San Antonio Spurs vs. Portland Trail Blazers Odds, Picks & Predictions - Game 3
It’s the continuation of a first-round Western Conference series as the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs make the trip to clash with the seventh-seeded Portland Trail Blazers in Game 3 Friday night and we have things covered with our Spurs vs. Trail Blazers prediction. San Antonio took Game 1, 111-98, at home Sunday to draw first blood in the set. They covered the line as a 12.5-point favorite in that contest. Portland responded with a 106-103 road win in Game 2 Tuesday night. The Trail Blazers won outright as a 10.5-point underdog.
In the all-time playoff series between the teams, San Antonio has won three of the four previous series. The Spurs own a 15-7 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. Let’s break down this Spurs vs. Trail Blazers matchup.
Spurs Try to Regroup, Potentially Without Wemby
San Antonio was upended in Game 2 as the game shifted once Victor Wembanyama exited after a hard fall. He is in the concussion protocol but did travel with the team for the trip to Rip City. In Game 2, San Antonio started slowly but rallied to lead by one after the opening quarter. The Spurs regrouped to lead by 14 with 8:33 remaining in the contest but struggled offensively the rest of the way. San Antonio was outscored 27-10 the rest of the way to wind up with the loss. Meanwhile, the Spurs were led by Stephon Castle, who had 18 points, seven rebounds and five assists in the defeat.
In the postseason, the Spurs are 8th in the league in scoring offense as they average 107 points per game on the year. San Antonio stands 6th in rebounding by grabbing 45 boards a night. They are tied for 12th in the league in assists by handing out 21.5 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 102 points per game. Victor Wembanyama leads the team with 20 points plus 4.5 rebounds and 1.5 blocks this postseason. De’Aaron Fox (17 points, six assists) and Stephon Castle (17.5 points, seven rebounds, six assists) provide additional firepower.
San Antonio is 8th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 45.9% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 12th in threes per game as they connect on 11 triples a night. They are 21st in three-point percentage by shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc. San Antonio is slightly above average at the charity stripe, ranking 7th in the league by converting 76.6% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Spurs:
- Center Victor Wembanyama (concussion) is questionable.
- Guard Jordan McLaughlin (ankle) is out.
Trail Blazers Shoot to Bring Momentum Home
Portland started strong, struggled for an extended period of time, and rallied down the stretch to earn the victory. The Trail Blazers now hope to continue their strong late push from Game 2 into this home tilt. Against San Antonio in Game 2, Portland led 22-9 early but trailed by one at the end of the first quarter. The Trail Blazers hung tough but trailed 93-79 with under nine minutes to go. Portland turned up the heat on both ends, outscoring San Antonio 27-10 down the stretch, to earn the win. Scoot Henderson poured in 31 points for the Trail Blazers in the victory.
During the postseason, the Trail Blazers are 11th in the league in scoring offense with 102 points per game. Portland is 12th in the league in rebounding with 40.5 boards a contest. They are 7th in assists as they hand out 24 assists per game this season. The Trail Blazers are 9th in scoring defense by allowing 107 points per night. Shaedon Sharpe leads the team with 24.5 points per game this postseason. Deni Avidja kicks in 22 points plus seven boards per contest.
Portland is 13th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 42.8% from the field as a team this postseason. The Trail Blazers are tied for 7th in the league in threes per game as they hit 11.5 triples per game. In addition, they are 13th in three-point percentage as they hit 30.3% from beyond the arc. Portland is above average at the free throw line, ranking 5th by converting 77.1% of their attempts this season.
Key Injury Report for Trail Blazers:
- Guard Damian Lillard (Achilles) is out.
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There is a lot in flux when it comes to this contest. It’s unclear if Wembanyama will take the floor here, wait until Sunday’s Game 4 or beyond at this stage. All Mitch Johnson has said is that he hasn’t been ruled out for this one. Portland was strong down the stretch as they rallied to win Game 2 and return home for this contest. The Trail Blazers were 24-17 at home on the year and they have momentum. Meanwhile, Portland’s biggest concern is putting together a full 48 minutes. Until we actually see that happen, you have to fade them a bit, even at home. Take San Antonio here to regroup, with or without Wembanyama.
Our Prediction: Spurs -2.5 (FanDuel, -106)
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