Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds, Picks & Predictions - Game 5
It’s the continuation of a Western Conference Semifinals series as the sixth-seeded Minnesota Timberwolves make the trip to clash with the second-seeded San Antonio Spurs in Game 5 Tuesday night and we have things covered with our Timberwolves vs. Spurs prediction.
Minnesota earned a 104-102 road upset in Game 1 last Monday, winning outright as a 10.5-point underdog. San Antonio answered with a 133-95 stomping in Game 2 Wednesday night. The Spurs easily covered as a 10.5-point favorite. In addition, San Antonio picked up a 115-108 road win in Game 3 Friday night. They covered the line as a 5.5-point favorite. Minnesota bounced back with a 114-109 home win in Game 4 Sunday night. The Timberwolves won outright as a 5.5-point underdog to square the series.
In the all-time playoff series between the teams, San Antonio has won both previous series. The Spurs own an 8-4 advantage in head-to-head playoff victories. Let’s break down this Timberwolves vs. Spurs matchup.
Timberwolves Trying to Take 3-2 Series Advantage
Minnesota took advantage of Victor Wembanyama being ejected, rallying in the fourth quarter of Game 4. As a result, the series is tied at two games apiece and is a best of three situation. In Game 4, Minnesota led by four after the opening quarter and at the half. The Timberwolves trailed by as many as eight in the third quarter and cut the margin to four. Minnesota rallied in the fourth quarter. After trailing 97-91 with 6:54 to play, the Timberwolves went on a 16-4 run over the next five minutes to earn the win. Anthony Edwards led Minnesota with 36 points in the win.
In the playoffs, Minnesota is 6th in the league in scoring offense with 109.3 points per game. The Timberwolves stand 1st in the league in rebounding by pulling down 47.5 boards a contest. They are 7th in assists by handing out 23.7 dimes a contest. Minnesota has been below average on the defensive end of the floor as they are 10th in scoring defense by allowing 110.4 points per game. Anthony Edwards leads the team in scoring as he averages 21.5 points and 6.6 rebounds per contest. Julius Randle (17.2 points, 7.3 rebounds) is a solid secondary scoring option. Ayo Dosunmu chips in 16.3 points per game.
The Timberwolves are 7th in the league in field goal percentage as they hit 44.9% from the floor. Minnesota is 12th by splashing 10.5 three-pointers a night. They are 7th in three-point shooting by hitting 34.2% from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are a below average team at the charity stripe. They are 11th by converting 73.9% of their attempts on the year.
Key Injury Report for Timberwolves:
- Guard Donte DiVincenzo (Achilles) is out.
Spurs Look to Rebound at Home
San Antonio had momentum on their side with two straight wins but couldn’t maintain that momentum late. As a result, the Spurs head home with the series even at two games apiece as opposed to having a 3-1 advantage. In Game 3, San Antonio trailed by four at the half after seeing Victor Wembanyama was ejected after a flagrant foul when he elbowed Naz Reid. The Spurs battled, leading by as many as eight in the fourth quarter and by six with under seven minutes to go. San Antonio couldn’t maintain that momentum as Minnesota controlled things the rest of the way. Dylan Harper led the Spurs with 24 points and seven rebounds off the bench in the loss.
In the postseason, the Spurs are 3rd in the league in scoring offense as they average 113.4 points per game on the year. San Antonio is 3rd in rebounding by grabbing 45.9 boards a night. They are 6th in the league in assists by handing out 24.3 dimes per contest. The Spurs are 4th in the league in scoring defense as they give up an average of 102.3 points per game. Victor Wembanyama is leading the team with 19.6 points plus 10.5 rebounds and 4.4 blocks this postseason. De’Aaron Fox (18.7 points, 5.6 assists) and Stephon Castle (18.9 points, 4.3 rebounds, 6.1 assists) provide additional firepower
San Antonio is 3rd in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 47.8% from the floor. The Spurs are 6th in threes per game as they connect on 12 triples a night. They are 4th in three-point percentage by shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc. San Antonio is above average at the charity stripe, ranking 5th in the league by converting 77.2% of their attempts.
Key Injury Report for Spurs:
- Guard De’Aaron Fox (ankle) is questionable.
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This series is even at two games each but to say that is overlooking a few things. Minnesota earned a Game 1 win off momentum from Edwards returning sooner than expected. That was also bolstered by poor execution by the Spurs on the final possession. In Game 4, they caught a break when Wembanyama was tossed in the second quarter. You can’t get a Willis Reed moment twice from the same guy. In addition, Wembanyama won’t make the same mistake twice. San Antonio is aware of the situation now and are done taking Minnesota lightly. Therefore, take the Spurs at home here as they take a 3-2 series lead.
Our Prediction: Spurs -10.5 (FanDuel, -106)
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