Golden State Warriors @ New York Knicks Picks and Predictions - March 15th 2026

Written By Nick Crain | Last Updated at March 15, 2026
National Basketball Association
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03/15/2026
8:00pm
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Golden State Warriors (37-45) make the trip to for a game at Madison Square Garden, taking on New York Knicks (53-29) on Monday, March 16, 2026. This price reads Knicks -14.5 with a total of 218.5. The main betting question is whether the favourite can create enough separation to justify the number.

Recent form is part of the handicap here: Knicks are 3-2, and Warriors are 1-4. The rest of the article keeps the focus on what matters to bettors: the side, the total, and the game details that can move either one, and if you are deciding which sportsbook to use, our NBA sportsbooks guide can help you compare the market.



Betting lines for Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks

Golden State Warriors has a context-first setup here, and the last five read as last-five ATS: 2-3-0 with extra texture from average margin: -24. Use Golden State Warriors game lines for a reliable reference while the market finalizes closer to tip.

The home read leans not as much on one-game variance, and New York Knicks brings last-five ATS: 2-3-0 with a handy companion stat: last-five over-under: 3-2-0. If you are validating a late move, New York Knicks game lines offers a direct view that stays current.

Money Line +660 FanDuel -1000 DraftKings
Spread -14.5 -110 FanDuel 14.5 -108 DraftKings
Over/Under -106 DraftKings FanDuel

Top Usage% Leaders for Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks: Who Drives Possessions

The primary usage role here is held by Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors), and the table below ties that to the box-score and shooting splits. Their quick profile: Min 31, Usage% 32.7, 26.6 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 4.7 APG, TS% 63.7, eFG% 58.7, +/- 2.1, and TO/G 2.8.

Golden State Warriors’s usage trio is Stephen Curry (32.7), Kristaps Porziņģis (28.4), and De'Anthony Melton (25.5), and New York Knicks’s usage trio is Jalen Brunson (30.6), Karl-Anthony Towns (26.1), and Jordan Clarkson (21.3), and this breakdown highlights the possession pecking order. A more narrow top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a balanced top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.

For a short check at the award market, visit the current MVP board. Start with our NBA MVP race odds and scan the names.

Team Player Min Usage% PPG RPG APG TS% eFG% +/- TO/G
Golden State Warriors Stephen Curry 31 32.7 26.6 3.6 4.7 63.7 58.7 2.1 2.8
Golden State Warriors Kristaps Porziņģis 24 28.4 16.1 5.3 2.3 57.1 49.7 -0.3 1.7
Golden State Warriors De'Anthony Melton 23 25.5 12.3 3.2 2.6 51.8 47.5 1.9 1.9
New York Knicks Jalen Brunson 35 30.6 26 3.3 6.8 58 53.3 4.8 2.4
New York Knicks Karl-Anthony Towns 31 26.1 20.1 11.9 3 61.9 55.6 5 2.5
New York Knicks Jordan Clarkson 18 21.3 8.6 1.8 1.3 54.8 51.7 1.5 0.9


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Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks Scheduling Spot Breakdown (Days Rest, Miles, Time Zones)

Days since last game reads level (2 vs 2), which leans the tiebreak to travel and last-7 pace. The previous-opponent line points to a stronger test for Golden State Warriors (60.3 vs 22.1), and that can lift the standard for carryover.

The last-7 games input is level (0 vs 0), so this row is not the obvious factor. On the immediate mileage row (2564.3 vs 644.4), Golden State Warriors is higher, which can add a tax early and again in the third-quarter reset. Last-7 mileage is even (0 vs 0), so the cumulative travel picture is not a separator.

Metric Golden State Warriors New York Knicks
Days since last game 2 2
Rest advantage vs opponent 0 0
Travel miles since last game 2564.3 644.4
Games in last 7 days 0 0
Time zone changes 0 0
Miles travelled last 7 days 0 0
Schedule strength 49.4 57.1
Remaining schedule strength
Previous opponent strength (win %) 60.3 22.1
Next opponent strength (win %) 63.2 48.5


in the last five, New York Knicks carries the better run at 3-2 versus Golden State Warriors at 1-4. over the last 10, the data are not cleanly complete here, so treat it as a quick screen.

Metric Golden State Warriors New York Knicks
Last 5 (Form)
Record (W-L) 1-4 3-2
Win % 20 60
ATS record 2-3-0 2-3-0
Over/Under record 4-1-0 3-2-0
Average margin -24 44
Last 10 (Recent Performance)
Points per game 114.1 113.8
Points allowed 117.8 104.2
Margin -37 96
FG % 44.3 48.3
3PT % 33.7 35.7


Season Profile Comparison: Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks

Instead of one big grid, the profile is grouped into four categories with a quick read for each. The important part is whether the two key stats agree—or whether the matchup is a trade between different ways to win.

Record & Scoring

New York Knicks leads both win percentage (75) and point margin (6.3), a strong signal that the scoring baseline is on their side. If Golden State Warriors is going to swing this category, it usually needs a pace spike or a shooting night that compresses the margin fast.

Metric Golden State Warriors New York Knicks
Record (W-L) 37-45 53-29
Win Percentage 36.6 75
Points For 114.6 116.5
Points Against 115.2 110.1
Points Margin -0.6 6.3

Efficiency

The efficiency drivers split: shooting efficiency favors Golden State Warriors (114.1 vs 111.9), while field goal efficiency leans to New York Knicks (55.7 vs 54.9). If Golden State Warriors keeps converting points per possession, they can survive even if the field-goal mix looks cleaner on the other side.

Metric Golden State Warriors New York Knicks
Field Goal % 0.7 0.7
Three-Point % 0.3 0.2
Shooting Efficiency 114.1 111.9
Field Goal Efficiency 54.9 55.7
Free Throw Rate 0.2 0.2
Three-Point Rate 0.5 0.4
Free Throw % 0.8 0.8

Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers

New York Knicks owns the better net rating (6.6) and the cleaner turnover profile (12.8), which is a strong “structure” advantage. If Golden State Warriors can’t create extra possessions through pressure, the rating edge is more likely to hold.

Metric Golden State Warriors New York Knicks
Pace 101.7 99.4
Net Rating -0.6 6.6
Offensive Rating 112 116.8
Defensive Rating 112.6 110.2
Turnovers Per Game 15 12.8

Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption

With the key stats close (0.3 vs 0.3, 9.7 vs 8.1), this category can swing on details like long rebounds and loose passes. In even profiles, the team that finishes possessions cleanly tends to avoid the run that decides the game.

Metric Golden State Warriors New York Knicks
Rebounds Per Game 42.3 45.6
Offensive Rebounds 0.3 0.3
Defensive Rebounds 0.7 0.8
Assists Per Game 28.9 27.4
Assist Rate 70.6 64.3
Steals Per Game 9.7 8.1
Blocks Per Game 4.2 3.9

For a quick scan, use live NBA odds to track updated numbers. A quick refresh can reveal the latest movement.


GSW at NYK Head-to-Head History

The most recent meeting is a clean guide: Knicks won 119-112, with a 7 margin. The series table below links that result to the wider head-to-head record.

Item Value
Last meeting score 119-112
Last meeting winner Knicks
Last meeting margin 7
Side Meetings Wins Losses Average margin Total points ATS record Over/Under record
Away 2 0 2 0 218.8 1-0-0 1-0-0
Home 2 2 0 0 218.8 0-1-0 1-0-0
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Golden State Warriors at New York Knicks Picks, Predictions, and Betting Takeaways