San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers Odds, Picks & Predictions - Game 4
It’s the continuation of a first-round Western Conference series as the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs make the trip to clash with the seventh-seeded Portland Trail Blazers in Game 4 Sunday afternoon and we have things covered with our Spurs vs. Trail Blazers prediction. San Antonio took Game 1, 111-98, at home Sunday to draw first blood in the set. They covered the line as a 12.5-point favorite in that contest. Portland responded with a 106-103 road win in Game 2 Tuesday night. The Trail Blazers won outright as a 10.5-point underdog. In Game 3, San Antonio rallied for a 120-108 win Friday night, covering as a 1.5-point favorite.
In the all-time playoff series between the teams, San Antonio has won three of the four previous series. The Spurs own a 16-7 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. Let’s break down this Spurs vs. Trail Blazers matchup.
Spurs Looking to Push Portland to Brink
San Antonio struggled for a while but managed to get things together in the second half to pull away for the win. The Spurs now own a 2-1 series advantage and look to take a 3-1 series edge before they head home for Game 5. In Game 3, San Antonio trailed by as many as 10 in the first half and by 15 with 7:44 to go in the third quarter before regrouping. The Spurs rallied to lead by one at the end of three quarters before outscoring the Trail Blazers 32-21 in the fourth to earn the win. Stephon Castle paced the Spurs with 33 points while Dylan Harper added 27 off the bench.
In the postseason, the Spurs are 5th in the league in scoring offense as they average 111.3 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 4th in rebounding by grabbing 46.7 boards a night. They are 6th in the league in assists by handing out 23.3 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 104 points per game. Victor Wembanyama is second the team with 20 points plus 4.5 rebounds and 1.5 blocks this postseason. De’Aaron Fox (17.3 points, six assists) and Stephon Castle (22.7 points, 5.3 rebounds, 5.7 assists) provide additional firepower
San Antonio is 5th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.3% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 4th in threes per game as they connect on 12.7 triples a night. They are 3rd in three-point percentage by shooting 42.2% from beyond the arc. San Antonio has been slightly above average at the charity stripe, ranking 6th in the league by converting 77.3% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Spurs:
- Center Victor Wembanyama (concussion) is questionable.
- Guard Jordan McLaughlin (ankle) is questionable.
Portland Seeking to Even Things Up
Portland won Game 2 on the road and seemed on their way to a win in Game 3 before the wheels fell off Friday. The Trail Blazers now find themselves in a 2-1 hole and need a win here to square things up before heading back to San Antonio for Game 5. Portland held a 10-point edge in the opening half as they controlled the game. The margin grew to 77-62 in the third quarter before the Spurs rallied. Portland took their last lead at 95-93 with 9:28 remaining. They promptly gave up a 19-2 run that left them down 112-97 with 4:05 to go. Jrue Holiday led the Trail Blazers with 29 points in the win.
During the postseason, the Trail Blazers are 11th in the league in scoring offense with 104 points per game. Portland is 11th in the league in rebounding with 42 boards a contest. They are tied for 7th in assists as they hand out 23 assists per game this season. The Trail Blazers are 12th in scoring defense by allowing 111.3 points per night. Scoot Henderson is leading the team with 23.3 points per game this postseason. Deni Avidja kicks in 21 points plus 6.7 boards per contest.
Portland is 12th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 42.2% from the field as a team this postseason. The Trail Blazers are 5th in the league in threes per game as they hit 12.3 triples per game. They are 12th in three-point percentage as they hit 32.5% from beyond the arc. Portland is above average at the free throw line, ranking 8th by converting 73.4% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Trail Blazers:
- Guard Damian Lillard (Achilles) is out.
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Give Portland credit as they had the Spurs on their heels into the third quarter of Game 3. The problem for the Trail Blazers is they were unable to sustain that momentum down the stretch. Their inability to maintain that style of play for a full 48 minutes is a major difference between these two teams. If Portland couldn’t take care of business without Wembanyama in Game 3, it dims their hopes going forward. It’s unclear as to whether Wembanyama suits up here or not but the Spurs have momentum back on their side here. Take the Spurs to prevail for a 3-1 series edge.
Our Prediction: Spurs -5.5 (BetMGM, -105)
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