San Antonio Spurs Odds vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds, Picks & Predictions - Game 7 05/30
The top two squads in the Western Conference close out the Western Conference Finals with a clash in the Sooner State as the San Antonio Spurs take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in a winner take all Game 7 of their best-of-seven series Saturday night and we break down the Spurs vs. Thunder matchup here. San Antonio drew first blood as they held off the Thunder 122-115 in double overtime on the road in Game 1. The Spurs won outright in that contest as a 7.5-point underdog. In Game 2, Oklahoma City squared the series by picking up a 122-113 home win last Wednesday night.
The Thunder covered the line as a 7.5-point favorite. Oklahoma City regained home court advantage with a 123-108 road win in Game 3 last Friday night. The Thunder won outright as a 3.5-point underdog. San Antonio regrouped with a 103-82 win Sunday night at home. They covered the line as a 3.5-point favorite. Oklahoma City took Game 5 127-114 at home Tuesday night for a 3-2 series lead. The Thunder covered the line as a 3.5-point favorite. San Antonio answered with a 118-91 home win Thursday, covering as a 3.5-point favorite.
The stage is set as the winner moves on to face the Knicks in the NBA Finals. Meanwhile, the loser heads to the offseason wondering what could have been. In the all-time playoff series between the teams, San Antonio has won four of the six previous series. The Spurs own a 22-18 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. Let’s break down this Thunder vs. Spurs matchup.
Spurs Trying to Pull Road Upset in Game 7
San Antonio had their backs to the wall only to come out swinging at home in Game 6. The Spurs dropped the hammer on the Thunder, blowing them out in the second half, to force Game 7. In Game 6, San Antonio never trailed as they jumped in front 9-2 early. The Spurs led 35-22 after one quarter and by nine at the half. Leading by eight in the third quarter, the Spurs blew the game up with a 20-0 run before cruising home. Victor Wembanyama led five San Antonio players in double figures with 28 points, 10 rebounds and three blocks in the win.
In the postseason, the Spurs are 3rd in the league in scoring offense as they average 115.5 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 1st in rebounding by grabbing 47.7 boards a night. They are 4th in the league in assists by handing out 25.4 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 105.1 points per game. Victor Wembanyama is leading the team with 23.2 points plus 11 rebounds and 3.7 blocks this postseason. De’Aaron Fox (16.5 points, six assists) and Stephon Castle (19.4 points, 4.9 rebounds, 6.7 assists) provide additional firepower
San Antonio is 4th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 46.9% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 5th in threes per game as they connect on 12.6 triples a night. They are 4th in three-point percentage by shooting 36.1% from beyond the arc. San Antonio has been slightly above average at the charity stripe, ranking 3rd in the league by converting 80.4% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Spurs:
- No Key Injuries
Thunder Seeking Return Trip to Finals
Oklahoma City had a chance to knock San Antonio out and return to the NBA Finals Thursday night. Instead, they delivered a second straight dud on the road, forcing them to win at home if they want to defend their title. In Game 6, Oklahoma City never led in the game, trailing by 13 after the opening quarter. The Thunder never got closer than five the rest of the way. They were blown out 32-13 in the third quarter as they were blown out in the contest. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 15 points but shot six of 18 from the floor in the loss.
This postseason, the Thunder are 2nd in the league in scoring offense as they average 116.4 points per game. Oklahoma City is 6th in rebounding with 42 boards per contest on the year. They are 3rd in assists with 26.1 dimes a night. The Thunder are 8th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 108.2 points a night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 27.1 points, 2.9 rebounds and 7.9 assists per contest. The Thunder look to Chet Holmgren (15.7 points, 8.5 rebounds) and Jalen Williams (14.4 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.8 assists) as secondary options.
Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 47.2% from the floor as a team in the playoffs. The Thunder are 2nd by hitting 13.5 threes per game. They stand 3rd in three-point shooting by hitting 36.6% of their attempts from beyond the arc. They are stellar at the free throw line on the year as they rank 1st by shooting 85.4% as a team at the stripe.
Key Injury Report for Thunder:
- Forward Jalen Williams (hamstring) is out.
- Guard Ajay Mitchell (calf) is out.
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Oklahoma City is at home here and that works in their favor. Missing Williams and Mitchell is a blow for the Thunder as it takes a pair of viable scoring wings out of the mix. Williams tried to provide a Willis Reed moment in Game 6 but scored one point and was a -18 in 10 minutes Thursday night. He showed he wasn’t ready and the Thunder has to regroup. San Antonio is the team that challenges the Thunder more than anyone else, which is why we’re here. The problem is, they don’t have much in the way of big game experience. That, along with the fact that Fox has sputtered in this series, derails San Antonio. Take the Thunder as the MVP steps up in crunch time to get the win.
Our Prediction: Thunder -3.5 (FanDuel, -106)
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