New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers Betting Preview and Odds

The New York Knicks visit the Indiana Pacers on March 13 in a matchup that looks uneven on paper but still presents several betting angles. New York enters the contest with a strong 43–25 record, while Indiana has struggled all season and sits at 15–50.

Oddsmakers opened the Knicks as a double-digit favorite, and early betting pushed the number even higher. Indiana has lost five straight games and has failed to cover the spread during that stretch. New York has been more stable, winning several recent games and maintaining one of the better records among Eastern Conference contenders.

Bettors evaluating this matchup should focus on the spread, moneyline, and total, since those markets provide the clearest path to finding value.

Betting odds and market movement

The current betting line highlights a noticeable gap between the two teams entering this matchup. Early wagering activity favored New York, which caused the spread to move quickly after sportsbooks released the opening numbers. The Knicks are currently listed as 12.5-point favorites, while the game total is set at 227.5 points. On the moneyline, New York is priced at -733, showing strong confidence from the market, while Indiana sits at +669 as the underdog.

The spread originally opened around Knicks -10.5, but market activity pushed it to -12.5 within hours. That kind of movement often signals bettors reacting to injuries or recent team performance. Indiana's recent losing streak and roster issues likely played a role in the adjustment.

Line movement and betting market reaction

Line movement is often one of the clearest indicators of early betting sentiment. A shift of two points toward New York suggests that bettors quickly backed the Knicks once odds were released.

Indiana has also struggled to cover spreads this season. The Pacers are 28–37 against the spread, including 11–22 ATS on the road, which ranks among the weaker marks in the league. The Knicks, by comparison, are 37–31 ATS, giving them a much more reliable record for bettors backing favorites.

Spread and moneyline betting analysis

The key question for bettors is whether New York can cover a double-digit spread on the road. Despite the large number, the statistics favor the Knicks, making New York -12.5 the recommended spread pick.

The Knicks average 117.6 points per game, while Indiana allows nearly 119 points per game, one of the weaker defensive marks in the league. Perimeter shooting also favors New York. The Knicks shoot 37.5% from three-point range, and Indiana has struggled to defend the perimeter. New York also holds an advantage on the boards, ranking near the top of the league in rebounds and second-chance opportunities.

Recent form supports the favorite as well. The Pacers have lost five straight games and failed to cover the spread in each of them.

Moneyline outlook

The moneyline reflects a clear gap between the teams. New York is 38–17 as a favorite, while Indiana has struggled as an underdog with just 12 wins in 56 games.

The Knicks are led by Jalen Brunson, who averages over 26 points and 6 assists per game and sets the pace for their offense. Indiana still has scoring from Pascal Siakam, who averages about 24 points per game, but injuries have hurt the team's production. Star guard Tyrese Haliburton is out with an Achilles injury, leaving Indiana without its main playmaker and making consistent scoring harder to maintain.

Over/under prediction and best bet

The game total stands at 227.5 points, highlighting the scoring potential of both teams. Recent trends suggest a higher-scoring game, with the over hitting in three of the last five games for each team. Indiana has allowed 125+ points in several recent losses, while New York scored 134 against Utah in its last outing. Combined with the Pacers' faster pace, the game may lean toward the over.

Best bets for Knicks vs Pacers

After reviewing the main betting markets for this matchup, the spread appears to offer the strongest value for bettors. The Knicks at -12.5 stand out as the top play, given their stronger record, offensive efficiency, and Indiana's recent struggles.

The moneyline also favors New York, though the heavy price limits its betting value unless used in parlays. As for the total, trends and recent scoring performances suggest the Over 227.5 could also be worth considering if both teams maintain a faster pace.

New York's stronger offense, better record, and healthier roster create a clear advantage. Indiana's injuries and defensive struggles make it difficult to back the Pacers with confidence in this matchup. Check the latest odds and line movement for this matchup at thelines.com before placing your bets.