Lakers vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds & Picks for Nov. 9: Rest Advantage
My Lakers vs. Hawks prediction headlines a nice NBA slate on Monday. The Los Angeles Lakers visit the Atlanta Hawks for an interconference clash at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, with tip-off set for 7 p.m. ET.
The Lakers are one of the top teams in the West, while the Hawks sit at 7-4. The big storyline is Luka Doncic, who sat Sunday against the Pistons with back tightness. I'll break down the odds, trends, and my best bets below.
Lakers vs. Hawks Odds
Los Angeles is rolling at 9-2, while Atlanta is 7-4 and looking for a statement win at home. Here are the Lakers vs. Hawks odds from DraftKings Sportsbook:
- Spread: Lakers +1.5 (-113) / Hawks -1.5 (-107)
- Moneyline: Lakers (-101) / Hawks (-117)
- Total (Over/Under): Over 237.5 (-113) / Under 237.5 (-107)
Keep an eye on these basketball odds today, because it could move a lot depending on Doncic's status. You can track every game on the board with the latest NBA odds.
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- Los Angeles plays at the eighth-fastest pace in the NBA, per Hollinger.
- The Lakers own the league's top offensive efficiency rating.
- Los Angeles ranks 17th in defensive efficiency.
- Opponents have posted a 112 offensive rating with Doncic on the court and a 121 offensive rating with him off.
This is totally Doncic's team now that LeBron James has left town. Per Hollinger's team statistics on ESPN, the Lakers have the best offense in the league and play fast, but the defense has been middle of the pack.
Walker Kessler has been a massive lane-clogging shot blocker in the paint. As good as Doncic is offensively, you'd think the Lakers are a tick better without him on the other side of the floor.
Shockingly, it's been the opposite this year, albeit in a small sample. I'm surprised the Lakers have been better defensively with him on the court, and we'll see if that's sustainable. Either way, the Lakers odds are built around Doncic being on the floor.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Trends
- The Hawks are 7-4 overall.
- Atlanta ranks 15th in pace.
- The Hawks rank 12th in offensive efficiency rating.
- Atlanta ranks 15th in defensive efficiency rating.
- Jalen Johnson scored 30 points in 36 minutes in his return Saturday.
Atlanta had aspirations of putting together one of the best defensive units in the league this year. Rising star Johnson leads the way, alongside defensive mogul and Australian Olympian Dyson Daniels and the emerging Canadian Olympian hooper Nickeil Alexander-Walker.
The numbers haven't quite gotten there yet, with Atlanta sitting right in the middle of the league on both ends. Still, this is a very fun core in the post-Trae Young era.
The biggest development is that Johnson is back. He missed about a week of action, then returned Saturday and dropped 30 points in 36 minutes. That's a huge boost for the Hawks' odds heading into a home date with a tired opponent.
Lakers vs. Hawks Prediction: Hawks Moneyline
This is a tough spot for the Lakers. They're on the second night of a road back-to-back, while Atlanta will be well-rested.
Doncic didn't play Sunday, and the injury report cited back tightness. My guess? He was just sitting the front end of the back-to-back. However, there's a chance he doesn't play Monday, and we might not know his status until closer to tip-off.
That uncertainty is exactly why I like the Hawks. If Doncic sits, the Lakers lose the quarterback of the league's top offense. If he plays, Atlanta is still the well-rested team with its star back in the fold, facing a Lakers roster that's on the second leg of a back-to-back.
If you're new to betting sides, our moneyline betting guide breaks down how it works. I'll back the Hawks to win outright at DraftKings, regardless of Doncic's status.
Best Bet: Hawks moneyline DraftKings, -117
More Lakers vs. Hawks Picks, Props and Best Bets
Here are my other Lakers vs. Hawks picks, and both Lakers vs. Hawks props depend on Doncic. I'll bet one or the other once his status is known.
- Austin Reaves Over 21.5 Points: FanDuel, -106 – If Doncic sits, keep an eye on Reaves player props. With Doncic off the floor this year, Reaves gets a massive 5.9% usage bump and averages north of 22 points per game. That number doesn't even factor in his huge game against the Pistons on Sunday night.
- Luka Doncic Over 34.5 points: FanDuel, -108 – Let's keep this simple. If Doncic plays, sign me up for the Over. He's averaging an absurd 40 points per 36 minutes, and he'd be the only significant rotation player on his team with real rest heading into Monday. His 41% usage rate is truly a video-game number.
So, I'm backing the Hawks regardless, plus one of those two Lakers vs. Hawks prop bets depending on Doncic's status. Before you lock in any NBA prop bets, compare prices at FanDuel Sportsbook and the other top NBA betting sites to find your Lakers vs. Hawks best bets.
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- Date: Monday, Nov. 9, 2026
- Start Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
- TV and Streaming Options: Spectrum SportsNet and Spectrum SportsNet+ (Los Angeles market), Atlanta News First (Atlanta market)
That's my Lakers vs. Hawks prediction, along with my best bets. Good luck, and don't forget to grab the latest sportsbook promos before tip-off.
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