Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds, Picks & Predictions - Game 4 05/24
It’s the continuation of a Western Conference Finals series as the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder make the trip to clash with the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs in Game 4 Sunday night and we have things covered with our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction. San Antonio drew first blood as they held off the Thunder 122-115 in double overtime on the road in Game 1. The Spurs won outright in that contest as a 7.5-point underdog.
In Game 2, Oklahoma City squared the series by picking up a 122-113 home win Wednesday night. The Thunder covered the line as a 7.5-point favorite. Oklahoma City regained home court advantage with a 123-108 road win in Game 3 on Friday night. The Thunder won outright as a 3.5-point underdog. Which team earns the victory in what is a critical Game 4?
In the all-time playoff series between the teams, San Antonio has won four of the six previous series. The Spurs own a 20-17 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. Let’s break down this Thunder vs. Spurs matchup.
Thunder Seeking to Take 3-1 Series Advantage Home
Oklahoma City got off to a slow start in Game 3 but regrouped to win comfortably Friday night. As a result, the Thunder now own a 2-1 edge and regained home court advantage. In Game 3, Oklahoma City gave up the first 15 points of the game before waking up. The Thunder cut the margin to five by the end of the quarter and led by seven at the half. Oklahoma City led the rest of the way to cruise to the victory. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 26 points and 12 assists in the win. The Oklahoma City bench outscored San Antonio’s reserves by a massive 76-23 margin in the contest.
This postseason, the Thunder are 1st in the league in scoring offense as they average 120.9 points per game. Oklahoma City is 9th in rebounding with 41 boards per contest on the year. They are 1st in assists with 26.8 dimes a night. The Thunder are 8th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 107.3 points a night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 28.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 8.2 assists per contest. The Thunder look to Chet Holmgren (16.7 points, eight rebounds) and Jalen Williams (17.8 points, four rebounds, 3.3 assists) as secondary options.
Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 49.4% from the floor as a team in the playoffs. The Thunder are 2nd by hitting 14.5 threes per game. They stand 2nd in three-point shooting by hitting 38.7% of their attempts from beyond the arc. They are stellar at the free throw line on the year as they rank 1st by shooting 84.6% as a team at the stripe.
Key Injury Report for Thunder:
- Forward Jalen Williams (hamstring) is questionable.
- Guard Ajay Mitchell (calf) is out.
Spurs Hoping to Square Things Up
San Antonio staggered Oklahoma City early but couldn’t keep them down at home. Instead, the Spurs were the ones looking up at the lights when all was said and done, leaving them down 2-1 in the series. San Antonio blitzed the Thunder, leading 15-0 with 9:23 to play in the first quarter. The Spurs didn’t maintain that momentum. Their lead was trimmed to five at the end of one quarter. San Antonio took their last lead at 45-43 with 6:25 left in the first half before giving up nine straight points. The Spurs turned the ball over 15 times, leading to 20 Oklahoma City points. Victor Wembanyama led the way for San Antonio with 26 points in the loss.
In the postseason, the Spurs are 3rd in the league in scoring offense as they average 116.4 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 1st in rebounding by grabbing 47.6 boards a night. They are 4th in the league in assists by handing out 25.1 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 106.2 points per game. Victor Wembanyama is leading the team with 22.4 points plus 12.3 rebounds and four blocks this postseason. De’Aaron Fox (18.5 points, 5.8 assists) and Stephon Castle (19.6 points, five rebounds, 6.6 assists) provide additional firepower
San Antonio is 3rd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 48.1% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 4th in threes per game as they connect on 12.8 triples a night. They are 4th in three-point percentage by shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, San Antonio has been above average at the charity stripe, ranking 3rd in the league by converting 80% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Spurs:
- No Key Injuries
Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction
Bench play was what determined Game 3 as the Thunder had more reserves in double figures (four) than starters (two) in the contest. Having the ability to bring a guy like Jared McCain, who was acquired during the year, is a luxury. He scored 24 points in 27 minutes while Alex Caruso (18) and Jaylin Williams (15) came up big. San Antonio has Wembanyama but his supporting cast is banged up, not to mention underperforming. In addition, the Spurs committed 59 turnovers in the first three games, leading to 75 Thunder points. Oklahoma City has momentum and therefore, that carries them to a win here.
Our Prediction: Thunder ML (+118, BetMGM)
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