 | 33 | 32.4% |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | 5.8 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 22 | 10% |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | 18.2 | 3.6 | 21.8 | 32 | 22.7% |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | 10.4 | 0.9 | 11.3 | 18 | 23.3% |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | 11.1 | 1.3 | 12.4 | 21 | 18.5% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | 9.2 | 3.5 | 12.7 | 24 | 16.2% |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | 8.3 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 27 | 14.1% |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | 8.6 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 27 | 14.5% |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | 9.4 | 1.7 | 11.1 | 22 | 19.9% |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | 17.1 | 1.7 | 18.8 | 29 | 21.9% |
- CLE pick: FanDuel Over odds posted at +100 for Dennis Schröder points plus assists. The stat-first read leans Over off 12.5 versus 11.5, and it is the kind of spot to flag before a minutes and rotation verify.
- OKC play: sportingbet Under listed at -105 for Aaron Wiggins points plus assists. On the stat sheet, Aaron Wiggins carries 11.1 points plus assists per game with a line of 16.5, so the clear angle is Under; circle it and double-check minutes, role, and matchup.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Points + Assists Line | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +100 -132 |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | o15.5 u15.5 | Caesars Caesars | -120 -112 |
| James Harden (CLE) | o27.5 u27.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -114 |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | o30.5 u30.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -110 -120 |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | o5.5 u5.5 | sportingbet sportingbet | -140 +105 |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | o15.5 u15.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +100 -132 |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -112 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | o16.5 u16.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -114 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | o15.5 u15.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -112 -118 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -114 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | o15.5 u15.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -128 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | o16.5 u16.5 | sportingbet sportingbet | -125 -105 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | o20.5 u20.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -114 -118 |
Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Player Rebounds Prop Picks
When the cross check is flat, props come down to who owns the steady boards, and rebounds per game plus the split between offensive rebounds and defensive rebounds points to Cleveland Cavaliers as the thin lean.
The best pick for each side comes from a direct rebounds per game versus rebounds line comparison, with minutes per game, usage percentage, and rebound percentage used to validate the read and keep the choice sharp.
| NBA Player | REB/G | Minutes | Usage % | REB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | 2.6 | 26 | 17.1% | 5.3% |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | 5.1 | 27 | 19.4% | 10.5% |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | 2.3 | 21 | 18.7% | 5.8% |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | 8.5 | 27 | 20% | 17.2% |
| James Harden (CLE) | 4.8 | 34 | 24.1% | 7.8% |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | 4.5 | 33 | 32.4% | 7.4% |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | 4.2 | 22 | 10% | 10.3% |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | 9 | 32 | 22.7% | 15.5% |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | 2.1 | 18 | 23.3% | 6.2% |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | 2.5 | 21 | 18.5% | 6.5% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | 9.4 | 24 | 16.2% | 21.1% |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | 3.6 | 27 | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | 5.5 | 20 | 15.6% | 15.2% |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | 3.1 | 27 | 14.5% | 6.3% |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | 3.1 | 22 | 19.9% | 7.6% |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | 8.9 | 29 | 21.9% | 16.7% |
- CLE pick: FanDuel Under +132 . When a player averages 4.5 and the line is 5.5, the props usually hit on the side that matches the gap, here Under.
- OKC pick: FanDuel Under +152 . When a player averages 2.1 and the line is 3.5, the props usually land on the side that matches the gap, here Under.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet / Rebound Line | Best Bookmaker Odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | o1.5 u1.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | -250 +155 |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -132 +100 |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -160 +120 |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | o11.5 u11.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +122 -162 |
| James Harden (CLE) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -220 +162 |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | o5.5 u5.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -178 +132 |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | o4.5 u4.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -162 +122 |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -102 -130 |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -205 +152 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -140 +106 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | o7.5 u7.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +120 -160 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -194 +144 |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | o6.5 u6.5 | Fanatics Fanatics | +210 -357 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | o3.5 u3.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -128 -102 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | o2.5 u2.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -200 +148 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | +102 -136 |
Cavaliers at Thunder Points + Rebounds + Assists Props Picks
For Points + rebounds + assists props, scoring gravity matters, but so do the misses that create rebound volume. A higher offensive rating tends to nudge points and assists up, while a lower defensive rating can keep the game tighter and shift PRA toward rebounds. The fast read is which side wins that trade between makes and misses. The Oklahoma City Thunder field-goal percentage and the Cleveland Cavaliers field-goal percentage are worth a snappy test because made shots can power assists while missed shots can fuel rebounds.
A higher win percentage often tracks cleaner execution, and cleaner execution tends to show up in assists and efficient scoring. The selection stays simple sharp : PRA per game versus the line, edge threshold check, then the best return among qualifying NBA Players from each team.
| NBA Player | PTS/G | REB/G | AST/G | PRA/G | Minutes | Usage % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | 12.8 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 17.8 | 26 | 17.1% |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | 13.2 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 20.5 | 27 | 19.4% |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | 8.2 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 14.8 | 21 | 18.7% |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | 15.4 | 8.5 | 1.8 | 25.7 | 27 | 20% |
| James Harden (CLE) | 20.5 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 33 | 34 | 24.1% |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | 27.9 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 38.1 | 33 | 32.4% |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | 5.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 11.5 | 22 | 10% |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | 18.2 | 9 | 3.6 | 30.8 | 32 | 22.7% |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | 10.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 13.4 | 18 | 23.3% |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | 11.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 14.9 | 21 | 18.5% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | 9.2 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 22.1 | 24 | 16.2% |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | 8.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 13.1 | 27 | 14.1% |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | 7.2 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 15.1 | 20 | 15.6% |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | 8.6 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 14.3 | 27 | 14.5% |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | 9.4 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 14.2 | 22 | 19.9% |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | 17.1 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 27.7 | 29 | 21.9% |
- CLE pick: The sharp path is to ride the season average and play FanDuel Over -104 on Evan Mobley Points + rebounds + assists. This one points firmly because 30.8 PRA per game clears (or trails) 22.5 by 8.3.
- OKC pick: Start with the basic scan and it lands on FanDuel Under -106 for Isaiah Joe PRA. When the number sits at 19.5 and the average is 14.9, that buffer can shift the price quickly.
| NBA Player | Prop Bet (Points + Rebounds + Assists Line) | Bookmaker | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Merrill (CLE) | o12.5 u12.5 | sportingbet sportingbet | -110 -118 |
| Jaylon Tyson (CLE) | o14.5 u14.5 | BetMGM BetMGM | -135 +100 |
| Dennis Schröder (CLE) | o13.5 u13.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -113 -113 |
| Jarrett Allen (CLE) | o24.5 u24.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -118 -108 |
| James Harden (CLE) | o32.5 u32.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -113 -113 |
| Donovan Mitchell (CLE) | o35.5 u35.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -106 -120 |
| Dean Wade (CLE) | o10.5 u10.5 | sportingbet sportingbet | -110 -120 |
| Evan Mobley (CLE) | o22.5 u22.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -122 |
| Jared McCain (OKC) | o16.5 u16.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -115 -111 |
| Isaiah Joe (OKC) | o19.5 u19.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -120 -106 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) | o24.5 u24.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -111 -115 |
| Luguentz Dort (OKC) | o15.5 u15.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -122 |
| Jaylin Williams (OKC) | o15.5 u15.5 | sportingbet sportingbet | -110 -118 |
| Cason Wallace (OKC) | o18.5 u18.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -108 -118 |
| Aaron Wiggins (OKC) | o19.5 u19.5 | Caesars Caesars | -102 -130 |
| Chet Holmgren (OKC) | o29.5 u29.5 | FanDuel FanDuel | -104 -122 |
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Spend $10 Get 200 in Bonus Picks Before we get into specific markets, the story is the same: a faster tempo tempo, and two teams whose rotation decisions matter a lot. Cavaliers has played at roughly a 90% win clip over its last ten, and Thunder is around 60%.
If you want a clean place to start, begin here. For Points + Assists, the two players to circle are Dennis Schröder for Cavaliers and Aaron Wiggins for Thunder. Those are the names that tend to stay involved no matter the score.
In Points + Rebounds + Assists, start with Evan Mobley on the Cavaliers side and Isaiah Joe for Thunder. The swing factor is who stays on the floor down the stretch, because that is where props get decided. For the full game breakdown, read the full matchup preview.