Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds, Picks & Predictions - Game 3 05/22

It’s the continuation of a Western Conference Finals series as the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder make the trip to clash with the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs in Game 3 Friday night and we have things covered with our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction. San Antonio drew first blood as they held off the Thunder 122-115 in double overtime on the road in Game 1. The Spurs won outright in that contest as a 7.5-point underdog.

In Game 2, Oklahoma City squared the series by picking up a 122-113 home win Wednesday night. The Thunder covered the line as a 7.5-point favorite. Which team earns the victory and takes a 2-1 series advantage?

In the all-time playoff series between the teams, San Antonio has won four of the six previous series. The Spurs own a 20-16 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. Let’s break down this Thunder vs. Spurs matchup.

Thunder Seeking to Regain Home Court Advantage

After falling in the opening game of the series in double overtime, the last thing Oklahoma City wanted was a repeat performance in Game 2. The Thunder bounced back from their loss of the postseason and evened the series. In Game 2, Oklahoma City was even after one quarter before outscoring San Antonio 31-20 in the second quarter. That gave the Thunder an 11-point edge at the half. They never trailed the rest of the way, though they were tied briefly in the third quarter. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 30 points and nine assists in the win.

This postseason, the Thunder are 1st in the league in scoring offense as they average 120.7 points per game. Oklahoma City is 9th in rebounding with 41 boards per contest on the year. They are 1st in assists with 26.6 dimes a night. The Thunder are 8th in the league in scoring defense as they allow an average of 107.2 points a night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the team with 28.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 7.8 assists per contest. The Thunder look to Chet Holmgren (17 points, 8.5 rebounds) and Jalen Williams (17.8 points, four rebounds, 3.3 assists) as secondary options.

Oklahoma City is 2nd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 49.5% from the floor as a team in the playoffs. The Thunder are 2nd by hitting 14.2 threes per game. They stand 3rd in three-point shooting by hitting 38.1% of their attempts from beyond the arc. They are stellar at the free throw line on the year as they rank 1st by shooting 84.6% as a team at the stripe.

Key Injury Report for Thunder:

• Forward Jalen Williams (hamstring) is questionable.

Spurs Battling With Injury Issues to Backcourt

San Antonio had a chance to go up 2-0 but injuries plus turnovers got the better of them. As a result, the Spurs head home tied at one game apiece looking to get back on track. In Game 2, San Antonio was even after the opening quarter but trailed by 11 at the half. The Spurs tied the game at 69 with 7:40 remaining in the third quarter but gave up an 11-4 run immediately to trail by seven. San Antonio never got even again as they went down in defeat. The Spurs were hurt by 21 turnovers, leading to 27 Oklahoma City points. Stephon Castle led San Antonio with 25 points and eight assists in the loss.

In the postseason, the Spurs are 3rd in the league in scoring offense as they average 117 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 1st in rebounding by grabbing 48.4 boards a night. They are 4th in the league in assists by handing out 25 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 6th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 104.9 points per game. Victor Wembanyama is leading the team with 22.1 points plus 12.3 rebounds and four blocks this postseason. De’Aaron Fox (18.8 points, 5.8 assists) and Stephon Castle (20.1 points, five rebounds, 6.6 assists) provide additional firepower

San Antonio is 3rd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 48.5% from the floor on the year. The Spurs are 5th in threes per game as they connect on 12.8 triples a night. In addition, they are 4th in three-point percentage by shooting 37.7% from beyond the arc. San Antonio is above average at the charity stripe, ranking 3rd in the league by converting 79.8% of their attempts.

Key Injury Report for Spurs:

• Guard De’Aaron Fox (ankle) is questionable.
• Guard Dylan Harper (adductor) is questionable.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction

There are injury concerns on both sides for this contest. Williams missed six games already in the postseason before returning against the Lakers. He is considered day-to-day and game-to-game at this point. On the other side, San Antonio has two of their top three guards as question marks here. Fox missed the first two games of the series while Harper left Game 2. That may seriously impact their chances going forward. San Antonio has turned the ball over 44 times, leading to 55 Thunder points. As great as Wembanyama is, he can’t do it all on his own. Therefore, look for Oklahoma City to take a 2-1 series lead by prevailing here.

Our Prediction: Thunder +2.5 (Fanatics, -110)

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