San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets Odds, Pick and Prediction
A pair of Western Conference teams prepping for the postseason take the floor in the Mile-High City as the San Antonio Spurs take on the Denver Nuggets in NBA action Saturday afternoon and we break down the Spurs vs. Nuggets matchup here. San Antonio was in action Thursday night in the City of Angels as they faced the Clippers in the second game of a back-to-back. They won 118-99, prevailing outright as a 2.5-point underdog. Denver beat Utah 130-117 on the road Wednesday night, failing to cover the line as a 17-point favorite, their last time out.
In the all-time regular season series between the teams, San Antonio has a 126-82 advantage. This season, the teams split two meetings with the Nuggets prevailing 136-131 on the road March 12. Let’s break down this Spurs vs. Nuggets matchup. Lines were provided courtesy of BetMGM and were current as of 11 pm ET on April 3.
Spurs Shooting to Stay Scorching
San Antonio rested Victor Wembanyama in the second game of a back-to-back and still dusted the Clippers Thursday night. The Spurs entered Friday 59-18 and have locked up the Southwest Division title. They are second in the Western Conference, two games behind Oklahoma City for the top spot. San Antonio has won 11 straight and is a blistering 27-2 since February 1.
For the year, the Spurs are 3rd in the league in scoring offense as they average 119.6 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 2nd in rebounding by grabbing 47 boards a night. They are 10th in the league in assists by handing out 28 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 111.1 points per game. Victor Wembanyama leads the team with 24.7 points plus 11.5 rebounds and 3.1 blocks this season. De’Aaron Fox (18.5 points, 6.2 assists) and Stephon Castle (16.7 points, 7.2 assists) are next in line.
San Antonio is 4th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 48.3% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 14th in threes per game as they connect on 13.6 triples a night. They are 14th in three-point percentage by shooting 36% from beyond the arc. San Antonio has been slightly above average at the charity stripe, ranking 13th in the league by converting 78.3% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Spurs:
- Forward David Jones Garcia (ankle) is out.
Denver Looking to Move Up in Playoff Picture
Denver ran their win streak to seven games as they took down Utah on the road Wednesday night in their previous contest. The Nuggets ran their mark to 49-28 and stand second in the Northwest Division. They are fourth in the Western Conference but trailed the Lakers by just one game for the third seed. Four of their final five games of the regular season come at home.
On the year, Denver is 1st in the league in scoring offense with an average of 121.4 points per game this season. The Nuggets are 15th in rebounding by collecting 43.6 boards per contest. They are 5th by dishing out an average of 28.8 assists a night. Denver stands 19th in scoring defense as they give up an average of 116.6 points a night. Nikola Jokic is leading the team in scoring with 27.7 points, 13 rebounds and 10.8 assists a night this season. Jamal Murray (25.6 points, 7.1 assists) and Aaron Gordon (16.3 points, 5.8 rebounds) provide secondary scoring punch.
The Nuggets are 2nd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 49.5% from the floor. Denver is 11th as they connect on 14.1 three-pointers a night. The team is 1st in the league as they knock down 39.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc. The Nuggets are 5th in the league in free throw shooting as they cash in 80.6% of their attempts on the season.
Key Injury Report for Nuggets:
- Forward Spencer Jones (hamstring) is out.
- Forward Zeke Nnaji (hip) is out.
- Guard Peyton Watson (hamstring) is out.
Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction
This one is going to be well worth the price of admission. Two of the top teams in the Western Conference and two of the best big men in the league square off in this contest. San Antonio is playing their third game in four nights here, though their depth is impressive. Wembanyama was rested Thursday so he should be good to go in this contest. Denver is tough but missing three rotation pieces, especially one like Watson who is a solid scoring option, is tough to overcome. San Antonio, with their full rotation to work with in this contest, overcome the fatigue factor and the altitude to earn a win in their road finale.
Our Prediction: Spurs -2 (FanDuel, -110)
New Users – Bet $5 Get $250 If Your Bet Wins! Spurs vs. Nuggets Same Game Parlay
- Spurs -2 (-110)
- Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) Over 11.5 Assists (+110)
- Luke Kornet (Spurs) Over 4.5 Rebounds (-135)
Odds: +598
We explained the logic behind backing the Spurs here. They are 29-11 on the road, including a 139-136 win here back in November. They’re 27-2 in their last 29 games. Jokic leads the league in assists per game and has averaged 12.8 dimes over his last 10 games. He has 22 assists in two games against San Antonio this season. Kornet has exceeded this number on the boards in four of his last five games. He had six boards against the Clippers and averages better than 21 minutes a night. Kornet averages 6.2 boards a game and even with Jokic on the floor, grabbing five boards is well in his wheelhouse.
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