San Antonio Spurs Odds vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds, Picks & Predictions - Game 5 05/26
The top two squads in the Western Conference continue the Western Conference Finals with a clash in the Sooner State. It's the San Antonio Spurs taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder in a pivotal Game 5 of their best-of-seven series Tuesday night and we break down the Spurs vs. Thunder matchup here.
San Antonio drew first blood as they held off the Thunder 122-115 in double overtime on the road in Game 1. The Spurs won outright in that contest as a 7.5-point underdog. Will San In Game 2, Oklahoma City squared the series by picking up a 122-113 home win Wednesday night. The Thunder covered the line as a 7.5-point favorite. Oklahoma City regained home court advantage with a 123-108 road win in Game 3 on Friday night. The Thunder won outright as a 3.5-point underdog. San Antonio regrouped with a 103-82 win Sunday night at home. They covered the line as a 3.5-point favorite. Which team earns the victory in what is a critical Game 5?
In the all-time playoff series between the teams, San Antonio has won four of the six previous series. The Spurs own a 21-17 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. Let’s break down this Thunder vs. Spurs matchup.
Spurs Hoping to Build Off Game 4 Triumph
San Antonio rebounded from their beating in Game 3 as they stifled the Thunder’s offense to earn a Game 4 victory. The Spurs now shoot to maintain that momentum on the road for this crucial contest. In Game 4, San Antonio trailed 8-7 before taking command of the game with a 16-0 run to take a 23-8 advantage. The Spurs led the rest of the way as they cruised to the victory, leading by as many as 25 in the contest. In addition, San Antonio held Oklahoma City to 33% shooting in the game. Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 33 points, eight rebounds and five assists in the victory.
In the postseason, the Spurs are 3rd in the league in scoring offense as they average 115.5 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 1st in rebounding by grabbing 47.9 boards a night. They are 4th in the league in assists by handing out 25.1 dimes per contest. In addition, the Spurs are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 104.6 points per game. Victor Wembanyama is leading the team with 23.1 points plus 11.4 rebounds and 3.8 blocks this postseason. De’Aaron Fox (18 points, 5.8 assists) and Stephon Castle (19.2 points, 4.9 rebounds, 6.6 assists) provide additional firepower
San Antonio is 3rd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 47.4% from the floor in the postseason. The Spurs are 6th in threes per game as they connect on 12.5 triples a night. They are 4th in three-point percentage by shooting 36.6% from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, San Antonio has been slightly above average at the charity stripe, ranking 4th by converting 79.6% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Spurs:
- Guard De’Aaron Fox (ankle) is questionable.
- Guard Dylan Harper (adductor) is questionable.
Thunder Look to Rebound at Home After Dud Performance
Oklahoma City struggled on the offensive end of the floor, turning in their worst showing of the postseason in Game 4. The Thunder returns home with the series even at two wins apiece and shoot for a better performance here. In Game 4, Oklahoma City never led by more than one and failed to lead over the final 44 minutes. After giving up 16 unanswered points in the first quarter, the Thunder struggled to make a push the rest of the way. Oklahoma shot a putrid 33% from the floor, including six of 33 from three-point range, in the contest. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 19 points and seven assists in the loss.
This postseason, the Thunder are 2nd in the league in scoring offense as they average 117.7 points per game. Oklahoma City is 7th in rebounding with 41.5 boards per contest on the year. In addition, they are 1st in assists with 26.4 dimes a night. The Thunder are 7th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 106.9 points a night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 27.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 8.1 assists per contest. The Thunder look to Chet Holmgren (16.2 points, 8.1 rebounds) and Jalen Williams (17.8 points, four rebounds, 3.3 assists) as secondary options.
Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 48% from the floor as a team in the playoffs. The Thunder are 2nd by hitting 13.8 threes per game. They stand 3rd in three-point shooting by hitting 37.2% of their attempts from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, they are stellar at the free throw line on the year as they rank 1st by shooting 84.9% as a team at the stripe.
Key Injury Report for Thunder:
- Forward Jalen Williams (hamstring) is questionable.
- Guard Ajay Mitchell (calf) is out.
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days Spurs vs. Thunder Prediction
San Antonio put together a stellar showing in Game 4 but carrying that success over has proven problematic. The Spurs took Game 1 of this series here but the Thunder last lost back-to-back games in the final two games of the regular season. Oklahoma City had nothing to play for in those contests, which is vastly different than the current situation. San Antonio held their own so far in the series but the fact that they haven’t maintained their strong starts is concerning. Therefore, Oklahoma City feeds off the home crowd and earns a critical victory for a 3-2 series lead.
Our Prediction: Thunder -5.5 (FanDuel, -110)
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